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Mid to late October disco/banter thread.


CoastalWx

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yeah ...likely to be on the milder side - perhaps even down right warm for a week or so here, before things change pretty dramatically. Not sure which side of fright night by 3 or so days give or take but there are a lot of correlators abounding for snow in the first 2 weeks of November. a lot -

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i love the Euro D10 depiction of a TC getting ready to Long Island Express, with -2SD air mass ready to pour into the backside after it leaves -

That wants to pull an 1804 there, lol. Not that I'd ever expect it to verify. But kind of cool to see on a map about to happen.

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Nice weenie solution of the euro.

I did my usual afternoon looping of the Raleigh 500 mb heights and SLP, and I saw that, and I had to check 850 mb temps. Already posted it to my Facebook wall.

Sure, its improbable, and maybe I have some weenie tendencies, but a Perfect Storm Part Deux would be wonderful. Would put the AmWx servers to the test...

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lol well at least the NAO is drilling negative on the EURO . let's see if the models lose this or keep something signifcant (and likely changeable) over the next several days out in la la land. By late october , i think we realize that a very deep storm and cold air can combine for a major suprise, especially in the elevated interior.

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My grandmother lived in North Quincy. I hope we're discussing ageostrophic flow and other happy things that will keep winds from a slightly offshore direction, this being October and all.

I live a mile from the border there. NE winds were not my friend last October, but part of the reason we get ageostrpohic flow is due to arctic air and the ability of it to want to flow from cold to warm. Don't have that in October.

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Still awaiting the rain here in AUG, and 30 miles NNW at my place looks to be dry as well. Given the almost S-to-N movement of precip, it may be 7 this evening before much arrives, and unless something new blossoms on radar (or movement gets more of an W-E direction), we might escape the real drenching. Fine with me - we're almost fully into fall mud season in the woods; a 1"+ storm would probably put timber harvests on hold until freeze-up.

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