snowman21 Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 It' look's abve normal to me in the extened NWS forecast even with my elevation as a factor: Today Rain, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Patchy fog. High near 65. Southeast wind 14 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Tonight Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers. Patchy dense fog. Low around 54. South wind 7 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Saturday Patchy dense fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 69. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 8 to 13 mph in the morning. Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 44. West wind 6 to 9 mph. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. West wind 6 to 11 mph. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. Monday Sunny, with a high near 62. Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Tuesday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 63. http://forecast.weat....38617164062498 That's just the fake forecast. The real forecast, for the "weather insiders" is the AFD, but don't tell anyone else 'cause it's a big secret! Seriously though, I expect next week to average about a +6, maybe a shade higher, in the BDL area. Not crazy warm, but definitely well above for at least the next week, and probably just enough to lock in another above normal month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 65/63 overcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 63/63 moderate rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 That's just the fake forecast. The real forecast, for the "weather insiders" is the AFD, but don't tell anyone else 'cause it's a big secret! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2012 Author Share Posted October 19, 2012 Winter Kevin certainly is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Kevin certainly is here. Yes he is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Winter Kevin certainly is here. Watching Kevin get wood for winter is probably one of the most entertaining events of the fall. Forget apple picking, halloween, and jumping in piles of leaves, Kevin's pants tent is where it's at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Lord is it raining men here in North Haven Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 66/64 light rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Now that the rain is upon us, when does it look like it will clear out of Easter CT.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Radar exploding. It's going to be wet today lol. Beautiful synoptic lift overhead with impressive jet dynamics. Looks like the heaviest will set up from N NJ to CT where QG lift is strong and a band of strong boundary layer convergence has developed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Now that the rain is upon us, when does it look like it will clear out of Easter CT.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Radar exploding. It's going to be wet today lol. Beautiful synoptic lift overhead with impressive jet dynamics. Looks like the heaviest will set up from N NJ to CT where QG lift is strong and a band of strong boundary layer convergence has developed. North Haven up over 1.5 inches already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Very little rain here in Coventry, just some gusty winds that are doing a number on the foliage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2012 Author Share Posted October 19, 2012 Radar exploding. It's going to be wet today lol. Beautiful synoptic lift overhead with impressive jet dynamics. Looks like the heaviest will set up from N NJ to CT where QG lift is strong and a band of strong boundary layer convergence has developed. Yeah nice dynamics west. The GFS was too bullish here, but the little max neat srn CT worked out. Basically AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Yeah nice dynamics west. The GFS was too bullish here, but the little max neat srn CT worked out. Basically AWT. Yup looks that way. You could see the models being too aggressive with developing rain east of the LLJ... strongest LLJ basically ripping up through NYC and not moving a whole lot next 6 hours. Someone will be able to crush it with rain if we can get some persistent mesoscale forcing or convection to develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 it's gonna be me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2012 Author Share Posted October 19, 2012 Classic -WPO pattern going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Yup looks that way. You could see the models being too aggressive with developing rain east of the LLJ... strongest LLJ basically ripping up through NYC and not moving a whole lot next 6 hours. Someone will be able to crush it with rain if we can get some persistent mesoscale forcing or convection to develop. i've seen many southerly LLJ setups where the models had heavy precip here and i wound up watching most of it go to the west over PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 .5" on the day although its been raining steadily all morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 67/64 0.69 storm total so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 54/53, +DZ here in Plymouth. Not much on radar but just went out for a run after my morning class and it was pretty gross out. Not bad weather for running though, although light drizzle would be better. After we get through today/tonight's rain and tomorrows above normal temps, looks like an awesome week of fall weather though. 60s down in SNE means upper 50s up here with lows around 40. Average up here at this point is probably something like 54/34? So definitely an above normal week, but should be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Been absolutely pouring up here for the past couple hours...wet afternoon in store. Adirondacks getting like half inch to inch per hour banded rains lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Been absolutely pouring up here for the past couple hours...wet afternoon in store. Adirondacks getting like half inch to inch per hour banded rains lol. Heavy heavy snow less than 2 (1?) months from now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Getting pounded with rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Pouring here, a few weeks ago I would be pissed because of all the nice foliage going to waste, but most trees are bare here so it doesnt matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 dumping. nnj/ny wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 dumping. nnj/ny wins Coming down in sheets here in Nyack right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 band looks to miss most of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 west of hfd looks to do well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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