WilkesboroDude Posted October 14, 2012 Share Posted October 14, 2012 Thursday... . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 14, 2012 Author Share Posted October 14, 2012 Monday Severe Weather NWS Raleigh Regarding the convective Mode and severe chances: the pre-frontal convection is expected to occur in an environment characterized by 30-40 kts of 0-6 km bulk shear...owing to the presence of a middle level speed vorticity maximum maintained by/coincident with the pre-frontal convective band. Long and relatively straight forecast hodographs would support primarily a wind threat...particularly with any line segments that may form provided adequate destabilization occurs ahead of the line. The approach of the aforementioned upper trough will then promote markedly strengthening middle-upper southwesterly flow...with 0-6 km bulk shear values increasing to 50-60 kts along the surface cold front. While the deeper moist axis more supportive of convection will have progressed eastward with the wcb...the magnitude of middle-upper forcing and cooling...and modest surface frontal convergence/forcing...should support convection vigorous enough to interact with the aforementioned increasing environmental shear. The earlier long and straight forecast hodographs become increasingly cyclonically-curved in the lowest km...which when combined with the strong bulk shear oriented relatively parallel to the surface front...would support a broken line of storms -including supercells conditional upon destabilization west of the earlier wcb - all of which would be capable of producing damaging winds. A threat of large hail and non-zero tornado threat would also accompany any supercell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 MEG just dropped the ball... Tight couplet with a non-warned supercell just passed very close to KGWX, but luckily it passed between two small towns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 15, 2012 Author Share Posted October 15, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 15, 2012 Author Share Posted October 15, 2012 10/14/2012 0704 PM 3 miles SSE of New Wren, Monroe County. Tornado, reported by law enforcement. Roof removed from home and trees down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 16, 2012 Author Share Posted October 16, 2012 Nice to see no mini outbreak of severe weather...there was some rough storms this morning in Wilkes. http://www.journalpa...19bb30f31a.html 2,300 lose electricity At about 8:40 a.m. today, steam was still rising from a burn mark about 3 feet long in the asphalt and a nearby puddle of water in the parking lot was still warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 17, 2012 Author Share Posted October 17, 2012 Thursday Discussion Starting Here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 18, 2012 Author Share Posted October 18, 2012 oh boy...not good out there tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 18, 2012 Author Share Posted October 18, 2012 10/17/2012 0740 PM Clarendon, Monroe County. Tornado, reported by trained spotter. A building was damaged in Clarendon... with parts of the building out in the street. Many trees and power lines were blown down. The entergy electic outage map indicated the entire town of Clarendon was without power. Extra state troopers are headed to Clarendon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 18, 2012 Author Share Posted October 18, 2012 Mississippi Tornado Warning: Sunflower, Tallahatchie, Coahoma, Tunica, Tate, DeSoto, Bolivar, Marshall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted October 18, 2012 Share Posted October 18, 2012 Yeah, buttload of tornado warnings in MS right now. Confirmed damage from previous touchdowns in AR, I guess that's why the thread on the Central-Western States board is still going strong right now: http://www.americanw...ky/page__st__35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted October 18, 2012 Share Posted October 18, 2012 Well the threat tonight into tomorrow went to crap quick. The 0z NAM last night looked to be on the up and up, guess the runs this morning said otherwise. This is better than nothing severe mid-october I reckon'... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 18, 2012 Author Share Posted October 18, 2012 10/17/2012 1102 PM 5 miles NW of Yazoo City, Yazoo County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by Emergency Mngr. Heavy damage reported along Lake City Rd 10/18/2012 0105 am 2 miles S of Conehatta, Newton County. Tornado, reported by law enforcement. Dozens of trees and power lines down along with several sturctures damaged. Most damage occurred along Newton-Conehatta Rd and Caney Creek Rd. 10/18/2012 1255 am 5 miles NE of Forest, Scott County. Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by Emergency Mngr. *** 1 inj *** person trapped in Mobile home with tree on top on Russell community Rd. Lots of trees down in the area as well. 10/18/2012 1255 am 6 miles NE of Forest, Scott County. Tornado, reported by Emergency Mngr. A Mobile home was destroyed on the northern end of Conehatta Road near jim Owens Road. Four large transmission towers were blown down on jim Owens Road. 10/17/2012 1041 PM 5 miles WNW of Louise, Sharkey County. Tornado, reported by law enforcement. *** 5 inj *** 2 Mobile homes destroyed along with other damaged homes along Hwy 14... 5 injuries. 10/17/2012 0908 PM 2 miles NE of Shelby, Bolivar County. Tornado, reported by Emergency Mngr. Heavy damage along Blue Cane Rd... 3 structures damaged with one home off its blocks along with the roof removed. Power lines down and power poles snapped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 18, 2012 Author Share Posted October 18, 2012 Tennessee Severe Thunderstorm Warning: Washington, Unicoi, Sullivan, Johnson, Carter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 18, 2012 Author Share Posted October 18, 2012 Well the threat tonight into tomorrow went to crap quick. The 0z NAM last night looked to be on the up and up, guess the runs this morning said otherwise. This is better than nothing severe mid-october I reckon'... Not everybody can be winners... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 19, 2012 Author Share Posted October 19, 2012 How typical... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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