eyewall Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 This would be a lot more fun 6 weeks from now. I agree and of course by then we probably won't be able to buy a setup like this. Here is the RAH disco: SO AFTER A RELATIVELY QUIET PERIOD WITH PROGRESSIVELY LOWERING HIGH-MID CEILINGS AND TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-UPPER 50S MON AND WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 35 MON NIGHT...THE PATTERN WILL TURN INCREASINGLY UNSETTLED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THE PROJECTED TRACK OF THE AFOREMENTIONED COASTAL LOW AND ACCOMPANYING THERMAL/FGEN FIELDS SUGGEST CENTRAL NC WILL REMAIN WELL ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE STORM...WITH THE PROBABILITY OF A DEFORMATION PRECIPITATION AXIS -- WHICH MAY INCLUDE ONE OR MORE MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION BANDS -- TO PIVOT SLOWLY NORTHWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND/OR EASTERN NC. SIMILAR TO SANDY...AND CHARACTERISTIC OF WELL-DEVELOPED EXTRATROPICAL LOWS...A SHARP PRECIPITATION GRADIENT ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE LOW WILL DELINEATE AREAS THAT WILL RECEIVE LITTLE RAINFALL FROM THOSE THAT COULD RECEIVE AN INCH OR MORE. MUCH LIKE THE LOCATION OF THE INITIAL PRECIPITATION AXIS ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY...THE PROJECTED DEVELOPMENT/TRACK OF THIS COASTAL LOW WILL FAVOR A SIMILARLY LOCATED PRECIPITATION AXIS INVOF THE NC COASTAL PLAIN...WITH VERY LITTLE PRECIPITATION WEST OF THOSE LOCATIONS. BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND THE LOW BY TUE NIGHT-WED NIGHT WILL MAKE IT FEEL EVEN COLDER THAN THE TEMPERATURES IN MID MID 40S NE TO MID 50S SW FOR HIGHS...AND LOWS IN THE MID-UPPER 30S... RESPECTIVELY...WOULD INDICATE. IF IT WERE MUCH LATER IN THE SEASON...SOMETHING OTHER THAN A COLD RAIN WOULD BE A CONCERN. NOT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 First call: 2-4" for Chapel Hill/Carrboro except trace at WidreMann's house Honestly I wish this were Dec/Jan instead. I'm near Southpoint now, so absolutely no chance of accumulating snow. I think Jordan Lake is a killer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I'm near Southpoint now, so absolutely no chance of accumulating snow. I think Jordan Lake is a killer. Hint: If you want a lot of snow it's best to avoid living in places with "south" in the name.*** *** Unless combined with "pole". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I'm near Southpoint now, so absolutely no chance of accumulating snow. I think Jordan Lake is a killer. I've seen 2 LES events in what is know as Southpoint area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Hint: If you want a lot of snow it's best to avoid living in places with "south" in the name.*** *** Unless combined with "pole". This is the Southeastern States forum.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Hint: If you want a lot of snow it's best to avoid living in places with "south" in the name.*** *** Unless combined with "pole". South Dakota Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Hint: If you want a lot of snow it's best to avoid living in places with "south" in the name.*** *** Unless combined with "pole". The South Pole is a desert and gets very little annual precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 It is pretty dead in here considering the prospects of a gulf low riding up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 It is pretty dead in here considering the prospects of a gulf low riding up the coast. It's going to rain here for the first time in about 25+ days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Looks like we'll be heading into a warmer period after this event, if you believe the teleconnections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 The South Pole is a desert and gets very little annual precip. Yeah that's true. But days per year with snow cover are still pretty high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 This is the Southeastern States forum.. lol I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Looks like we'll be heading into a warmer period after this event, if you believe the teleconnections. It is a shame we are wasting the good setup so early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Looks like we'll be heading into a warmer period after this event, if you believe the teleconnections. Robert as well as other mets are saying real warm then cold returning in a week or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 It looks like we are going to see a repeat of 2009/2010 where every big storm has its eyes on the MA. Euro really wants it to snow next week in DC area. Should be a fun winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Sounds like most think most wintry weather is Jan ~march Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 This board is already jumping ship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 This board is already jumping ship. A winter like last year does horrible things to people... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 This board is already jumping ship. What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 LOL Well here is a bone. The Euro is cold and would indicate some flakes as precip ends for northeastern areas being possible. However it is dangerous to depend on the old cold vs. moisture chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 We never get anything this early so no need to panic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted November 4, 2012 Author Share Posted November 4, 2012 We never get anything this early so no need to panic That pretty much sums it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Congrats Elizabeth City! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 That pretty much sums it up. Just go ahead and create the 2013-14 winter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
featherwx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Just go ahead and create the 2013-14 winter thread. Dude, it's the first week of November, let's be reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Dude, it's the first week of November, let's be reasonable. Lulz for canceling winter based on a 4 day temp outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Lulz for canceling winter based on a 4 day temp outlook How about for the fading Niño? That is a real bummer for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 How about for the fading Niño? That is a real bummer for sure. There have been a ton of positive developments for winter in the past few weeks.... Your main concern should be the -NAO, which Eurasian snow cover gains support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Dude, it's the first week of November, let's be reasonable. Lol I was just kidding.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Hint: If you want a lot of snow it's best to avoid living in places with "south" in the name.*** *** Unless combined with "pole". ...Or if you live in Argentina or Chile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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