Mr Bob Posted October 31, 2012 Share Posted October 31, 2012 Big snow build up long range GFS... And supported by the other longer range models...Euro ENS/weeklies, and CFS...we are probably headed to a wet and mild relative to normal period for mid to late November. I am a little more intrigued by winter now with the rapid build up of Eurasia snowpack as well as this build for W Canada and the northern Plain coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 31, 2012 Share Posted October 31, 2012 The wet aspect of the upcoming pattern will be great!less than .60 for the month of Oct. imby,not a drop from Sandy.its very,very dry.good to see the snow pack wanting to build up,so when Dec rolls around we can get some good cold down here with the moisturea And supported by the other longer range models...Euro ENS/weeklies, and CFS...we are probably headed to a wet and mild relative to normal period for mid to late November. I am a little more intrigued by winter now with the rapid build up of Eurasia snowpack as well as this build for W Canada and the northern Plain coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 31, 2012 Share Posted October 31, 2012 I am going with 2-3" for RDU depending on ground temps jk It is interesting what is being shown. My concern is added coastal problems in the Northeast if it went up the coast. Styrostorm is ongoing but not as bad today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 6z GFS gets cute with SW mountains of NC and SC...no other models have anything like this. Also 6z GFS has a funny solution at the end of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 I am going with 2-3" for RDU depending on ground temps jk It is interesting what is being shown. My concern is added coastal problems in the Northeast if it went up the coast. Styrostorm is ongoing but not as bad today OT: which building is scattering the insulation? call the EPA. they may care. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 EURO and CMC have a VERY interesting set-up on todays 12z runs. Verbatim, the EURO would be too warm for snow (in the mtns) but it wouldn't take to much more cold air to make it happen. CMC, (naturally colder model) has enough cold air where the NC mtns (and maybe NE GA) see some snow as well. going to have to watch this one really closely IMO...GFS is too progressive, as usual. lets see who wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 EURO and CMC have a VERY interesting set-up on todays 12z runs. Verbatim, the EURO would be too warm for snow (in the mtns) but it wouldn't take to much more cold air to make it happen. CMC, (naturally colder model) has enough cold air where the NC mtns (and maybe NE GA) see some snow as well. going to have to watch this one really closely IMO...GFS is too progressive, as usual. lets see who wins. What are the 850 temps on the Euro? CMC is just cold enough for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted November 1, 2012 Author Share Posted November 1, 2012 Near election day...GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 EURO has the 850's up there near 0c. Would mostly, if not ALL be, rain (verbatim) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 EURO and CMC have a VERY interesting set-up on todays 12z runs. Verbatim, the EURO would be too warm for snow (in the mtns) but it wouldn't take to much more cold air to make it happen. CMC, (naturally colder model) has enough cold air where the NC mtns (and maybe NE GA) see some snow as well. going to have to watch this one really closely IMO...GFS is too progressive, as usual. lets see who wins. I was thinking that same thing, it just kind of has that look to it like there could be a little surprise. On the Euro those 850's are just to the north and it's just a timing issue. Either way if the Euro is right it's at least a good soaker for GA and NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted November 1, 2012 Author Share Posted November 1, 2012 per EURO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 What day is that on the image? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 What day is that on the image? http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 322 PM EDT THU NOV 01 2012 VALID 12Z SUN NOV 04 2012 - 12Z THU NOV 08 2012 ...NOR'EASTER POSSIBLE FOR MID-ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND STATES BY ELECTION DAY INTO NEXT THURSDAY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted November 1, 2012 Author Share Posted November 1, 2012 What day is that on the image? Mid to late next week Nor-Easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 You have got to love what seems to be this pattern establishing itself. Big things will come if it continues into winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 This storm looks better than anything we had to track all last wintet! Snow would be awesome,and have seen a few small events in early Nov,But,I would be very happy with a big rain event EURO and CMC have a VERY interesting set-up on todays 12z runs. Verbatim, the EURO would be too warm for snow (in the mtns) but it wouldn't take to much more cold air to make it happen. CMC, (naturally colder model) has enough cold air where the NC mtns (and maybe NE GA) see some snow as well. going to have to watch this one really closely IMO...GFS is too progressive, as usual. lets see who wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 You have got to love what seems to be this pattern establishing itself. Big things will come if it continues into winter. Exactly, we get this type of blocking and a -NAO pattern with a storm like this in Jan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Robert mentioned this in his blog as well, he says it bears watching! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Yep more should pay for his site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 The wet aspect of the upcoming pattern will be great!less than .60 for the month of Oct. imby,not a drop from Sandy.its very,very dry.good to see the snow pack wanting to build up,so when Dec rolls around we can get some good cold down here with the moisturea It's probably too early for snow down here yet but we certainly do need some rain. October was indeed dry in our part of SC. Hopefully we get into a wet pattern before too long. Also hope we do get some snow this winter since I never saw the first flake of it last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Yep more should pay for his site I'd love to subscribe but I cant since I havent been able to find a job for 3 years now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Yep more should pay for his site My weather budget goes to..... weatherbellstardi... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 00z Euro was pretty darn close for someone in the SE to see some flakes. Both it and the 00z GFS have big rains for NC. On the Euro precip is moving in while there is a wedge of cold air almost CAD like...but it quickly scurries away as soon as the heavy precip moves up the coast. This could get interesting for someone if the Euro keeps it up. GFS was much wetter but also much warmer. We'll probably end up with a blend of both...just a cold cold rain. 2m temps/precip/snowmaps just as precip is moving in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 My weather budget goes to..... weatherbellstardi... Well for all the jb haters he nailed sandy before it wad even a storm. He said a storm would form and hit northeast. He said that 3 wks ago and it made landfall within 30 miles where he said it would a week befote it did. So the let the bashing begin. As far as a budget u eat out more in a month that jb or Robert charges. Both combine 26.00 a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Well for all the jb haters he nailed sandy before it wad even a storm. He said a storm would form and hit northeast. He said that 3 wks ago and it made landfall within 30 miles where he said it would a week befote it did. So the let the bashing begin. As far as a budget u eat out more in a month that jb or Robert charges. Both combine 26.00 a month. I do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 I was thinking that same thing, it just kind of has that look to it like there could be a little surprise. On the Euro those 850's are just to the north and it's just a timing issue. Either way if the Euro is right it's at least a good soaker for GA and NC. Rain is boring. Cold rain is awful. To quote your avater, cold rain - NO! NO! NO! Snow - YES! YES! YES! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 You have got to love what seems to be this pattern establishing itself. Big things will come if it continues into winter. Hope so. Anything would be better than last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Well for all the jb haters he nailed sandy before it wad even a storm. He said a storm would form and hit northeast. He said that 3 wks ago and it made landfall within 30 miles where he said it would a week befote it did. So the let the bashing begin. As far as a budget u eat out more in a month that jb or Robert charges. Both combine 26.00 a month. Yes I remember him talking about the MJO so watch for development in the Caribbean, and he thought it would be a big threat to NE!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Props to jb but he predicts everything to hit the ne. Broken clock, blind squirrel ect... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Allan Huffman just put out his winter forecast. He said he thinks the southeast will see normal, if not above normal, snow this winter, but it may be more front-loaded. Here's the forecast. It's in two parts. http://www.examiner.com/article/winter-2012-13-forecast-part-1?CID=examiner_alerts_article http://www.examiner.com/article/winter-2012-13-forecast-part-2?CID=examiner_alerts_article Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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