Shawn Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 If I'm not entirely mistaken, the Twisterdata maps snow generation isn't correct. They may have fixed it now, but the ones over on instantweathermaps work pretty well if not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted November 6, 2012 Author Share Posted November 6, 2012 I like using the twister-data...def. should not be taken verbatim...won't pick up high elevation extreme totals here...but will still show storm potential. Here is Instant Weather Maps... If I am posting too much, throw me on ignore. Won't hurt my feelings I promise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 You like dead forums? I started posting here in masses when the forums were running very slow. I was just trying to bring it back to life, I could care less if it was top notch info. People can go to Robert's site for top notch info. I am just trying to help start threads and discussions well in advance of the storm. The quality of the discussion is up to the community. For the record, I'm fine with you posting. At least somebody is. Maybe I can get a few flakes somewhere in the next couple of days. Looks like anybody with any real elevation might. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I like using the twister-data...def. should not be taken verbatim...won't pick up high elevation extreme totals here...but will still show storm potential. Here is Instant Weather Maps... If I am posting too much, throw me on ignore. Won't hurt my feelings I promise. yeah, he's disabled hot links b/c of the bandwidth. thats what makes it a little harder to post his maps now. he used to generate an instant link on imageshack or something.. but took it off. ;/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I just wish it was January and February with the current pattern. Now watch January and February be colder than normal but with no precip. What are you talking about? We're not going to get any precip out of this either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted November 6, 2012 Author Share Posted November 6, 2012 Ouch...we need rain. I have been running below normal for a good 30 days or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted November 6, 2012 Author Share Posted November 6, 2012 Percent of normal for past 30 days...we need snow/rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Percent of normal for past 30 days...we need snow/rain. I'm sooooo tired of being in the red Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Percent of normal for past 30 days...we need snow/rain. Could you post one of the entire SE? I feel left out down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Baltimore-DC meteorologists getting bolder with snow predictions https://www.facebook.com/pages/Mike-Masco-Meteorologist/106434319403374 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Thought I would throw this out there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC Tuesday night through Thursday Snow levels should fall to around 3500-4000 feet. There isn/T much low level cold air...and while the valleys could see a brief period of snow around sunrise...this should be a high elevation event. In fact...snow levels should rise to near 5000 feet Wednesday afternoon as the upper forcing weakens. Using a 10-1 snowfall ratio I get some 2 to 3 inch totals at or above 4000 feet Tuesday night...with another inch or so on Wednesday with the high elevation snow spreading across the northern mountains these totals are not high enough for a Winter Storm Watch...but I will add mention of accumulating snowfall to the severe weather potential statement. Great. More snow for the AT. It's already pretty difficult hiking up there - and I guarantee you the AT will see another 6" out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Thought I would throw this out there... Worth watching...it is certainly the right time of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Worth watching...it is certainly the right time of the year. I do NOT want any storms................The last few years as an insurance agency owner has about killed me. I almost feel like we live in the plains with all the Tennessee storms and wind the last 3 years (especially April 2011). I need a multi-year break is all I am saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I do NOT want any storms................The last few years as an insurance agency owner has about killed me. I almost feel like we live in the plains with all the Tennessee storms and wind the last 3 years (especially April 2011). I need a multi-year break is all I am saying. It has been a rough period. I can imagine you have been through hell! I have been spending some time in Knoxville recently and I am amazed at all the hail damaged cars that I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Looks like the PNA starts out strongly negative then goes mildly negative, the NAO strongly positive(for a while then seems to go close to neutral) and AO incredibly positive for the next 2 weeks at least. I'd imagine that even if that changed soon, you'd be looking at a possibly warm thanksgiving because it takes a week to 10 days for them to flip and effects to be felt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Basically, if you're hoping for cold weather on thanksgiving...keep hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 What are you talking about? We're not going to get any precip out of this either. Yeah, I see that now. A couple of days ago that wasn't the forecast, though. It does look might grey outside, though. But if we don't get any rain, that's fine with me. I want snow, not rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Thought I would throw this out there... Worth watching...it is certainly the right time of the year. We seem to get a round of severe weather here almost every year right before Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I'm hoping for a cold,white Christmas! Basically, if you're hoping for cold weather on thanksgiving...keep hoping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Basically, if you're hoping for cold weather on thanksgiving...keep hoping. Not sure I agree with this. Check out the 12z model teleconnections from today. All point toward NAO going negative. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/12zlinegraphs.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 After the Christmas storm I dont want another white Christmas for a while. Wasnt fun having to leave kids to plow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Not sure I agree with this. Check out the 12z model teleconnections from today. All point toward NAO going negative. http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/12zlinegraphs.html I agree with you. Cold will be back before month is out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Can do without white or cold Thanksgiving but want another white Christmas and I even like a white New Years which is something we never seem to have in the mountains of North Carolina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Why is it so quiet on here? Does anyone see any fantasy storms in the future? Never seen it this quite. There surely is something showing up for 300 hours from now or is it that bad the next couple of weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Well, I like seeing some cold high pressure diving deep toward Texas, and pushing a line of storms eastward in the mid term, but I don't like how it warms up, and peters out, on the southen end by the time it makes it to Ga. Hopefully, we can get some severe, or at least energetic, down here, for some more good rain. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Not sure I agree with this. Check out the 12z model teleconnections from today. All point toward NAO going negative. http://raleighwx.ame...linegraphs.html They do go negative by the 23rd but the effects wouldnt be felt until the 1st week of December. Basically, outside of the negative departures from this week, the rest of the month could setup to be milder relative to normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 They do go negative by the 23rd but the effects wouldnt be felt until the 1st week of December. Basically, outside of the negative departures from this week, the rest of the month could setup to be milder relative to normal. Good.... Cold November’s are just a waste of snow making resources.... imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 Why is it so quiet on here? Does anyone see any fantasy storms in the future? Never seen it this quite. There surely is something showing up for 300 hours from now or is it that bad the next couple of weeks? 12z GFS Great lakes system around 138hr Another system around 264hr but that doesn't look right, something to watch... hr384 huge trough, 0c line all the way down to the gulf coast 18z GFS hr144, cold chasing moisture in the apps hr204, 1009 low over TX....again hr372 NE snow 985mb low off the coast of MA, not a nor'easter though (energy comes from Canada, phases over great lakes) but how that storm handles the energy will determine where that low bombs...kind of stupid to even talk like this so I'll stop, haha. Good news, active pattern for November...seeing a few shots of cold air with the 0c line coming into the SE and the NE/Great lakes cashing in in a few mini-storms is exactly what we want to see right now. But yes, NO fantasy storms as of yet in the LR, but overall pattern doesn't look too bad for 11/7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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