Dustin Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Sourtheast burbs of Dayton (Bellbrook) have had bouts of heavy snow...then it slacks for a few minutes with some sleet mixed in...but for the last half hour mostly moderate snow. Still no amped wind. Excited to see what the next few hour bring. Hopefully the rain/freezing rain just to the south stays....or begins pushing southeast as the 850's drop. Thanks for keeping us abreast on what is happening in Dayton... You are in a great position. I'm loving what I'm looking at this morning with the position of the H7 low, the low level convergence and moisture feed. Some of these bands are going to be ripping later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Starting to snow pretty hard now..pinging is less!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I am not particularly worried. The mix at the early stages was forecast by most of the models and was certainly in the official forecast. I think ILN was wrong to cut back totals so early unless they believe the mix is now going to be the dominant form for this storm. The deform band looks like it's going to set up right along I-70 and points just north, so once it's all snow, it's going to be a lot of it imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 What do you guys think about the dry area to our South..will it fill in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 We were for awhile and now it is 50/50. Flake size is considerably smaller now. smaller flake size is good. it means colder air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Sleet will not give ...snowing hard..but still with sleet!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Almost all snow now over in coshocton county. The tough part is staying all snow. We started out as heavy snow, which I though would be a guarantee of not switching over. I expect the cold air to start winning out as the heavist bands move through. Still feel I am in a good position in Northwest Coshocton county. It's amazing though, 1/2 mile up the road has 2" snow. we have an 1/2" of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 What do you guys think about the dry area to our South..will it fill in? It already is Moisture transport Vectors still very favorable and mid level frontogenesis still rocking. I wouldn't be too worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Loop the KILN radar image and look at Chillicothe. New returns emanating from that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Sleet will not give ...snowing hard..but still with sleet!!! same here. it's killing us. we need to completely switch over. I know most will say i am crazy, but, I'd rather have a zr storm over sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iluvsnow Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Whoa....just had a Cantore moment....two lightening flashes and thunder...with ripping snow here in Bellbrook!!!!! About 5 inches on the ground here....now firmly northwest of the 0 -850 line! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Loop the KILN radar image and look at Chillicothe. New returns emanating from that point. Yep, the 70 corridor looks to be in a great spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Never have seen this type of battle between sleet and snow before..sleet not giving up...neither is the snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I know most will say i am crazy, but, I'd rather have a zr storm over sleet. You're crazy! LOL I guess I love my power being on too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Never have seen this type of battle between sleet and snow before..sleet not giving up...neither is the snow.. Hang in there Steve! Are you north or south of Newark? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Whoa....just had a Cantore moment....two lightening flashes and thunder...with ripping snow here in Bellbrook!!!!! About 5 inches on the ground here....now firmly northwest of the 0 -850 line! awesome. heavy snow here now. Can we stay snow from this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Sorry...i must be crazy also..don't like sleet...frz rain storms though damaging are fascinating!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Never have seen this type of battle between sleet and snow before..sleet not giving up...neither is the snow.. Im heavy heavy snow now, steve. surely youve got to be mostly snow. That deform band should nail both of us when this thing transfers east. im sticking with my 8-12" call for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I live in Bellbrook too (PS - iluvsnow check ur private messages), Thundersnow at 9:40am! My daughter’s first ever! About 3” on now, had a wind shift/slow down about 30 mins ago, was strong NE wind about 35mph, now out of the north at less than 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 same here. it's killing us. we need to completely switch over. I know most will say i am crazy, but, I'd rather have a zr storm over sleet. That is just plain sadistic. Whoa....just had a Cantore moment....two lightening flashes and thunder...with ripping snow here in Bellbrook!!!!! About 5 inches on the ground here....now firmly northwest of the 0 -850 line! Love it. Great convergence at 850 on the nose of WAA, upper divergence in curved jet-streak and solid lapse rates... Textbook for some ripping and thundersnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 35-40 dbz just south of Columbus now. Curious to see if we will change to snow again while that moves overhead. Just seeing sleet and freezing rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 When I became a father last year I instantly began to fear zr and thunderstorms. Power is just too essential to our lives! By the way, still a raging sleet storm here. I hope the mets on this thread are right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 What do you guys think about the dry area to our South..will it fill in? Right after I said that the returns quit, but continued development further south should save me and keep pretty consistent precip falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Now we are back to the ginormous pancake flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Mostly sleet here again dilly....some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 35-40 dbz just south of Columbus now. Curious to see if we will change to snow again while that moves overhead. Just seeing sleet and freezing rain now. Im still utterly shocked that the waa made it so far north. I certainly didnt expect any sleet here. Like I said I am all heavy snow now, and I am sweating the sleet line still. The gradient is amazing. just up the road they were getting hammered while I was getting sleet. Amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 It just keeps switching!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 When it goes to snow...its pretty heavy!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 When it goes to snow...its pretty heavy!! How much snow so far? Here approaching 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Biggest flakes I have seen happening right now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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