weathafella Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Pattern change starts 10/10 and is complete 10/25? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 I don't think the sun has been out for more than an hour here since last thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Pattern change starts 10/10 and is complete 10/25? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 63/62 disgusting yet luxurious at the same time. Murky and humid and then we break out into sun Friday with true summertime weather, finally fall returns Sunday but not before a staggering departure will be thrown up here. First flakes for NNE?...............its that wonderful time of year as the pendulum swings back and forth and it will once again towards the end of the month as the flow relaxes and becomes more zonal. Lawns are bright green this morning after the rain/drizzle and ridiculous overnight temps, nice contrast with the leaves just turning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Pattern change starts 10/10 and is complete 10/25? I think it relaxes a bit after mid month. Models flatten out the ridge in AK, but it's not replaces by a vortex or anything like that..just a more zonal flow. Sort of jives with the weeklies being a little warmer second half of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 3, 2012 Author Share Posted October 3, 2012 I think it relaxes a bit after mid month. Models flatten out the ridge in AK, but it's not replaces by a vortex or anything like that..just a more zonal flow. Sort of jives with the weeklies being a little warmer second half of the month. Agree. GEFS on board with that as well. My thread starter statement was tongue in cheek from last years debacle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Hey guys we will be releasing our winter outlook this weekend come check us out. We got pro forecasters and mets. https://www.facebook.com/hwpcwx www.hwpcwx.org Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Agree. GEFS on board with that as well. My thread starter statement was tongue in cheek from last years debacle. Oh yeah wasn't disagreeing or anything...I got it...lol. Hopefully models are right in trying to bring MJO to more Nino phases down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 What an awesome storm for NW MN and NE ND tonight into tomorrow. Someone might even hear a rumble of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 What an awesome storm for NW MN and NE ND tonight into tomorrow. Someone might even hear a rumble of thunder. They do have awesome storms. Imagine being under a blizzard and tornado warning simultaneously? If that happened on the east coast I think the board would melt down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Pea soup fog here since about 8pm last night, croutons are needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Pattern change starts 10/10 and is complete 10/25? Fundamentally the pattern changed in early to mid August - that's when a clear R-wave roll-back took place and we've had western heights 2/3rds of the time ever since. It's semi permanent in the sense that it is still around and so now a 1.5 month deal - bit it is bona fide and different than that which preceded by over a year's worth of pattern recognition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Hope everyone is enjoying the wonderful weather today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Hope everyone is enjoying the wonderful weather today. great stuff. Cloudy....66 light rain just started here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 great stuff. Cloudy....66 light rain just started here. Even you guys are socked in. You just have to respect wedging in October with very warm and humid air aloft along with weaker sun. That's what I argued for this area the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Hope everyone is enjoying the wonderful weather today. It has been days and days of clouds and drizzle here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 61/59, overcast/drizzle. Bleh. Can't wait for Friday's/Monday/Tuesday's wx. Monday might struggle to 55F up here under full sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Even you guys are socked in. You just have to respect wedging in October with very warm and humid air aloft along with weaker sun. That's what I argued for this area the past few days. yep-the angle of the sun in August would burn this off in no time....good call on your part. Hoping it breaks tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Monday's normals for the upcoming cold shot... BDL 66/44 BDR 66/49 BOS 64/49 ORH 61/44 PVD 66/46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Hope everyone is enjoying the wonderful weather today. Yeah, Fantastic, Just had +SHRN move thru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Yeah, Fantastic, Just had +SHRN move thru +DZ and Mist here... its like light rain mixed with a heavy mist and drizzle. Like in winter when you get good dendrites mixed in with crappy small needles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 +DZ and Mist here... its like light rain mixed with a heavy mist and drizzle. Like in winter when you get good dendrites mixed in with crappy small needles. Last Sunday here was exactly like what you are seeing today, Its on and of hvy showers today so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Monday's normals for the upcoming cold shot... BDL 66/44 BDR 66/49 BOS 64/49 ORH 61/44 PVD 66/46 Looks like your going to get ur chillys nights. Sunday looks to be raw and 50's, impressive shot coming for early october. Hopefully that -10 comes and u can shot ur ac off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Looks like your going to get ur chillys nights. Sunday looks to be raw and 50's, impressive shot coming for early october. Hopefully that -10 comes and u can shot ur ac off It will be a decent cool shot, but nothing amazing for October standards. The cold shots of both 2011 and 2009 are more impressive than this upcoming one assuming no major changes. 2011's shot was pretty brief, but intense. 2009 was both impressive in duration and intensity....10 straight negative departure days and 5 consecutive double digit negative departure days during the brunt of it with 2 snow events in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 It will be a decent cool shot, but nothing amazing for October standards. The cold shots of both 2011 and 2009 are more impressive than this upcoming one assuming no major changes. 2011's shot was pretty brief, but intense. 2009 was both impressive in duration and intensity....10 straight negative departure days and 5 consecutive double digit negative departure days during the brunt of it with 2 snow events in there. And we went to pan-wide 45 day snowmeggedon in mid Winter, dispelling the belief that October snow has to be a bad thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 And we went to pan-wide 45 day snowmeggedon in mid Winter, dispelling the belief that October snow has to be a bad thing Nope, you are thinking of 2010. October 2009 led into an epic winter for the Mid-Atlantic, but we consistently got shafted. Though the winter really was doing pretty well through mid-January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Where else you can archived weather maps? NARR is down on EWALL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 3, 2012 Author Share Posted October 3, 2012 Tip's into the Scotch early today... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Nope, you are thinking of 2010. October 2009 led into an epic winter for the Mid-Atlantic, but we consistently got shafted. Though the winter really was doing pretty well through mid-January. No, that point IS - snow in October means nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2012 Share Posted October 3, 2012 Tip's into the Scotch early today... No, people missed the point in lieu of backyard - eastern N/A does not preclusively suffer a bad winter because there is snow in October. I kept hearing this over the last 2 years and it's garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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