am19psu Posted March 12, 2013 Share Posted March 12, 2013 96P could be at least fun to look at on satellite in about 3 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted March 12, 2013 Author Share Posted March 12, 2013 96P could be at least fun to look at on satellite in about 3 days Blah. I'm movin' on from this lame season. Each basin had one mildly interesting system: Evan in the SPAC islands, Rusty in Oz, Haruna in Madagascar. But basically it was a lame showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 13, 2013 Share Posted March 13, 2013 You mean Sandra. It still looks pretty decent in the last frame-- there's still a clear center. From Oz Cyclone Chasers FB post... Oz Cyclone Chasers A very strange scenario developing with Tropical Cyclone Sandra with the Bureau Of Meteorology continuing to issue Tropical Cyclone Advices for the system despite the fact that as the system re-intensifies it is expected to do so via extra tropical methods (baroclinic instability) and not tropical methods. Fascinating stuff.... If you recall Hurricane Sandy in the USA did something similar and created a lot of controversy as the public demanded Tropical Cyclone (hurricane) warnings for the system, yet the system was not classified as tropical upon landfall.The end result is the same folks Tropical or non-tropical, residents of Lord Howe Island need to prepare for some potentially extreme weather conditions. It will be interesting to see what the models show with this system later this evening. Sandy in America and Sandra in Australia, similar systems in more than just name - surely it's a gee up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted March 14, 2013 Author Share Posted March 14, 2013 A low moved across the Gulf of Carpentaria and Cape York Peninsula, and now it's become Cyclone Tim over the Coral Sea. The JTWC and BoM both have it strengthening first, then weakening in a few days as it boomerangs back toward the Queensland coast near Mackay in hostile conditions. Something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 Weak tropical low far from land, not getting stronger, and heading further from land... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 I think this season's over-- in the sense of anything interesting happening. Yeah, Monica happened in April, but still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Mildly interesting. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.7S155.1E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S 154.2E, APPROXIMATELY 510 NMEAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, PAPUA NEW GUINEA. RECENT ANIMATEDMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTIONDEVELOPING AROUND A SLOWLY DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER(LLCC) ALSO EVIDENT IN A 272233Z ASCAT IMAGE. THIS DISTURBANCE LIESSOUTHWEST OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTER IN AN AREA OF MODERATENORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE WESTWARD AND POLEWARDOUTFLOW ALOFT. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THESYSTEM MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SEA SURFACETEMPERATURES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, RANGING FROM 29 TO 30DEGREES CELSIUS. BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS, MAXIMUMSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEALEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. ALTHOUGHENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT,BASED ON THE SLOWLY ORGANIZING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND EXPECTATIONSOF LESS FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THEDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted April 29, 2013 Share Posted April 29, 2013 Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 Not much interest apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 Hints of an eye from time to time... Stupid NRL site... ForbiddenYou don't have permission to access /TC.html on this server. Apache/2.2.15 (Red Hat) Server at www.nrlmry.navy.mil Port 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted April 30, 2013 Share Posted April 30, 2013 about as good as you're going to do in late April....better than nothing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted May 1, 2013 Share Posted May 1, 2013 about as good as you're going to do in late AprilNot exactly. Check out Monica (2006) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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