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Aussie (& S-Hemisphere) Cyclone Action 2012-2013


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I-Cyclone almost owes it to its Australian fanbase to intercept a storm this year.  I sometimes watch old I-Cyclone videos in the off season, but a new Southern Hemisphere intercept...

 

Ha ha, I do kind of feel that way.  :D

 

If something good comes up now, I'll chase it.  I'm coming off a crazy period at work and have more flexibility now.  Plus, I just really want to have a S-Hemisphere system under my belt.

 

Thanks for watching iCyclone videos on the off-season.  ;)

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OK, thx.  So, while you don't expect it, there is a decent chance of a legit, decent, tropical impact?

Yeah. I mean, the landfall scenario could bring it in as far north as Gladstone. Or it could be south of Brisbane. Or it could go out to sea entirely. And it's still a week away cause it has to meander in the Coral Sea through the weekend.

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Yeah. I mean, the landfall scenario could bring it in as far north as Gladstone. Or it could be south of Brisbane. Or it could go out to sea entirely. And it's still a week away cause it has to meander in the Coral Sea through the weekend.

 

D*mn.  Haven't looked at the modeling.  Is it one o' them "squashed-spider" deals?

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REMARKS:

DT=2.0, based on curved band 0.3 to 0.4 wrap. MET is 3.0, PAT is 2.5. Final T

based on PAT. Movement over the last 12 hours has been northeast, although some

uncertainty exists in the current position. Over the next 24 to 48 hours

movement is expected to be towards the east due to the easterly propagation of

the low level monsoon surge and an increase in weak upper level ridging to the

west of the system. Currently the system sits in a low shear environment with

shear over the system of the order of 10 to 15 knots.

 

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia

 

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Oh, the JTWC has Fishcake Sandra at 130 kt right now-- however, they have it weakening pretty quickly from this point on, so even if it hits New Caledonia, it won't be what it is now.

They were way overestimating the intensity. SATCON was nowhere near that high.

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