blizznd Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 How are things shaping up long-term? I am making a business trip to Fargo 2/24/13-2/27/13. Looking like a quiet period coming up for your trip now.... much warmer that it has been 25 to 30 during the day and teens at night. may not be a lot of sun it appears though. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?map.x=194&map.y=187&site=fgf&zmx=1&zmy=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Surprised none of you northern plains folks have brought up this upcoming northern stream ejection and very long lived frontogenesis event. It is going to be impressive across portion of Nodak into western/central MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 Surprised none of you northern plains folks have brought up this upcoming northern stream ejection and very long lived frontogenesis event. It is going to be impressive across portion of Nodak into western/central MN. I was holding off until models came into more agreement...been burnt too many times bringing up events too early. Anyway, MPX does have a wsw out for my local area for sun night/mon...6+ they are saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSchwake28 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I'm with prinsburg, the model spread before today was outrageous with the GEM the only model really bringing snows this far north. The models have really come in line today and it looks like the GEM was onto something after all. A quick glance of this morning's runs show a general .5-1" QPF up around this way. This would make it the largest storm over at least the last two winters in GFK, so obviously I'm a bit skeptical but at least a couple of inches would be hard to argue against at this point. It'll be a win win for me though, as much as I enjoy a good snow the calander says March now and I'm more than ready for some "warmer" (30's would be nice) weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Have some fun with these clown plots from the GFS and 4km NAM! My area will see only wind from this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 This one really crept up on me. I've been so focused on research and school that I only saw a few days ago there was even a chance at accumulating snowfall in the southeast part of the region. Then I saw the NAM yesterday and was just thinking "NAM, go home you're drunk"... then some of the other models started moving north and now it looks like we have a decent shot at a really nice snowfall in GFK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I would normally be highly skeptical of the NAM and a northerly track, but this is different than most leeside ejections as this is very zonal aloft, and the cold air will tend not dive S through the Rockies...especially given how unimpressive the cold air is to begin with (not deep and not all that cold). The southern stream jet will also tend to form a stronger secondary lee low...which should help reinforce the baroclinic zone a bit farther N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 I would normally be highly skeptical of the NAM and a northerly track, but this is different than most leeside ejections as this is very zonal aloft, and the cold air will tend not dive S through the Rockies...especially given how unimpressive the cold air is to begin with (not deep and not all that cold). The southern stream jet will also tend to form a stronger secondary lee low...which should help reinforce the baroclinic zone a bit farther N. Looks like all 0z models have shifted north some...12z euro was north with it's run as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I am not going to start a thread. Someone else should...even if we only have 10 posts in it by the time it is all said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 7, 2013 Author Share Posted March 7, 2013 Another winter storm event possible late friday thru sunday for w & n MN URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN324 PM CST THU MAR 7 2013...SIGNIFICANT ICING AND SNOWFALL POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGHSUNDAY MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRALMINNESOTA....AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SHIFTING EAST FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINSINTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAYWILL SPREAD A MIX OF RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS WESTERNAND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MINNESOTA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL STARTOUT AS A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGHSATURDAY MORNING...MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO RAIN DURING THE DAYON SATURDAY...THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO LIGHT SNOW SATURDAYEVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATION OFONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH ALONG WITH SNOWFALL TOTALS RANGINGFROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAYMORNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE ALONG ANDWEST OF A LINE FROM MORA TO ELK RIVER TO HUTCHINSON TO REDWOODFALLS.MNZ041>045-047>051-054>059-064>066-073-080600-/O.NEW.KMPX.WS.A.0006.130309T0200Z-130310T1200Z/DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-BENTON-SHERBURNE-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-REDWOOD-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...FOLEY...ELK RIVER...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...HUTCHINSON...REDWOOD FALLS324 PM CST THU MAR 7 2013...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGHSUNDAY MORNING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUEDA WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENINGTHROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.* TIMING: FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW TO DEVELOP LATE FRIDAY EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY ON SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO RAIN DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO LIGHT SNOW SATURDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE AS LIGHT SNOW THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.* MAIN IMPACT: POTENTIAL ICE ACCUMULATION OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE ALONG WITH SNOW ACCUMULATION OF BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES THROUGHOUT THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT. TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS STARTING FRIDAY NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iastfan112 Posted March 9, 2013 Share Posted March 9, 2013 The drive through South Dakota last evening was thoroughly unpleasant, onset of the freezing rain was quicker than I anticipated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian Express Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 .49" of rain so far IMBY. Turned the gravel roads into skating rinks, sand/gravel trucks had to back up hills to lay down grit. I hate rain in this type of weather. WSW SE MN tonight, one County away, I could get grazed. I'm over winter, bring on the warmer temps and some sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted March 10, 2013 Share Posted March 10, 2013 .49" of rain so far IMBY. Turned the gravel roads into skating rinks, sand/gravel trucks had to back up hills to lay down grit. I hate rain in this type of weather. WSW SE MN tonight, one County away, I could get grazed. I'm over winter, bring on the warmer temps and some sun. I'm ready for spring weather too. Also, makes me so mad too when I'm so close and just miss the action thats only a county away. When that happens I find myself saying I want to move. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 10, 2013 Author Share Posted March 10, 2013 .49" of rain so far IMBY. Turned the gravel roads into skating rinks, sand/gravel trucks had to back up hills to lay down grit. I hate rain in this type of weather. WSW SE MN tonight, one County away, I could get grazed. I'm over winter, bring on the warmer temps and some sun. .72 total IMBY...nothing but a sheet of ice as everything has frozen over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian Express Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 Well, topped the ice and remaining snow pack off with 5" of snow. It was really coming down for a while last night. Hope this is it for bigger snows. The Cardinals are singing so that's a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian Express Posted March 11, 2013 Share Posted March 11, 2013 I would have much rather had 2 feet of 20:1 than the 5 inches of concrete. That is hard to move by hand or machine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Looks like there will be a storm train coming across this region into my neck of the woods over the next 5 days at least. Will be in the Black Hills for the next 5 days, any chance that weekend system will be bigger than currently forecasted? Any thoughts welcome. I don't mind a little snow, just hopefully nothing like the last system. --- Beautiful shot Siberian Express, reminds me of the trees here after the 2/7/13 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Looks like this storm on the 18th-21st. could be heading towards me. I hope so. Anything better than nothing. lol We could see 2-4" here on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 14, 2013 Author Share Posted March 14, 2013 GFK in for another winter storm on friday. Another winter storm looks likely for the same area for sun-mon. 12z euro caving to the gfs, "no surprise" as the L moves through MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizznd Posted March 14, 2013 Share Posted March 14, 2013 Yes an interesting time up here in Grand Forks region. It will only serve to ramp up flooding concerns as if or when this -AO relaxes and warmer air comes in it could be early to mid April and then go from cold to very warm very fast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 14, 2013 Author Share Posted March 14, 2013 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 305 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2013 ...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT... .A STORM SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO ORGANIZE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATER THIS EVENING AND MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. INITIALLY...WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL CAUSE PRECIPITATION TO FALL IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET FOR AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 94...WITH THE PREDOMINANT TYPE OF FREEZING RAIN FOR AREAS ALONG THE MINNESOTA RIVER VALLEY...SOUTHWARD TO THE IOWA BORDER. AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 94 WILL HAVE A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW...POSSIBLY SOME FREEZING RAIN EARLY...BEFORE CHANGING TO SNOW BY FRIDAY MORNING. ONCE COLDER AIR MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING...THE PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW. THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION FRIDAY MORNING...BEFORE THE NEXT WAVE OF SNOWFALL DEVELOPS DURING THE AFTERNOON. BY SATURDAY MORNING... SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES NORTH OF AN ALEXANDRIA TO SAINT CLOUD MINNESOTA...TO EAU CLAIRE WISCONSIN LINE. AREAS SOUTH OF MORRIS TO THE TWIN CITIES AND RED WING WILL LIKELY SEE AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ALONG THE MINNESOTA RIVER VALLEY...TO THE IOWA BORDER. MNZ041>043-047>050-054>058-064-065-073-150500- /O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0016.130315T0600Z-130316T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE- SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-REDWOOD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...FOLEY...MADISON... BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...GRANITE FALLS... OLIVIA...REDWOOD FALLS 305 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2013 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM CDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM CDT SATURDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY...TO 1 AM SATURDAY MORNING. * TIMING: A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND SPREAD SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. THE MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY FRIDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT: TOTAL SNOWFALL BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES NORTH OF AN ALEXANDRIA TO SAINT CLOUD MINNESOTA...TO EAU CLAIRE WISCONSIN LINE...TO ONE TO FOUR INCHES SOUTH OF THIS LINE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH ALONG THE MINNESOTA RIVER VALLEY...TO THE IOWA BORDER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Yes an interesting time up here in Grand Forks region. It will only serve to ramp up flooding concerns as if or when this -AO relaxes and warmer air comes in it could be early to mid April and then go from cold to very warm very fast.... Combining three storms (8 days), the GFS has 27" of snow for Bismarck ND. The storm at day 7 (i.e. 984mb in Nebraska) may not verify too well though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizznd Posted March 15, 2013 Share Posted March 15, 2013 Combining three storms (8 days), the GFS has 27" of snow for Bismarck ND. The storm at day 7 (i.e. 984mb in Nebraska) may not verify too well though. Bismarck could handle the snow much better as all theirs has melted.....they were 62 Thursday. Meanwhile 28 in Grand Forks. But yes the Monday one does look pretty intense on 12z GFS/Euro. They do need more moisture in southwest and south central ND so they would welcome it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSchwake28 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Nothing to do with the upcmoing storm but it dropped to -21 this morning here in the GFK. Pretty remarkable for mid March. Haven't checke the numbers yet but I'm sure that probably shattered the record for a second day in a row up here. Amazing what a decent snowpack can do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSchwake28 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Also, just for sharts and giggles, it was 70 degrees this day last year. A nice 91 degree turnaround. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Actually, it looks like it hit -23 this morning in Grand Forks, intra-hour. That is a departure of -40 vs. the normal low of 17...and it shatters the previous record low of -14 from 1967. Just incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted March 31, 2013 Share Posted March 31, 2013 Grand Forks hasn't had a temp above 40 for 118 consecutive days (since December 3). This streak may continue for at least another week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted April 14, 2013 Author Share Posted April 14, 2013 Looks like another possible winter storm event for parts of the n plains tue night - thur...12z euro coming north towards the gfs/ggem, no surprise there. NW Nebraska up through W/N Minnesota look good right now for wintry precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted April 17, 2013 Author Share Posted April 17, 2013 Most likely the last winter type storm potential of the season for most of MN shaping up for late thu-fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted April 17, 2013 Share Posted April 17, 2013 Fargo will shatter the record for the latest first 50 degree temp of the season...and records go back to 1881! The record may be extended to April 22, at least. 4/17 - 1881 4/16 - 1962, 1979 4/15 - 1950 4/13 - 1965, 1982, 1989, 2001 4/12 - 1923 4/11 - 1937 Plus, Fargo has had continuous snow cover since December 9. Even more amazing, I believe, is that Grand Forks has not had a temp above 40 since December 3. They did reach exactly 40 on January 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.