ZackH Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 System getting more and more sheared as we tick through the runs today. Yup... this one's pretty much a no go as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted April 4, 2015 Share Posted April 4, 2015 Yup... this one's pretty much a no go as well. Had a very nice FROPA yesterday. Rain to snow grains complete with 10F temp drop in approx 10-12 mins. Add in 35KT gusts, had vis drop on the 19 from 7SM to 3/4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 First of two waves moving through the region. Appears along and North of RT 2 is where the snow has managed to accumulate the most with at least a half inch look to it on cameras from out in the DL basin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted April 15, 2015 Share Posted April 15, 2015 Sweltering out there. 76F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted May 4, 2015 Share Posted May 4, 2015 Business is picking up as widespread system is set to affect the majority of the Northern Plains/Interamountain West mid week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted May 7, 2015 Share Posted May 7, 2015 Models have been hinting at it for awhile and now a threat for flakes has held on into the 4 day range. Forms out of that bowling ball type deal that plows through SOCAL. System amplifies through the Plains as high lat ridging drops fresh 103x HP out of the Arctic Circle. Hudson Bay Vortex anchors the HP in place. Threat looks legit IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted May 8, 2015 Share Posted May 8, 2015 Winter wx packages have been put out for the Black Hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 The 4km NAM 60-hr snowfall is over 18". You don't see this too much in May. (This even shows various amounts of snow over 2" for northeast Colorado) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 Depending on dynamics, 8-16" is what the NWS is going with for the Rapid City area. Patience has truly been a virtue for those folks waiting for a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted May 9, 2015 Share Posted May 9, 2015 Depending on dynamics, 8-16" is what the NWS is going with for the Rapid City area. Patience has truly been a virtue for those folks waiting for a big storm. NWS calling for 20"+ in the northern Black Hills. Even Denver may see 4-6". Crazy for May 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 NWS calling for 20"+ in the northern Black Hills. Even Denver may see 4-6". Crazy for May 10.Yeah, the higher elevations are gonna get crushed.Classic Black Hills event. Wish I was there to see it. Although on this date in 1966, Pittsburgh recordrd 3.1" of snow. So I guess there's a chance, based on history. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted May 10, 2015 Share Posted May 10, 2015 Going to be a close call here in Bismarck... Could be 6-8 inches or just mostly rain. Tough forecast and one we are struggling with as an office. Looks pretty certain to have significant snowfall in south central ND for sure, however. Will be into work at 5am. Should be an interesting day. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted June 17, 2015 Share Posted June 17, 2015 Pretty darn nice pattern. Quick hitting rain followed by 24-36 hrs of 70's with low dews. Rinse and repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 6, 2015 Share Posted July 6, 2015 2.5 mile vis at MSP from smoke from the Canadian wildfires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted July 24, 2015 Share Posted July 24, 2015 Impressive line cutting across C ND at the moment. Several bowing segments can be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted July 30, 2015 Share Posted July 30, 2015 GF WFO did a nice write up of the recent wind event. How unusual is this type of event for late July? Although it is typical to get strong winds gusts in July associated with thunderstorms, it is quite unusual to see such strong winds associated with a synoptic (large scale) weather system. Such a weather system would more typically occur later in the Fall through the Winter and into the Spring. To put this in perspective, looking at the 1979-2009 climatology, and using wind speeds around 850mb (3000-3500 feet above the surface) as a proxy for the strength of this system, these wind speeds have never happened within this 30-year period during this time of year. Looking at this from another angle, the 850mb wind speeds were roughtly 6 standard deviations from the mean, which related to a probability of occurrence near 0.001% for this time of year! http://www.weather.gov/fgf/StrongJuly28Winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 31, 2015 Share Posted July 31, 2015 That certainly seems to make sense. The 850mb height was 5 standard deviations below normal, on the border of ND, around this time frame. I don't believe I have seen any other times in summertime when there were non-thunderstorm wind reports of 60-70mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted August 15, 2015 Share Posted August 15, 2015 RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 500 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2015 ..RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT BISMARCK ND SO FAR...A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 105 DEGREES HAS BEEN SET AT BISMARCK ND SATURDAY AUGUST 15 2015. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 101 SET IN 2003. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted August 16, 2015 Share Posted August 16, 2015 RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 500 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2015 ..RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT BISMARCK ND SO FAR...A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 105 DEGREES HAS BEEN SET AT BISMARCK ND SATURDAY AUGUST 15 2015. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 101 SET IN 2003. Yuck. Not that bad in the NE portion but HI did break the century Mark a couple days. Fronts through and beautiful out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Another FROPA leads to a fall sneak peek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Have breached the 30s threshold. 39F the low. Beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted September 24, 2015 Share Posted September 24, 2015 Stepping on down. GFS suggest frost potential next Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted November 4, 2015 Share Posted November 4, 2015 GFS has been tilting the mid level troff more and more as the runs progress. Result is more QPF back into the cold air and now the NWS switching plain rain to a rain to rain/snow mix with mentions of minor accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted November 5, 2015 Share Posted November 5, 2015 Dumping dendrites since approx noon here in the Northern RRV. Approx quarter inch in the grass and other non paved surfaces slushing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Snow to the North, East, South and West but looking at little to non here. What in the ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 27, 2015 Share Posted November 27, 2015 The GFS and ECMWF are now picking up on a decent snow event for the Twin Cities, South Dakota, and Nebraska as the Great Basin upper low ejects away from the Rockies. -- Sioux Falls SD discussion -- WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE CANADIAN GEM...ALL DETERMINISTIC MODELSARE SHOWING OVER 0.5" OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH MAXIMUMAMOUNTS EXCEEDING 1" WHERE THE HEAVIER SNOWFALL SETS UP ON MONDAY.AT THIS POINT...EXPECTING SNOW RATIOS FROM 9:1 EARLY IN THE EVENTTO 13:1 BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT. THIS COULD MEAN A LARGE PORTION OFTHE FORECAST AREA SEEING OVER 6 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH SOME AREASHAVING THE POTENTIAL TO MORE THAN 8 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IN 24 H. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 28, 2015 Share Posted November 28, 2015 December 2015 may be one of the warmest on record for the Northern Plains with a strong +EPO and weakened northern jet due to El Nino. Long range GFS shows +10C 850s up to Hudson Bay with almost none of the CONUS below 0C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted December 1, 2015 Share Posted December 1, 2015 Snow started half hour ago and now we have a good layer out there on all surfaces. Expecting 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panes and Portlets Posted December 1, 2015 Share Posted December 1, 2015 Winter wonderland as E ND receives their first widespread multi inch snowfall of the year. Have 3" and still coming down with a last min advisory for up to 5". Radar precip totals suggest the heaviest forcing shifted North of Fargo with up to a half inch of liquid falling between Fargo and Grand Forks...which fell in line with HIRES guidance late last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted December 1, 2015 Share Posted December 1, 2015 Winter wonderland as E ND receives their first widespread multi inch snowfall of the year. Have 3" and still coming down with a last min advisory for up to 5". Radar precip totals suggest the heaviest forcing shifted North of Fargo with up to a half inch of liquid falling between Fargo and Grand Forks...which fell in line with HIRES guidance late last night. Congrats - it's about time. Unfortunately, it looks like temps of 40-45 this weekend will melt much of the snow. It's going to be a struggle to sustain snow cover for awhile anywhere in the U.S., with the raging El Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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