prinsburg_wx Posted February 26, 2014 Author Share Posted February 26, 2014 Another Blizz warning for ya Prinz.....good luck. Is this a record for Blizzard warning for a winter? I think so..i think this is 7 or 8 blizzard warnings this season. No additional snow though which sucks but it is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Duluth has been below zero 63 times this winter. That breaks the previous record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Cavalier, ND K2C8-- brutal blizzard weather once again. I think we have to disregard the -RA observation and replace it with snow or blowing snow. K2C8 261855Z AUTO 35021G28KT M1/4SM +SN OVC001 M14/M17 A2975 RMK AO2 P0004 K2C8 262015Z AUTO 34027G36KT 1/2SM -RA BKN019 M15/M18 A2980 RMK AO2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizznd Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Cavalier, ND K2C8-- brutal blizzard weather once again. I think we have to disregard the -RA observation and replace it with snow or blowing snow. K2C8 261855Z AUTO 35021G28KT M1/4SM +SN OVC001 M14/M17 A2975 RMK AO2 P0004 K2C8 262015Z AUTO 34027G36KT 1/2SM -RA BKN019 M15/M18 A2980 RMK AO2 Cavalier is one of several AWOS's the state of ND contracted with All Weather Inc out of California to put in at some airport. There is a known issue with its algorithm to determine precip type and with precipitation accumulation (P group). The AWOS determines P type by using an algorithm of how the precipitation particles move in front of a laser. Thus often we have in times of blowing and drifting snow.... the laser sensor thinking the particles are light rain instead of snow, even though temps are very cold. Thus often in a blowing snow event we have many sites with -RA. Also there are no true precip tipping buckets or the like at these stations. Instead it estimates the precipitation by sensing how the precipitation is moving around the laser. Thus in times of blowing snow, or wind driven rain, it goes bonkers and thinks it heavy rain. So we dont use the precipitation from these at all.. And as in most cases with even ASOS's, many AWOS sites will report an IFR cig even though it is clear out....due to a layer of blowing snow/ice crystals detected by the ceilometer. So like with any data, always use with caution. Dan NWS Grand Forks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 NWS forecast for Cut Bank MT...this is insane anytime of year, let alone early March. Normal high is 38. If the high of -18 materializes on Saturday, it will be a -56 departure from normal. Late Afternoon: Snow likely. Mostly sunny and cold, with a steady temperature around -11. Wind chill values as low as -34. North northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Tonight: Snow likely, mainly before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around -37. Wind chill values as low as -56. North wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday: A 30 percent chance of snow, mainly after 11am. Mostly sunny and cold, with a high near -18. Wind chill values as low as -61. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Little or no snow accumulation expected. Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around -34. Wind chill values as low as -46. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian Express Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Had a morning low of -24 this morning. That makes 53 days of having a sub zero reading for me. I'm sitting at 65 inches of snow to date for the season, with over 2 feet on the ground. Driveway looks like a bobsled track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AgeeWx Posted March 7, 2014 Share Posted March 7, 2014 It's raining in Grand Forks with a surface temperature holding at 33 F. I've never been so happy to see rain in my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 This is the forecast for the South Dakota/Minnesota border. It sounds like they could almost use a blizzard warning. Rain and snow, possibly mixed with sleet, becoming all snow after 8am. The rain and snow could be heavy at times. Temperature falling to around 25 by 10am. Windy, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AgeeWx Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 It's still ~96 hours out but the Euro has parts of the Northern Plains getting absolutely pounded Sunday night and in to Monday morning. Current snowfall using 10:1 ratios from QPF output shows a large swath of 12" across C ND/MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 It's still ~96 hours out but the Euro has parts of the Northern Plains getting absolutely pounded Sunday night and in to Monday morning. Current snowfall using 10:1 ratios from QPF output shows a large swath of 12" across C ND/MN. I think someone needs to start a thread. A classic N Plains spring storm. I am currently skeptical of the ECMWF northern track, however. Hard to get that type of snow so far N with a CO low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 The GFS says 6-16" in South Dakota. The GFS and NAM show that there will be 30-50knot winds at 850mb South Dakota, which could mix to the surface for severe blizzard conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted April 1, 2014 Author Share Posted April 1, 2014 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 404 PM CDT TUE APR 1 2014 ...MAJOR WINTER STORM BECOMING LIKELY THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... .A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED EAST OF A LINE FROM CANBY TO MONTEVIDEO...PAYNESVILLE...AND LAKE MILLE LACS MINNESOTA FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE TWIN CITIES METRO AND WESTERN WISCONSIN. A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM WITH COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL TRACK FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THURSDAY MORNING TO NORTHERN MISSOURI THURSDAY EVENING AND LAKE MICHIGAN EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A LARGE BATCH OF PRECIPITATION BEGINNING AS A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL TURN TO ALL SNOW THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH 1 TO 2 INCH PER HOUR RATES POSSIBLE. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ACROSS EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN. MNZ044-045-049>053-056>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016- 023>028-020515- /O.NEW.KMPX.WS.A.0005.140403T1800Z-140404T2100Z/ MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEARNS-BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO- CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON- YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA- REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH- WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK- ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRINCETON...MORA...ST. CLOUD...FOLEY... ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR... LITCHFIELD...MONTICELLO...MINNEAPOLIS...BLAINE...ST. PAUL... STILLWATER...GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...HUTCHINSON...GAYLORD... CHASKA...SHAKOPEE...BURNSVILLE...REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM... ST. PETER...LE SUEUR...FARIBAULT...RED WING...ST. JAMES... MANKATO...WASECA...OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...BLUE EARTH... ALBERT LEA...AMERY...BALSAM LAKE...RICE LAKE...BARRON... LADYSMITH...HUDSON...NEW RICHMOND...RIVER FALLS...PRESCOTT... MENOMONIE...BOYCEVILLE...DURAND...PEPIN...CHIPPEWA FALLS... BLOOMER...EAU CLAIRE...ALTOONA 404 PM CDT TUE APR 1 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING...THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MID FRIDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS A LIGHT WINTRY MIX WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF FRIDAY AFTERNOON. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS LIKELY ACROSS EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN. * WIND...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 35 MPH. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALSO BE A WET SNOW WHICH WILL BE DIFFICULT TO SHOVEL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted April 2, 2014 Share Posted April 2, 2014 Someone want to start a thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian Express Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 It was 52 degrees 50 mi. SE of the twin cities at 4:33pm. I feel for them........naw, after this winter, better them than me. RECORD EVENT REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHANHASSEN MN433 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT ST CLOUD MN...A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 7.2 INCHES WAS SET AT ST CLOUD MN TODAY.IT IS STILL SNOWING. WE WILL UPDATE THIS REPORT WHEN THE SNOW STOPS.THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 3.0 INCHES SET IN 1961.$CARLYON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted April 17, 2014 Author Share Posted April 17, 2014 7.7" here today. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTEDNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN737 PM CDT WED APR 16 2014..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON.....DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS..0736 PM SNOW 2 NW NORTH BRANCH 45.54N 93.00W04/16/2014 M15.1 INCH CHISAGO MN TRAINED SPOTTER0729 PM SNOW 4 N ANDOVER 45.32N 93.33W04/16/2014 M11.5 INCH ANOKA MN TRAINED SPOTTER0726 PM SNOW SACRED HEART 44.78N 95.35W04/16/2014 M9.3 INCH RENVILLE MN TRAINED SPOTTER0727 PM SNOW 3 SE OTSEGO 45.26N 93.57W04/16/2014 M10.5 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian Express Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 The May 6, 1965 Tornadoes..... The worst tornadoes in Twin Cities history occurred in 1965, with five tornadoes sweeping across the western and northern portions of the 7-county region, and a sixth tornado just outside the metropolitan area. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/mpx/HistoricalEvents/1965May06/index.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted May 8, 2014 Share Posted May 8, 2014 Where do Minnesota tornado watches go, sub-forum wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKevinM Posted May 16, 2014 Share Posted May 16, 2014 56, Sunny with a few clouds in GFK. Its absolutely awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 I'm pleased to announce that I've accepted the Intern Meteorologist position with the National Weather Service office in Bismarck, ND... so excited that I've reached another step towards my dream career. Can't wait to keep discussing Northern Plains weather for years to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted May 19, 2014 Share Posted May 19, 2014 Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian Express Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Better late than never ......Congratulations Zack! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Thanks guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizznd Posted May 27, 2014 Share Posted May 27, 2014 Watford City ND Tornado (up close and personal) hit a man camp 5 S Watford City -- injuring 9. Hit around 730 pm Memorial Day. Viewer discretion-- strong language. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GtP3ls9_VhU&feature=share Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfgmfg Posted June 16, 2014 Share Posted June 16, 2014 Got some potential record flooding in store for the Rock River in Rock Valley and Rock Rapids (creative naming isn't it?) http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=fsd&gage=rkvi4 edit - well that escalated quickly: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfgmfg Posted June 17, 2014 Share Posted June 17, 2014 We cannot afford any more rain in the Rock River watershed in Northwest Iowa and Southwest Minnesota for the next few days. The river is already well past 1993 flood levels Rock River at a Glance. The entire town of Alvord, IA was evacuated and parts of Rock Valley are flooded with heavy volunteer sandbagging efforts ongoing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted June 21, 2014 Share Posted June 21, 2014 The weekend of June 28th and the 29th is looking very interesting up here for the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley, in particular the Dakota's and Minnesota. I would suggest that most of the disco should go into that thread, instead of the central states. Way to earlier to start a thread discussing the threat at this time The GFS/ECMWF/GEM are strongly hinting at it. But if model trends hold by say Monday morning the 23rd it would be time to start a separate thread. Lets see what the next few days of model trends show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted July 2, 2014 Share Posted July 2, 2014 The GFS shows an interesting severe setup for Monday the 7th in eastern ND. The Euro isn't near as bullish and is worlds apart, but the GFS has had this potential for a few runs now with fantastic directional and speed shear as well as moderate to strong instability in the warm sector/cold front and along the triple point and warm front near the Canadian border. EML may be an issue but 8-10 degree 700s can be overcome with a nice strong disturbance. Will be interesting to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZackH Posted July 3, 2014 Share Posted July 3, 2014 Well that went away quickly but Saturday looks interesting in ND and MN Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 5, 2014 Share Posted July 5, 2014 This morning's Nebraska and Iowa MCS was quite rainy. the Omaha and DMX radars show that 5" of rain fell in western Iowa! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettjrob Posted July 6, 2014 Share Posted July 6, 2014 Large tornado in SK today. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nukvniTxuVM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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