Ian Posted September 30, 2012 Share Posted September 30, 2012 Tuesday looks moderately interesting tornadowise somewhere in the region at this point with the low going west. CAPE sucks tho. More rain at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Strong low pressure to the West of Washington is going to happen a lot this winter. But you get a few along the coast storms to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Cool, cloudy, and damp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Tomorrow looks wet, AvDave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Jonjon will see his first flakes this month....congrats (I see you're lurking!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Tomorrow looks wet, AvDave. atta boy, now you got it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Sprinkles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 raining at home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Wasn't raining on the way into work but now it is flat out dumping near Fairfax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Really not looking forward to low 80s this week, but the air mass coming in overnight on Friday will make it worth it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Wasn't raining on the way into work but now it is flat out dumping near Fairfax Yeah, this is a nice batch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Slight risk area for Western WV this afternoon. Feels like a Spring morning, warm with rain showers and DP creeping up into the 60s...0.45" since midnight. Had a rumble of thunder around midnight last night. SLY WINDS WILL TRANSPORT MOISTURE /SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S/ NWD ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR. MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST AN AREA OF SURFACE HEATING WILL OCCUR WITHIN A MIDLEVEL DRY SLOT TO THE E/NE OF THE WEAKENING SURFACE CYCLONE...CONTRIBUTING TO MUCAPE GENERALLY AOB 500 J/KG...GIVEN WEAK LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. DESPITE WEAKENING SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS...STRENGTHENING SLY MIDLEVEL WINDS /50-60 KT/ WILL RESULT IN ELONGATED HODOGRAPHS WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS. FORCING FOR ASCENT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE OH VALLEY INTO THE AFTERNOON WITHIN THE EXIT REGION OF THE STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL JET PROMOTING AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION AND DIURNAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY WHERE DIABATIC HEATING IS GREATEST. DESPITE AN EXPECTED DECREASE IN LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE AS THE LLJ WEAKENS INTO THE AFTERNOON...0-1 KM SRH AROUND 100 M2/S2 SUGGESTS A TORNADO THREAT CANNOT BE RULED OUT. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AS WELL WITH THE MORE ROBUST TSTMS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 0.63" so far this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Really not looking forward to low 80s this week, but the air mass coming in overnight on Friday will make it worth it. what are you, a snowman? it's 80, not 100. go walk, run, golf, paint the house. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 0.63" so far this morning. more coming too. really impressed with how heavy these showers have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 what are you, a snowman? it's 80, not 100. go walk, run, golf, paint the house. lol The colder the better baby!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Looking forward to the 80s tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Been a downpour in Balt City for about an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Record max mins might be in play tomorrow. Pump up the departure before we get chilly on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 IAD over one inch already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 IAD over one inch already Wow, 0.05" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Wow, 0.05" here. There is going to be a corridor of well over an inch from Culpepper through IAD to the NW exurbs of Baltimore. Nice soaker. Just topped an inch at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Been getting raked all morning in Gaithersburg... got into work just before the rain really set in after 3:30. Hoping to catch a break in the rain when I leave. IMBY we've got easily what IAD has gotten today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 The colder the better baby!! I'm a warm weather fan so I understand...I sound like you in winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Just clipped 1.00" for the day and 1.02" for the event in Ballenger Creek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 1.17" - wettest day since June 1 at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Just clipped 1.00" for the day and 1.02" for the event in Ballenger Creek. Nice. Up to 0.86" on the north side of the city. Power out at most locations down here in Rockville from a power surge. Most traffic lights still out and businesses without power. Fun morning if you don't have to be on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 I gotta stop being lazy with my gauge. I'm impressed with this morning. Definitely 1"+ but I didn't measure. Looks like some areas could easily approach 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 what are you, a snowman? it's 80, not 100. go walk, run, golf, paint the house. lol Seriously!!! Some people here really need to be living up in the arctic circle. It's not like it's July and the forecast is for 100 degrees. Two or three days of 80 degrees in October is pleasant. Temps in the 20s and 30s with windchills much lower will be here soon enough, so why not enjoy the mild weather while we still have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 2, 2012 Author Share Posted October 2, 2012 Over-performer? Models don't handle anomalous precipitable water values well I suppose... everything was pretty dry yesterday (a few tenths of an inch). DCA precip seems low compared to what I saw around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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