Solak Posted October 12, 2012 Share Posted October 12, 2012 First 30's of the fall this morning around here. Currently 39° at KJNX, 2 miles to the East of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 14, 2012 Author Share Posted October 14, 2012 NWS Raleigh The earlier long and straight forecast hodographs become increasingly cyclonically-curved in the lowest km...which when combined with the strong bulk shear oriented relatively parallel to the surface front...would support a broken line of storms -including supercells conditional upon destabilization west of the earlier wcb - all of which would be capable of producing damaging winds. A threat of large hail and non-zero tornado threat would also accompany any supercell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Great rain event in Weaverville this am. A surprising .93" thru the gauge. The storms seemed to enhance as they hit the mnts. from the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Picked up a bonus .5 - .7 this am,with some thunder.a lot more than I was expecting here in GSP area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 .01 at CAE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 had a surprise .73" here in the gauge when i got up this morning. this cool weather is great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Only .15" here, did hear thunder though. Looks like the next front will have only a dying line of showers, then back to dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 .40" so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 .21" this morning. Feels wonderful outside right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 15, 2012 Author Share Posted October 15, 2012 Thunder, lightning, and heavy rain this morning on the way to college. 0.92 North Wilkesboro coop 0.91 North Wilkesboro 0.4 S cocorahs 0.88 Elk Creek at Elkville dcp 0.72 W Kerr Scott resv coop/dcp 0.68 Roaring River dcp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Unless we get something with the actual front this evening, we're going to end up with just .03". Not good, with the long range looking as dry as it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Mt. Mitchell already down to 42.8 !! http://nc-climate.ncsu.edu/cronos?station=MITC&temporal=hourly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 I gained 0.87 inch in the rain department this morning. It all fell between 7 AM and 10 AM. It was much more than expected based on the width and speed of the line of precipitation according to radar returns. So, I am very pleasantly surprised with this total. For the month of October, I have now registered 1.96 inches of rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 Woke up to a beautiful 46 degrees and the forecasted high today is 71, perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 I got a solid half inch yesterday morn, and I slept right through what was, by all accounts, a very noisey event. 45.3 this morning meant I slept good last night too Window open, and under a blanket, with 20 lbs. of cat on top of me. A sure sign winter is coming, lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 I like to sleep with a 120 lb cat on top of me!? I got a solid half inch yesterday morn, and I slept right through what was, by all accounts, a very noisey event. 45.3 this morning meant I slept good last night too Window open, and under a blanket, with 20 lbs. of cat on top of me. A sure sign winter is coming, lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 It's a shame I work the morning shift... I sure would have loved to get out and enjoy the upper 40s we saw here! Oh well, Saturday morning is looking pretty cool down here Oh, and running without sunshine isn't fun... Blasted clouds from Hurricane Paul! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted October 17, 2012 Author Share Posted October 17, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 Nice cold foggy morning. 31 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 36.3° in Weaverville this am. Colder than forecast but a warm up to around 70° on tap for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 Sounds halfway promising the other day didnt really pan out down here so we will see what this one can do From SPC .THUNDERSTORM APPEAR LIKELY TO INITIATE IN THE FOOTHILLS OF THE APPALACHIAN MTNS. THE NAM SOLUTION NOW FORECASTS A LINE OF STORMS TO ORGANIZE ALONG THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH ON THE WRN EDGE OF AN INTENSIFYING LOW-LEVEL JET IN CNTRL VA AND ERN NC DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS CONCERNING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE MAINLY DUE TO THE CONSERVATIVE GFS SOLUTION. AT THIS POINT...WILL FAVOR THE MORE AGGRESSIVE NAM WHICH DEVELOPS STORMS FURTHER SOUTH IN THE UNSTABLE AIR. THE LOW-LEVEL JET SHOULD HELP WITH MOISTURE RETURN AND SFC DEWPOINTS ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE MID 60S F ACROSS ERN VA AND ERN NC BY MID AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...A POCKET OF MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP NEAR RALEIGH NC WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 1000 J/KG AT 21Z. THIS COMBINED WITH 45 TO 50 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY BE ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT. THE MAIN THREAT WOULD BE WIND DAMAGE DUE TO STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND ABOUT 30 KT OF FLOW JUST ABOVE THE SFC. WILL ADD A SLIGHT RISK TO ERN VA AND ERN NC TO ACCOUNT FOR THE INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH WITH NWD EXTENT ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC WHERE INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE WEAK. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD ALSO DECREASE SSWWD ACROSS SC AND ERN GA WHERE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS FORECAST TO BE WEAK. ..BROYLES.. 10/17/2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 Not expecting much around this area tomorrow, better luck to my north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 Hopefully you get some rain out of tomorrow's system... It's looking dry for a while... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarolinaDog Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 36.3° in Weaverville this am. Colder than forecast but a warm up to around 70° on tap for the day. Here on the southside of the county, was very surprised to see a good frosting on the cars this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 Hopefully you get some rain out of tomorrow's system... It's looking dry for a while... Goofy and Dr No tell me not a chance, and the NAM says maybe a sprinkle or two....sigh. I might luck up and catch a few drops in the bucket, but the better chances are to my north and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Not expecting much around this area tomorrow, better luck to my north Picked up 0.21 from a thunderstorm that just moved through. Was in a warning breifly but it just missed me. Few good ground strikes near by with this cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Do I see 80's on the forecast for next week? Blergh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Had about ten drops today.looking kind of dry for the next 7-10 days and warming up .hopefully no 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Let the the GreatGL ULL kick out and then we will talk... After, GoM ridge will modify for a period, 25-27th till we kick into a sustained late fall regime into early Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 0.29" overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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