NorEaster27 Posted October 14, 2012 Share Posted October 14, 2012 sunny and 70 amazing day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 14, 2012 Share Posted October 14, 2012 sunny and 70 amazing day Love these Indian summer days immediately after a freeze. 72.1F with southerlies to 25mph right now here. Low of 42 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted October 14, 2012 Share Posted October 14, 2012 Up to 68.4F here. TORCH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted October 14, 2012 Share Posted October 14, 2012 Had a high of 72 today in Southern Somerset County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted October 14, 2012 Share Posted October 14, 2012 68.6F High today in SW Suffolk, only had a low of 55F which happened at midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 14, 2012 Share Posted October 14, 2012 Turned into a beautiful afternoon. Hard to believe some places may not drop below 60 tonight after being in the mid 30s yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Looking at the long range 6Z GFS for the rest of October looks fairly close to normal with temps and precip with no extremes http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 15, 2012 Author Share Posted October 15, 2012 The comparison in foliage progress/extent to last year is almost laughable at the moment. We are leaps and bounds ahead of last year with much of Northern New England already past peak. 10/12/11: http://www.foliagenetwork.net/images/stories/reports/northeast_us/10122011_lc.gif 10/13/12: http://www.foliagenetwork.com/images/stories/reports/northeast_us/10132012_lc.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 The comparison in foliage progress/extent to last year is almost laughable at the moment. We are leaps and bounds ahead of last year with much of Northern New England already past peak. 10/12/11: http://www.foliagene...10122011_lc.gif 10/13/12: http://www.foliagene...10132012_lc.gif Without a doubt we are peaking here IMBY. Big difference from last yr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Yeah I just posted in the PHL forum that I'm noting significant progression in the past 48 hours, probably delayed response from the cold nights. I'd guess we're borderline high color now (60%) in CNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 some colors just started showing up on some trees and vines around my house...still mostly green... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Yeah I just posted in the PHL forum that I'm noting significant progression in the past 48 hours, probably delayed response from the cold nights. I'd guess we're borderline high color now (60%) in CNJ. Same here on the island. Just beginning to turn in western Nassau but I'm in Suffolk today for work and the leaves have much more color. Pretty big difference over the 10 miles. Clearly a result of uhi keeping Nassau warmer.than Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 After next week's warmup, the Euro,GFS and GEFS agree on cold temps making a comeback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 71 today out on the island. Nothing too extreme in terms of temperature or precip according to the models for the rest of Oct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 For the last 2 years and this year as well, there's negatively tilted strong low pressures close to each other around mid-late October. This year's mid October storm isn't nearly as strong as the last two, but it's still an interesting coincidence. 2010 - October 26 2011 - October 16 2012 - October 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Looks fairly mild for the rest of the month, those who haven't had a killing freeze may be waiting for a long time before it comes back again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 incredible rain past 2 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 incredible rain past 2 hrs yea it is absolutely pouring here in west/central nassau...heaviest rain since august Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Looks fairly mild for the rest of the month, those who haven't had a killing freeze may be waiting for a long time before it comes back again. Not really sure what the basis is for such a statement like this. The 12z GEFS do not show a very mild pattern over the next 16 days by any means. The mean is really keying in on the -EPO Ridge into AK in the medium and long range and have signs of ridging into Greenland. http://www.meteo.psu...nsloopmref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted October 15, 2012 Share Posted October 15, 2012 Not really sure what the basis is for such a statement like this. The 12z GEFS do not show a very mild pattern over the next 16 days by any means. The mean is really keying in on the -EPO Ridge into AK in the medium and long range and have signs of ridging into Greenland. http://www.meteo.psu...nsloopmref.html It's not a persistent very mild pattern, but it's no cool pattern either. There's the -EPO and some ridging in Greenland, but the trough focuses over the central-western US through the medium range while some ridging builds into the East starting after next weekend. Things could perhaps cool down more towards the long range though as the EPO drops and the PNA rises, but that's going towards the end of the 15 day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 It's not a persistent very mild pattern, but it's no cool pattern either. There's the -EPO and some ridging in Greenland, but the trough focuses over the central-western US through the medium range while some ridging builds into the East starting after next weekend. Things could perhaps cool down more towards the long range though as the EPO drops and the PNA rises, but that's going towards the end of the 15 day range. There could definitely be mild spells with this pattern that could last a couple of days, such as the one progged in the d7-9 range, but the overall pattern does not look very warm from my standpoint. As I said, the fact that there are positive anomalies into Greenland and Alaska that we never saw last year, is never a bad thing in terms of cold in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 The 12z euro did show very cold air towards the middle or end of next week w/west based neg NAO developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 The dominant October -EPO/-NAO/-AO pattern is following the recent El Nino playbook pretty closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darienzo Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 78 at LGA yesterday??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 We could see some storms Friday morning with the closed low to our west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 78 at LGA yesterday??? Impossible. I don't see them getting any higher than 73 on the hourlies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 Impossible. I don't see them getting any higher than 73 on the hourlies. Im showing they topped out at 72. The monthly report of 78 seems like a major error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SVT450R Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 Think a temp bust is on the way today imby current temp 58 forecast 65 sure for others also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darienzo Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 Impossible. I don't see them getting any higher than 73 on the hourlies. Im showing they topped out at 72. The monthly report of 78 seems like a major error. http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KLGA.html 6 hour max shows 78. I was equally as surprised. Maybe a plane got too close to the sensor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted October 16, 2012 Share Posted October 16, 2012 That 78 degree reading can't be right. The climo report says 78 at 11:19 a.m., yet their 10:51 a.m. temp was 71. It was 73 at 11:51 a.m... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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