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3rd (?) Annual Mid-Atlantic First Freeze Contest


WxUSAF

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After a chilly morning, and some spots in the mountains already getting a freeze, time to have the first freeze contest! Same as the last two years (I think this is the 3rd time I've done this...) for scoring. Pick your dates...lowest cumulative departure wins. Predict the first time the 4 major wx stations of our region hit 32F or lower.

BWI:

DCA:

IAD:

RIC:

Tiebreaker: high temperature at BWI on day of first freeze there

Deadline is 1159pm on 30 September!

P.S. 2013 dates are acceptable for DCA :P

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Just for reference, NWS shows the first fall 2011 freeze (<33 degrees F) as being Oct 30 for IAD and BWI, Oct 31 for RIC, and Dec 10 for DCA.

BWI: 12/5

DCA: 12/10

IAD: 11/30

RIC: 1/8

Edit: Dates reflect real freeze as in below 28, not just dropping below 32

I can't say much about when our first freeze will happen. However, I can say with 99.99999% certainty that a month will not elapse after a DCA freeze before RIC freezes. In fact, as arlwx notes, RIC will often freeze BEFORE DCA.

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BWI: 12/5

DCA: 12/10

IAD: 11/30

RIC: 1/8

Edit: Dates reflect real freeze as in below 28, not just dropping below 32

Well...you can have your own contest that is below 28F, but since this contest is <=32F, I suggest you either adjust appropriately or I will use those dates as <=32F.

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