snowstormcanuck Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 “We could still see temperatures above 20 (degrees Celsius),” said David Phillips, senior climatologist at Environment Canada. http://www.therecord...ays-still-ahead I figured that with the recent temps hovering around 20C, Mr. Phillips statement meant it would continue into October. Ok, that's a little more measured. Not unusual to have a handful of 20c+ days in October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Warm and sunny days with cool nights really getting the tree's to pop fast. Next weekend should be peak for a lot of SE WI. Holy Hill area Fall foliage time! My 2nd fav time of the year (next to when it can snow). Nice pic Bowme. We'll have to start a thread soon. Things still mean and green here in Toronto, but at French River Provincial Park (North of Lake Huron), where I took this shot on Saturday, the change is probably >50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Fall foliage time! My 2nd fav time of the year (next to when it can snow). Nice pic Bowme. We'll have to start a thread soon. Things still mean and green here in Toronto, but at French River Provincial Park (North of Lake Huron), where I took this shot on Saturday, the change is probably >50%. Canuck...have you visited Algonquin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Warm and sunny days with cool nights really getting the tree's to pop fast. Next weekend should be peak for a lot of SE WI. Holy Hill area Next weekend could and should also be the first freeze for most of the people in the region who haven't yet had one (besides those within 5 miles of the lake perhaps). Now predicting 32 for Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 This one was taken ~50 miles north of Milwaukee, was a good show for those who don't have light pollution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Fall foliage time! My 2nd fav time of the year (next to when it can snow). Nice pic Bowme. We'll have to start a thread soon. Things still mean and green here in Toronto, but at French River Provincial Park (North of Lake Huron), where I took this shot on Saturday, the change is probably >50%. Hmm thats interesting, In my region its about 25-30%, around there. So canuck any thoughts for what's in store this month? i have a few initial ideas at the moment but at this point i'm just watching things unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Great pictures BowMe and SSC! First morning of October was a chilly one - low 41°. Rain has been introduced into the forecast for Wednesday - now only a high of 69° on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Lolz at the 12z Euro 138 and 144 hour maps. I kinda wished I hadn't looked at it because it would be so unlikely, even though it's the Euro, but I guess in the realm of possibility. Lake areas would see a cold rain, but some inland areas of the Great Lakes region would see snow overnight Saturday into Sunday morning if the 12z Euro verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Lolz at the 12z Euro 138 and 144 hour maps. I kinda wished I hadn't looked at it because it would be so unlikely, even though it's the Euro, but I guess in the realm of possibility. Lake areas would see a cold rain, but some inland areas of the Great Lakes region would see snow overnight Saturday into Sunday morning if the 12z Euro verified. Lolz at this "warmup" that was expected also. MKE has highs not even hitting 70 now. 66,67,67 forecasted the next 3 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Lolz at the 12z Euro 138 and 144 hour maps. I kinda wished I hadn't looked at it because it would be so unlikely, even though it's the Euro, but I guess in the realm of possibility. Lake areas would see a cold rain, but some inland areas of the Great Lakes region would see snow overnight Saturday into Sunday morning if the 12z Euro verified. WOW at this run! Sorry, have to post this lol.. :wub: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Lolz at the 12z Euro 138 and 144 hour maps. I kinda wished I hadn't looked at it because it would be so unlikely, even though it's the Euro, but I guess in the realm of possibility. Lake areas would see a cold rain, but some inland areas of the Great Lakes region would see snow overnight Saturday into Sunday morning if the 12z Euro verified. It has upper 30s for a high around here Saturday. Yikes. It still doesn't show a freeze at night because of either clouds or some wind. It was several degrees too warm at night during the freeze a week ago, however, and it will be tough to stay above freezing this weekend with 850 temps of -4 to -6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Lolz at this "warmup" that was expected also. MKE has highs not even hitting 70 now. 66,67,67 forecasted the next 3 days! I know, hard to believe LOT was talking about 90s for the middle of this week just a few days ago. Tropical must've snuck into their office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Just looked at the 12z euro...looks brutal cold at 144... should be interesting to see what overnight temps do... very dry ground should help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Welcome October!! Colors starting to explode...going up north for some leaf peeping Oct 9-12. Nice pics bowme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 WOW at this run! Sorry, have to post this lol.. :wub: Oh wow. That would certainly be interesting. Looking forward to the cooler weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Lolz at this "warmup" that was expected also. MKE has highs not even hitting 70 now. 66,67,67 forecasted the next 3 days! Some people even used the word "Torch" last week... I remember mentioning normal temps for this week. Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Canuck...have you visited Algonquin? Nope. I've been to within a couple of miles of the western gates, but I've never had the pleasure of visiting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Hmm thats interesting, In my region its about 25-30%, around there. So canuck any thoughts for what's in store this month? i have a few initial ideas at the moment but at this point i'm just watching things unfold. I'd say here in the city we may be around ~10%. Still a good 3-4 weeks away from peak conditions. wrt to October...I've never been skilled at LRF. I tried to get into it more the last 2 years, but last winter's disaster soured me to it. It's too much of a crapshoot. Based on Nino climatology, a notable, but transient, cold shot wouldn't surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 1, 2012 Share Posted October 1, 2012 Radar tonight kinda has that winter storm look to it. Temps struggled to get into the low 60's here today under overcast skies. Real Fall feel. Gorgeous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 I'd say here in the city we may be around ~10%. Still a good 3-4 weeks away from peak conditions. wrt to October...I've never been skilled at LRF. I tried to get into it more the last 2 years, but last winter's disaster soured me to it. It's too much of a crapshoot. Based on Nino climatology, a notable, but transient, cold shot wouldn't surprise me. The Fall colours are really starting to show in Rouge park, in the city's east end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Now Thursday is the only day that is supposed to reach 70°. Today under performed a bit, high 64° with mostly cloudy skies. Sitting at 50° right now. Could see peak colors this coming weekend if things play out. Last year peak colors didn't happen until about Halloween! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Very cool run of the 0z NAM, strong system across the northern plains into the upper midwest that really deepens pulling in serious cold air from Canada wrapping all the way around it, then quickly occluding with cold air advection from the southwest, love that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 LOT is talking up the warmth potential for next week. Even mentioning the rare October 90F potenial... LATER IN THE EXTENDED...BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT TEMPERATURES WILL WARM CONSIDERABLY AS AN UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS SHIFTS EASTWARD...POTENTIALLY ALLOWING A VERY WARM AIR MASS TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA. IN FACT WE MAY NOT BE TOO FAR AWAY FROM RECORD VALUES BY WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO WARM UP AROUND 16 DEGREES CELSIUS BY WEDNESDAY AS WESTERLY FLOW ADVECTS THE VERY WARM AIR MASS ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA. IF THIS FORECAST VERIFIES THIS WOULD RANK WITHIN THE WARMEST 10 PERCENT OF TEMPERATURES AT 850 MB AT KORD FOR THE FIRST HALF OF OCTOBER. AS SUCH...IT APPEARS WE COULD BE WELL INTO THE 80S BY NEXT WEDNESDAY. THE ONLY UNCERTAINTY IS THE TIMING OF A COOL FRONT THAT MAY DROP ACROSS THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IF THIS FRONT HOLDS OFF LONG ENOUGH ON THURSDAY WE COULD BE FLIRTING WITH RECORD HIGHS...WHICH ARE AROUND 90 ON THE 3RD OF OCTOBER. IT ALSO APPEARS POSSIBLE THAT THIS WARM SPELL MAY CONTINUE OUTSIDE THE CURRENT FORECAST PERIOD INTO LATE NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY INCREASES LATER NEXT WEEK WITH THE OVERALL EVOLUTION OF THE LARGE SCALE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS NORTH AMERICA. Boy this was a bad call. Reality... NWS Forecast for: Chicago O'Hare International Airport IL Issued by: National Weather Service Chicago, IL Last Update: 11:03 pm CDT Oct 1, 2012 Wednesday: A 50 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 68. East northeast wind around 5 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 All I know is there is some serious cold air starting to develop across Canada, and quickly. What does that mean for our winter? I have a gut feeling the total opposite of what many think. Last winter was prime example :Very cold and snowy=...MEH....This winter Very Warm and Snowless?= .....Mother nature sure does love playing games with us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Boy this was a bad call. Reality... NWS Forecast for: Chicago O'Hare International Airport IL Issued by: National Weather Service Chicago, IL Last Update: 11:03 pm CDT Oct 1, 2012 Wednesday: A 50 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 68. East northeast wind around 5 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. Brett Anderson now at the NWS? Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Brett Anderson now at the NWS? Jon That forecast is spot on for Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 That forecast is spot on for Chicago. Ah what? They were calling for 90s last week. It's only going to hit the 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Ah what? They were calling for 90s last week. It's only going to hit the 70s Ahh I was posting about the forecast that ChiWX just posted being the Oct 1st....it's correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Ahh I was posting about the forecast that ChiWX just posted being the Oct 1st....it's correct Oh my bad sorry about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 2, 2012 Share Posted October 2, 2012 Ahh I was posting about the forecast that ChiWX just posted being the Oct 1st....it's correct I was referring to the Sept 26th discussion for this week... How terribly wrong it was. Brett Anderson is a big AGW alarmist and his forecasts reflect it. Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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