Powerball Posted October 22, 2012 Author Share Posted October 22, 2012 Woke up, opened my laptop and this is the first post I see. Yep, then I saw the actual map. Lol, not going to happen in this dimension. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Approaching 70 here. Should be the first of 3, maybe 4 in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 This is going to drive me insane not being able to track this, leaving for a vacation tomorrow so all I have to watch is 12z today and 0z tonight then disconnected from the interwebs till thursday, well at least I'll have my weather radio with me to try to get a tiny clue what is going on! and I guess I will try to catch tom skilling on tv while being gone also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 No wonder over the last few weeks the squirrels were going nuts around here..maybe they were preparing for this monster... LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Speaking of the tropical entity, it is about to be declared a depression here at 11AM. NHC has it strengthening pretty fast and then weakening a bit as it becomes subtropical. Regardless of exact details at this point, it's step 1 toward figuring out how this will go down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 So we can safely say that accumulating snow with this "potential" monster is unlikely in the GL and OV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 0.57" of rain here this morning, including one very bright lightning strike and loud boom while I was outside watching it move in. I'm loving this wet pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 So we can safely say that accumulating snow with this "potential" monster is unlikely in the GL and OV? Not likely at this point because storm-specific details can't be figured out this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 So we can safely say that accumulating snow with this "potential" monster is unlikely in the GL and OV? There is nothing that we can safely say at this range. Watch and wait, even if the odds are low...for anything happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 12z GFS sharper with the incoming trough and a bit west with the tropical system at 114 hours. Should lead to a farther west outcome down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Rain looks to be dying on this end...not even a sprinkle yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 The Saturday forerunner is probably of some interest to MI folks...for some possible snow. Maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 storming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 12z GFS sharper with the incoming trough and a bit west with the tropical system at 114 hours. Should lead to a farther west outcome down the road. Or maybe not. Looked promising for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Or maybe not. Looked promising for a while. Ya, close but not quite. If the TD/TS doesnt make it up towards the east coast, the epic solutions are about toast. Still way to far out to worry though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 we got her top unbuttoned and then her cell phone rang and she had to leave.. that didn't end how i hoped on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 The GFS is a good fall season model but naso good with tropical systems. The solutions over the next few runs will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 The GFS is a good fall season model but naso good with tropical systems. The solutions over the next few runs will be interesting. meh, the Euro hasn't been that great in general for a while now...i think it's a decent idea to bet against the storm of the millenium at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Thunder boomers here late this morning. Actually more rain then thunder. Was 60°, now 58°. Looks like a pretty cloudy day! Lol @ that EURO snowfall map! 48" in January would be a challenge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Stebo knows my thoughts on the storm potential... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 FWIW the Ukie doesn't look like its biting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Tropics are hard enough to forecast, let alone forecasting the potential phasing with another system a week down the road. It's certainly possible, but odds have to be extraordinarily low on the timing of the phasing to be that perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 FWIW the Ukie doesn't look like its biting FWINW, the GGEM is biting harder than it's bit yet... I didn't think it could spit out anything whackier than its last 3 or 4 runs, now we know it can... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 what a solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 FWINW, the GGEM is biting harder than it's bit yet... I didn't think it could spit out anything whackier than its last 3 or 4 runs, now we know it can... Wow, that is borderline barbaric for the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 The GGEM is actually sub 940 mb on the frame before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 definitely an upper limits run if i've ever seen one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 FWINW, the GGEM is biting harder than it's bit yet... I didn't think it could spit out anything whackier than its last 3 or 4 runs, now we know it can... ..That is some crazy stuff right there.. :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Wow didn't think it could get any worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted October 22, 2012 Share Posted October 22, 2012 Raining hard out there, the mesoscale convective vortex is going to pass close to Madison and it's not moving that quick so it could be raining for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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