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October 2012 General Discussion


Powerball

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LOT went with a wind advisory from about I-80 on south...

IF THIS WAS NOT ENOUGH...IT APPEARS THE WINDS WILL BECOME A BIG

CONCERN ON SUNDAY OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL. WITH A 45+ KT

LOW LEVEL JET IN PLACE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MIXING INTO SOME OF

THAT STRONGER MOMENTUM ALOFT...WE COULD SEE WIND GUSTS QUICKLY

INCREASE UP TO 40 KT OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND

SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80. STRONG SYNOPTIC SCALE PRESSURE RISES OF 4 TO

5 MB IN A 3 HOUR PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE THE

SOUTHERN 2/3RDS OF MY AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE COLD

FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT STRONG WESTERLY

WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN FACT...I WOULD NOT BE

SURPRISED TO SEE A COUPLE GUSTS UP TO 45 OR POSSIBLY EVEN CLOSE TO

50 KT AS THE FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON...THIS

POTENTIAL IS THE HIGHEST ACROSS MY SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THEREFORE...I

ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF

INTERSTATE 80.

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Dates (and temp that day) of the first 32º or lower temp for various GLOV sites this Fall.

GRB: 9/19 (32º)

LSE: 9/23 (31º)

DBQ: 9/23 (31º)

MSN: 9/24 (32º)

MLI: 9/24 (30º)

PIA: 10/6 (30º)

LAF: 10/6 (32º)

SPI: 10/7 (32º)

FNT: 10/7 (32º)

APN: 10/7 (29º)

FWA: 10/8 (28º)

SBN: 10/8 (31º)

GRR: 10/8 (32º)

LAN: 10/8 (32º)

ORD: 10/8 (32º)

IND: 10/8 (31º)

TOL: 10/8 (29º)

CVG: 10/8 (32º)

CMH: 10/11 (32º)

DTW: 10/11 (31º)

Still waiting on these...

Alek's bank clock

CLE

EVV

MKE

PAH

SDF

STL

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Dates (and temp that day) of the first 32º or lower temp for various GLOV sites this Fall.

DBQ: 10/5 (30º)

MLI: 10/5 (32º)

PIA: 10/6 (30º)

LAF: 10/6 (32º)

SPI: 10/7 (32º)

GRB: 10/7 (32º)

LSE: 10/7 (28º)

FNT: 10/7 (32º)

APN: 10/7 (29º)

FWA: 10/8 (28º)

SBN: 10/8 (31º)

GRR: 10/8 (32º)

LAN: 10/8 (32º)

ORD: 10/8 (32º)

IND: 10/8 (31º)

TOL: 10/8 (29º)

CVG: 10/8 (32º)

CMH: 10/11 (32º)

DTW: 10/11 (31º)

MSN: 10/12 (24º)

Still waiting on these...

Alek's bank clock

CLE

EVV

MKE

PAH

SDF

STL

MSN's first 32 °F low of the Fall was on 9/24, 10/12 is the first low below 32.

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18z 4km NAM ups the ante a little regarding winds tomorrow. Now shows a small zone of 30-32kt sustained winds tracking just behind the intensifying surface low. This would place the strongest surface winds along and immediately south of I-80 in Illinois, with it continuing through northern Indiana tomorrow evening. With very strong winds just off the surface, and precip in these areas I suppose it's possible that we could see 45-55mph wind gusts all along the path of this zone.

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A little OT, but I just read the long term discussion from IWX...

MAIN FOCUS LIES WITH ENERGY CURRENTLY OVER ENTERING GULF OF ALASKA

FROM TYPHOON PRAPIROON WHICH WILL DROP QUICKLY SE TOWARDS THE REGION

BY LATE WEDS.

Prapiroon?! I admit, I'm an IMBY weather follower, so I had no idea there was a typhoon with this name. I had to search for it, but Prapiroon is a Thai rain god. Maybe that cutoff late next week will produce with a prayer to the gods.

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Warmer outside then in the house, or so it seems...

I'm not positive about this, I haven't looked at current conditions, but I would expect DP's are somewhat elevated, causing that warmer feeling. Hear is the latest HRRR model for precip...giving the fact that it seems warmer outside for you, it wouldn't surprise me if the heavier rain shield would move about 75 miles north of what it is showing.

totp_t2sfc_f12.png

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Still at 0.55" for this event. Hasn't rained since early afternoon. Looks like rains are about to move in again though. Expect at least another inch or so before it's all said and done. Heaviest rain totals may fall a bit northwest of here in eastern Iowa. Deformation zone really takes shape there late tonight and early tomorrow and sort of stalls there, leaving us on the far east side of it. When it begins to creep/rotate eastward during the day tomorrow it should give us a good soaking too. Looks like Hawkeye should pick up a lot of rain with this setup over the next 16hrs.

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Goes where are you in WI? 63 dews at this time of year is rare indeed!!!

Edit: where is UW Parkside?

I went to school in WI. I live in far NE IL by Waukegan, IL. UW Parkside is in Kenosha, WI - just north of here.

It feels spring like outside tonight!

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