Chicago WX Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 46 as we approach 1 PM. Not ready for this chill yet. Love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 50° at 1pm. Completely cloudy out now. Skies look, air feels - like early November. Edit: Via Skilling FB page - sleet has been reported in southern Cook County! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 Love it. Dude, this is like 25 degrees below average (though the daily departure won't show that). I'd have no problem with this at a different time of year, but too early for me. At least things look to moderate soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 Dude, this is like 25 degrees below average (though the daily departure won't show that). I'd have no problem with this at a different time of year, but too early for me. At least things look to moderate soon. Turn on the heat then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 Turn on the heat then. I had to in my car this morning. Was looking back at records and noticed that the COOP had a high of 33 on October 12, 1917. That record low max sticks out like a sore thumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 Down to 44. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 51F here...we've had sun all morning (what else is new...we don't even get clouds anymore!)... Wind is blowing like crazy...chilly working out in the yard. Day 7 euro (oz) has a big high pressure coming down again for another blast of cold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 I had to in my car this morning. Was looking back at records and noticed that the COOP had a high of 33 on October 12, 1917. That record low max sticks out like a sore thumb. Me too. And that's an impressive record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 got sleeted on in Rochelle a bit earlier today (noonish). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 12z Euro shows temps that should end up colder then today for next Friday, at least for here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 Dude, this is like 25 degrees below average (though the daily departure won't show that). I'd have no problem with this at a different time of year, but too early for me. At least things look to moderate soon. Oh exalted moderator. Let us cold lovers enjoy this cold and don't remind us Indian summer is coming. Indian summer is for... well.. Back when Indians roamed the plains it was for them. Not us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 12z Euro shows temps that should end up colder then today for next Friday, at least for here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 48 was the best we could do today. Had a real heavy overcast all day but no precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 Drove from Elkhart to Auburn IN north of Ft. Wayne today. Overcast skies with intermittent sprinkles/light rain. Temps 50/51.Fall colors were gorgeous though. I can only imagine what it would have been like with sunshine and blue skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 Gotta be careful with those 120+ timeframes. Much like they did for the first wave, they tend to overdue 850's. Looks like the cold pattern will last through 3 waves before upstream blocking breaks down and the PAC takes over for a period of days............. I sorta got the feeling later on in October is going to have snowstorm for somebody. Just has that feel with on and off EPO blocking. I remember the Halloween storm of 1993. 93 or 91? I got stuck in the 91 storm up here and had to walk only a half mile back to campus. I seriously thought I was going to die. Our football game that weekend was actually cancelled because the storm was the day before. What I would give to see that again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 DTX uses the S-word for the first time of the season (if only to deny the chances of it ) "THERE HAS BEEN SOME QUESTIONS REGARDING WHAT SORT OF SNOW POTENTIAL EXISTS NEXT WEEK. WILL NOT GET BOGGED DOWN IN SPECIFICS ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE MINUTES OLD ECMWF SOLUTION WHICH OFFERS NO SUPPORT FOR SNOWFLAKES. WILL INSTEAD GIVE A REMINDER THAT MODELS OVERALL STRUGGLE TO HANDLE AMPLITUDE OF INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVE/EVENTS DURING ALL TIMES OF THE YEAR/INCLUDING THE TRANSITION SEASONS. THIS TYPICALLY LEADS TO UNDERFORECASTING WARM UPS IN PRECEDING WAA REGIMES...AND UNDERFORECASTING THE COLD TEMPERATURE DROP POST COLD FRONTS. WILL ALSO POINT OUT THAT IN THE LATEST GFS SOLUTION...AT NO TIME DOES THE SOLUTION SUPPORT FREEZING LEVELS BELOW 1000 FT AGL." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 The 91 one was in the Plains and the more historical of the 2. The 93 one was in the ohio valley with slushy heavy accums. I think Pittsburgh got 6 inches or something like that. If we are going by "gut feelings" this year, lol, then my gut feeling looking at the CPC progs and the storm track setting up by the end of next week... that the Ohio Valley is going to be the sweet spot this year. They are overdue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 I don't have to like it, but it is sure looking like the week of the 14th-20 is the week a lot of us on this sub forum could catch up on some rain and temperature defecits. We may miss out on a lot of it up here, but central Iowa on south and east sure look rainy/stormy, both on the ensembles and the ops. Great write up over in the New England subforum on this. Man, things are just absolutely tinder dry around here. http://www.americanw...-for-a-website/ I love weather and talking long range, Ma Nature gives you the finger quite often when trying to do this... but perhaps this is the beginning of the early winter pattern? I just think come November/December the Iowa to Chicago to the Ohio valley/Michigan could really cash in on this if this is what they think the main storm track is going to be. I guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 43º at LAF at 6:00pm. It was 77º at the same time yesterday. Awesome. 0.70" so far for this event. Still raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 Tonight is the by far the most fall like so far. Damn chilly and damp. The leaves are starting to rip from a few trees and the aroma of fall and wood burning stoves is strong. Love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 Had some decent mammatus and virga earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 5, 2012 Share Posted October 5, 2012 High 51° today. Tomorrow cooler yet! Lots of leaves on the ground now. Peak color is right around the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 6, 2012 Share Posted October 6, 2012 I'm thinking we are at peak here in Livingston county. It might be the tree-type or lack of UHI, but with the majority of trees in color and some starting to drop... I'm not sure how it couldn't qualify for a beginning to peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted October 6, 2012 Share Posted October 6, 2012 43 °F as of 7:30 pm, brrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 6, 2012 Share Posted October 6, 2012 42° and rain here. Reminds me of most of last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 6, 2012 Share Posted October 6, 2012 42° and rain here. Reminds me of most of last winter. Midnight high of 52º at LAF...18º below the normal average high for today. Though of course we spent the daylight hours in the mid 40's. Pretty impressive really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted October 6, 2012 Share Posted October 6, 2012 I'm thinking we are at peak here in Livingston county. It might be the tree-type or lack of UHI, but with the majority of trees in color and some starting to drop... I'm not sure how it couldn't qualify for a beginning to peak. That would be tree type and the sun. We are about 70% peak around here with the exception of the non native trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted October 6, 2012 Share Posted October 6, 2012 I'm thinking we are at peak here in Livingston county. It might be the tree-type or lack of UHI, but with the majority of trees in color and some starting to drop... I'm not sure how it couldn't qualify for a beginning to peak. Were near peak here. Its definitely not patchy. Heck I might have to rake a little tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 6, 2012 Share Posted October 6, 2012 Max temps today, and their departures from normal max temps for today (per today's latest climate reports). Burlington IA: 46º -25º Joplin MO: 52º -23º Cedar Rapids IA: 45º -22º Lincoln IL: 48º -22º Peoria IL: 47º -22º Springfield IL: 49º -22º Columbia MO: 50º -21º Iowa City IA: 47º -21º Moline IL: 48º -21º Quincy IL: 48º -21º Decatur IL: 51º -20º Springfield MO: 53º -20º Dubuque IA: 47º -19º Champaign IL: 52º -18º Davenport IA: 49º -18º Lafayette IN: 52º -18º St. Louis MO: 54º -18º Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted October 6, 2012 Share Posted October 6, 2012 Nocturnal boundary layer already decoupled in DeForest so they're down to 38 °F, in the low 40s throughout most of the Madison area with a light west wind keeping things warmer for the moment. Dewpoints in the low 20s, some dewpoints in the upper teens west of town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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