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End of September/Early October banter/disco.


CoastalWx

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I was 36° at my place but when I came down the hill you could tell it was a few degrees cooler because frost was covering everything. I suspect it was 32° or 33° there.

My apartment at school is at 600 or so feet, but right down the street it drops to about 350' in a perfect valley. I'd have to imagine they got frost this morning.

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Good. Do not want a warm October. Maybe a 2002 redux?

My guess is that the month may eek above, but not by much. Just an educated guess that means little at this stage. Some conflicting signals. But, if the overall H5 pattern is not similar to torch patterns we have seen in previous Octobers...than I think it isn't a bad thing. For instance, we could have a pattern that doesn't feature a big AK vortex and perhaps still slightly above normal. So I'd rather see how the H5 pattern evolves during the month. October is a month for change too, so pattern reversals like you mention can happen.

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