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September 22 Severe Wx Threat


fsu_wxgirl

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Pretty decent SB cape in pa at this hour sbcp_sf.gif?1348422900328

We do lack the ML cape and lift though.

North and west there is some pretty darn nice shear things might be better if we could get it to spread this way later on.

eshr.gif?1348422852079

The rpm wrf and Hrr right now agree on a line later on for eastern pa (Harrisburg on east) but for now I think a safer bet is a broken up line.

Here is a good rpm link for whatever it is worth.

http://www.wdbj7.com/wdbj7-rpm-forecast-model-animated-20120216,0,1803995.htmlstory

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First warning... a Rainshadow special...

639 
WUUS51 KPHI 222246
SVRPHI
NJC019-027-037-041-PAC089-095-230000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0235.120922T2246Z-120923T0000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
646 PM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
 EASTERN NORTHAMPTON COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
 THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF EASTON...
 EASTERN MONROE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
 WESTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
 NORTHWESTERN HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
 SUSSEX COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
 THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NEWTON...
 WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 800 PM EDT

* AT 641 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS TO
 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
 FROM ALPINE MOUNTAIN TO SAYLORSBURG TO GLENDON...OR ALONG A LINE
 EXTENDING FROM 25 MILES WEST OF NEWTON TO 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF
 EASTON TO EASTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
 STORMVILLE...PEN ARGYL AND ALPHA AROUND 650 PM EDT...
 BANGOR AND BLOOMSBURY AROUND 655 PM EDT...
 HARMONY...EAST STROUDSBURG AND EAST BANGOR AROUND 700 PM EDT...
 ROXBURG AROUND 705 PM EDT...
 BRASS CASTLE AROUND 710 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO LIGHTNING. DO NOT
WAIT TO HEAR THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY
INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4132 7461 4080 7459 4057 7519 4061 7520
     4059 7525 4083 7542 4122 7524 4126 7513
     4115 7514 4115 7508 4109 7502 4116 7491
     4124 7487 4132 7480 4135 7476 4136 7469
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 241DEG 23KT 4118 7517 4087 7531
         4065 7520

$$

TFG


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348 
WUUS51 KPHI 222339
SVRPHI
NJC005-007-015-PAC017-045-101-230045-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0236.120922T2339Z-120923T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
739 PM EDT SAT SEP 22 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
 SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
 SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
 PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
 THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF PHILADELPHIA...
 NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
 NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
 THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...GLOUCESTER CITY...CAMDEN...
 NORTHWESTERN GLOUCESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 845 PM EDT

* AT 737 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS TO
 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHESTER...OR 11 MILES
 NORTHEAST OF WILMINGTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
 GIBBSTOWN AROUND 745 PM EDT...
 PAULSBORO...WEST DEPTFORD...PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND
 FOLCROFT AROUND 750 PM EDT...
 NATIONAL PARK...WOODBURY...DEPTFORD AND SOUTH PHILADELPHIA AROUND
 755 PM EDT...
 GLOUCESTER CITY AROUND 800 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3988 7472 3971 7535 3973 7537 3988 7543
     4018 7481
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 245DEG 29KT 3981 7534

$$

TFG



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