Chrisrotary12 Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 I can't believe they only got .02 from that thunderstorm yesterday. Cell split just as it was going over station. 59 verifying would be nice, but they are at 54 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 30, 2013 Share Posted January 30, 2013 Up to 58 there..wish I had gone higher. Their 1000-850mb lapse rate is like 10.1C/km lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 Went with 71/27/17/0 for tomorrow. 21kts today is going to hurt me, but I nailed the high, and I still think the 06z low is going to be about 36F, which is what I have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 69/27/17/0 myself for Day 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 I forgot to forecast and guidanced again. On to Burbank? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 I bought the GFS for the low and I pay dearly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 On 1/31/2013 at 7:12 AM, wxmeddler said: I bought the GFS for the low and I pay dearly. Yeah don't go against the cold guidance here. AUS has a weird micro-climate of radiating extremely efficiently. Luckily I knew this before-hand because I had no life and practiced forecasting for them a few times before the contest started. Anyway, looks like they need to fix Day 2 even though it's finalized. The low should be 30 I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 31, 2013 Share Posted January 31, 2013 On 1/31/2013 at 1:40 PM, H2Otown_WX said: Yeah don't go against the cold guidance here. AUS has a weird micro-climate of radiating extremely efficiently. Luckily I knew this before-hand because I had no life and practiced forecasting for them a few times before the contest started. Anyway, looks like they need to fix Day 2 even though it's finalized. The low should be 30 I believe. And the wind should be 21kts, not 0kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 On 1/31/2013 at 2:17 PM, Mallow said: And the wind should be 21kts, not 0kts. Lol, that too. Nailed the high today, currently sitting at 5th overall 71/35/14/0 for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Went with 71/32/13/0 for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Went 73,33,16,0 for today. They are at 70 now......can I sneak out a few more degrees? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Took a hit today going with 69/39/13/0. Thought kaus was going to stay warmer in the overnight because of the clouds in the area. I also question the low of 35 because the meteogram has the 12z fri observed temp for kaus as 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 According to the climate report, the low of 35 was at 7:34 am which would be 13:34z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 On 2/1/2013 at 8:24 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: Went 73,33,16,0 for today. They are at 70 now......can I sneak out a few more degrees? Indeed you can. 73 on the climo report, nice job. I can't believe they got to 73 with 6C 850s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 On 2/2/2013 at 12:02 AM, H2Otown_WX said: Indeed you can. 73 on the climo report, nice job. I can't believe they got to 73 with 6C 850s. Believe it was 72. Not 73. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Went all out today. The wrong direction. 66/53/17/0.78 I'm totally screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 67/58/9/0.63 Looks like most of the rain is going to stay east of AUS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Lol, total disaster. Have 66/54/15/0.87 Stupid NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Graupel Flux Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Half of my error points came from today's precip event. ...oh wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Went 80/52/15/0 for tomorrow. Hopefully I can at least pick up a little of the deficit I got today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Final day for Austin: 73/50/17/0 probably could have gone even higher than 50 with these strong Northerly winds all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Went with 73/46/19/0 myself. Ugh, I mean I knew the winds would pick up, but really, UP to 69 with a strong northerly wind? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 3:06 AM, Mallow said: Went with 73/46/19/0 myself. Ugh, I mean I knew the winds would pick up, but really, UP to 69 with a strong northerly wind? Lol, I am thinking the same thing. Have 72/43/17/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Nailed the high today, too bad my low is going to bust hard. For tomorrow 74/47/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Well they got down to 45 anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 12:15 PM, tsteel said: Well they got down to 45 anyway. Thankfully... I needed that. I have no idea how, though. Their lowest obs so far has been 49F, and their drop has been steady with the winds. This isn't a radiational cooling night. Seems very fishy. But then so do a lot of the obs that come out of Austin, it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Ummmmmm......so how many people screwed up by greater than 20 degrees today in Burbank? lol Looks like an equipment error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yeah, I was wondering how that was possible lol. NWSLosAngeles just tweeted that it's not accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 On 2/12/2013 at 8:56 PM, tsteel said: Yeah, I was wondering how that was possible lol. NWSLosAngeles just tweeted that it's not accurate. Yeah has to be wrong. 84 on an ese wind? Downsloping for them is a ne wind if I'm not mistaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 71/39/9 day 2 But it could be just about anything given the ASOS, todays high was 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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