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Tuesday/Wednesday Storm


CT Rain

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It really shouldn't be all that surprising though the winds weren't much more spectacular with the line...99.9% of the time you're highest winds are going to be occurring right out ahead of the line. Unless you're dealing with a situation where the BL is quite unstable you're not going to get major winds from the line itself.

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We've had better high shear / low CAPE events than this one but I was okay with what happened. Unlike the more common experience, I saw nice storm structure and experienced some nice wind gusts.

The preliminary shot this afternoon just couldn't get it together and probably hurt us more than anything. Despite the occasional break of sun in S-C NJ, the updraft acceleration wasn't enough or properly balanced with the storm relative wind. I agree with what Ian has been saying as far as the SPC upgrade. We both aren't sure what changed between the 13z and 1630z outlook other than convective development was occurring. However, they noted several times that there were instability issues with the rain ahead of the convection.

Oh well...onto Saturday.... :axe:

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We've had better high shear / low CAPE events than this one but I was okay with what happened. Unlike the more common experience, I saw nice storm structure and experienced some nice wind gusts.

The preliminary shot this afternoon just couldn't get it together and probably hurt us more than anything. Despite the occasional break of sun in S-C NJ, the updraft acceleration wasn't enough or properly balanced with the storm relative wind. I agree with what Ian has been saying as far as the SPC upgrade. We both aren't sure what changed between the 13z and 1630z outlook other than convective development was occurring. However, they noted several times that there were instability issues with the rain ahead of the convection.

Oh well...onto Saturday.... :axe:

Haven't looked that far ahead...what do we have here?

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