Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    23Yankee
    Newest Member
    23Yankee
    Joined

Tuesday/Wednesday Storm


CT Rain

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Lot's of excitement out there.... Not much here in Westborough Mass. Just some wavy tree action amid tepid surface breezes. Some light drizzle rain from time to time. Yes, the sky scape features fast moving streets.

It will be interesting later tonight as that line of deep convection from western NJ to DC tends to move NE/NNE and pivots up under the strata rains now retreating N. Kind of a quasi-post warm boundary, deepening barotropic air is lifting N and we could see synoptic forcing tap into that and drive that convective wall up into western MA and event central areas and RI later on, one would thing.

The local spin up necessity for the watch is warranted in my mind. You only need a small swarm of EF1's to impact and injure, and if there were no notifications at all, the pendulum of questioning authorities would swing the other way with even more magnitude toward culpability. This is easy to see as a consequence should the public be unadvised altogether.

By NWS convention they have a good batting average up in the NE this season. They had a rare upper end moderate, low end high risk for severe a month ago that verified well in PA and points SW - oh well, not here. So what? They had a tor watch last week and had low top SCs near NY. These are a hits. I don't think if they issue one now and nothing happened, anyone with fairness would complain. Or should. The day they can boast pin-point precision on when and where a tornado will occur, then we can complain about the spatial layout or usage in general of watches.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm in Boston today.

Walked past the Hancock tower on Clarendon Street about fifteen minutes ago.

It's a windy part of town under the best of circumstances.

Today I was in danger of getting blown over, and had to cling to a light pole to avoid that.

Walked a couple of blocks toward Back Bay Station and the Mass Pike overpass. Dead calm in spots.

Can't wait to mix the wind with torrential rain this evening.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Mesoscale Discussion 1971 < Previous MD mcd1971.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1971

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0341 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...A LARGE PART OF VT...WRN/SRN NH...A LARGE PART OF

MA...ERN CT...RI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 182041Z - 182245Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AREAS TO THE EAST OF WW 646 WILL BE MONITORED FOR THE

POSSIBLE ISSUANCE OF A WW LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

DISCUSSION...WITH 0-1-KM BULK SHEAR INCREASING TO 40-55 KT OWING TO

A STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET STREAM...A CONDITIONAL SVR THREAT MAY

EVOLVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND EAST OF WW 646.

HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER BOUNDARY-LAYER DESTABILIZATION

WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ANY SUBSTANTIAL SVR THREAT DOWNSTREAM OF WW

646 EXISTS...ESPECIALLY AS NOCTURNAL COOLING COMMENCES.

REGARDLESS...THE INFLUX OF RELATIVELY RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/WARMER

AIR MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO YIELD SOME THREAT FOR SVR WINDS AND PERHAPS

ONE OR TWO TORNADOES INTO THE EVENING HOURS...AS A SQUALL LINE

ARRIVES FROM THE WEST AND WAA-RELATED CONVECTION EVOLVES AHEAD OF

THE LINE. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR THE POTENTIAL

INCREASE IN BUOYANCY/SVR THREAT.

Well it appears WIz will be naked in the wooden chair next to the HAM after all.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Over 1.0" here now.

As usual wind disappointing in the valley. Maybe gusting to 20mph. Maybe.

Nice on the rain. .77" here before the break in the action. I ran into Greenfield 45 minutes ago--had a brief torrential downpour and very little wind. Passed a Wiz-special tree (actually a little bit more impressive) that was split on my street. I'll see if I can get a picture of it up.

76mph gust now at 3,950ft on Mansfield. Still increasing.

Righteous, Scott! Keep those reports coming.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...