Snowlover11 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 Steve's writing is almost as bad as his forecasting. He is atrocious. THANK YOU!!!! Someone finally sees it. But according to anthony and mostly everyone else thinks he's the best met. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 THANK YOU!!!! Someone finally sees it. But according to anthony and mostly everyone else thinks he's the best met. Not everyone.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 If this winter ends up bad then so be it, there's nothing we can do about it. I'm sure we'll still get a few opportunities as I don't think it'll be quite as bad as last winter primarily because I see much more blocking compared to last winter despite a horrible pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 What delta do u give that not one inch of snow falls by DEC 31 cpk right now i am 60 delta Well, after today you have 23 days left....if you go by history you can probably throw out the 24th -31st...(it almost never seems to snow that week <no I did not forget 12/30/2000>...or the first 7 days of January, for that matter...)...so really, you only have to get through another 15 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 8, 2012 Share Posted December 8, 2012 I know many look for the home run but with me I'm satisfied with normal...give me normal temps and normal snowfall for the winter and I'm happy...any more is gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 I've got 12" of snow in the bank thus far, so technically I don't need to see a flake until like Jan 10th, and I'll be on track for normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Steve D: "Models all over the place today. That means changes are a foot. This is text book model mayhem that will have many METS jumping back and forth until the models lock in on what's happening at the stratospheric levels and with tropical convection. Back and forth, back and forth. I'm standing my ground on this forecast I had since early November because thus far every observation I see is right to where I thought we would be. The idea of a super cold December was never mine so I feel no need to justify that forecast. Slow and steady change. That's the forecast and that's what I'm sticking with. Progressively colder and stormier, not snowier though." Though the commentary could get an award for most cliches in one paragraph... its from his twitter page. .. So no he didn't write a paragraph ... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Steve's writing is almost as bad as his forecasting. He is atrocious. You are number 1! You are the best ...it's kinda funny to sit back from time to time and read some of the posts. Watching folks live and die with every model run is gold! Keep them coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Of the recent warmth... Dec 2012 now marks the 23rd straight month the temp has risen to 60F or greater (last month that failed to reach 60F was Jan 2011) in Central Park. I believe this is the longest such stretch of the 21st Century thus far. the record is 34 months from 3/98 to 1/01... http://www.americanw...s/#entry1113539 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 its from his twitter page. .. So no he didn't write a paragraph ... Lol He isn't the best, but his accuracy has been just as good ( or bad) as everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Who cares about steve d. He is horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Who cares about steve d. He is horrible You could think so but he isn't a bad met. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 You could think so but he isn't a bad met. yes he is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 yes he is That's your opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 9, 2012 Author Share Posted December 9, 2012 The 12z NAM was very close to bringing a wintry event to our region: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 That's your opinion indeed. mine and many others. what is not my mere opinion, though, is his complete lack of a strong grasp on the english language, his intentionally vague wording, and his multiple-scenario veiled forecasting where he really can't lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 9, 2012 Author Share Posted December 9, 2012 You can already see a pretty big difference with the evolution of the trough into the east when you compare the GFS and the NAM. The GFS is holding back some of the energy associated with the trough at 500 mb, whereas the NAM ejects it eastward more quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Typical negative and misinformed post from you, asshat. would you like to bet you wont see any real measurable snow or consistent negative anomaly temps thru the next 10-15 days? And then we can run this exercise again (the following 10-15)? stop wishcasting... asshat - what are you 12 years old? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 This mornings 0z Euro doesnt offer many encouraging signs , the Ridge in the pacific continues to back towards Hawaii and that is not conducive to ANY kind of trof in the east . In fact the Dec 20th date for a turn is really dependent on how the Pac responds in the next 5 days . On the day 10 Euro you can see the beginnings of another ridge start its development over Cuba to take the place of the one that gets temporarily displaced for a day or 2 next week . and that is clearly in response to the PAC ridge pulling the pattern with it . If you want great skiing head west .With a trof locked off like this a nice glacier should develop there with a NEG PNA sssh, dont tell WeatherX that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 I guess Ace will always be a troll . I bet that we will see snow within the next 2 weeks. Just because he does not agree does not make him a troll. I've found that he is pretty knowledgeable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Just because he does not agree does not make him a troll. I've found that he is pretty knowlegable. I agree that he knows his stuff but he also likes trolling . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 the nam is obviously not going to be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 the nam is obviously not going to be right Most likely not given the state of the PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 I guess Ace will always be a troll . I bet that we will see snow within the next 2 weeks. Odds probably favor that you see snow. Of course by "snow" I'm counting a single snowflake. Odds probably favor that you see one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Odds probably favor that you see snow. Of course by "snow" I'm counting a single snowflake. Odds probably favor that you see one I will be happy if I see flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 How can we take any model run seriously when the GFS just took the storm for the end of the week from a GLC to a miller B which gives NNE snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 How can we take any model run seriously when the GFS just took the storm for the end of the week from a GLC to a miller B which gives NNE snow. I take them all over-easy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 9, 2012 Author Share Posted December 9, 2012 How can we take any model run seriously when the GFS just took the storm for the end of the week from a GLC to a miller B which gives NNE snow. That's a very nice run for New England for Next Weekend's snow. Isn't that far away from giving us some of the white stuff either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 That's a very nice run for New England for Next Weekend's snow. Isn't that far away from giving us some of the white stuff either. Now the 18th storm is OTS on this run. The models can't make up their mind. I think the -PNA and the Typhoon are giving the models trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2012 Share Posted December 9, 2012 Merry Christmas. Storm keeps on showing up. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=indexℑ=&page=Param&cycle=12%2F09%2F2012+12UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=850_temp_mslp_precip&pdesc=&model=GFS&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=324&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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