NorEaster27 Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 Thank God. What's your problem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 20, 2012 Author Share Posted November 20, 2012 Yes, it's the 18z DGEX which is highly unreliable, but the DGEX shows a pretty good example of what a "gradient pattern" looks like. Also check out the Overruning event that it has, looks pretty cold as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 JB "Latest ECMWF monthlies right in line with long standing idea on cold December. Blend of 2009,2010,2005,2002." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 What's your problem? He ran out of tampons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 JB that blend averages out to an average temperature of 35.0 and 13.3" of snow and a 10.7" major storm...I'll sign up for that now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 He ran out of tampons. He blasted me because I said it didn't snow in Buffalo.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 What's your problem? Seriously....i dont understand that guys issue... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 20, 2012 Author Share Posted November 20, 2012 6z DGEX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 22, 2012 Author Share Posted November 22, 2012 A few of the 6z GEFS individual ensemble members bring a system to the area after the rain maker early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 A few of the GEFS individual ensemble members bring a system to the area after the rain maker early next week. The op drops down a clipper in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 22, 2012 Author Share Posted November 22, 2012 The op drops down a clipper in the area. Yeah, some GEFS members tried to redevelop the clipper into a coastal for a more significant system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 22, 2012 Author Share Posted November 22, 2012 By the way I hope everyone has a nice Thanksgiving! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 By the way I hope everyone has a nice Thanksgiving! Same to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Happy Thanksgiving everyone. Enjoy your friends and family today and forget about the weather for just a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Happy Thanksgiving Everyone! Hope everyone has a wonderful day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Happy T-Day everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Joe Bastardi "ECMWF now forecasting NAO to hit lower levels than pre Sandy Set up. Major trough east coast late next week" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Henry "NAO is doing the trick with next weeks storm. Notice the models keep trending to the coast." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Happy Thanksgiving too all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Yup Happy T-Day as well. The major problem I have with next week's storm is simply the lack of cold air in place, not a very cold antecedent airmass so no matter what happens, it'll still be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 The models are all over the place with next weeks storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 The models are all over the place with next weeks storm. It will cut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I agree. I think it will cut, but it will ultimately lead to a very cold period and help the NAO tank. It will cut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I agree. I think it will cut, but it will ultimately lead to a very cold period and help the NAO tank. I agree. That LP will cut, but we need to watch out for a Coastal between December 4th to 7th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Certainly. Watching the pattern of the NAO is the tailtale sign. NAO is tanking over the next 5-10 days which leads to a significant rain event in the east and a turn to cold. NAO starts trending positive during the first week of December and a subsequent snow event could be on the horizon. I agree. That LP will cut, but we need to watch out for a Coastal between December 4th to 7th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Don't forget the AO. It is also tanking big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 23 Years Ago Tomorrow...perhaps the greatest November snowstorm to hit the area in the 2nd half of the 20th century...November 23, 1989: Some Storm totals: Connecticut: Bridgeport: 6.6" Groton: 6.4" Stamford: 5.0" New York: Bridgehampton: 10.0" Riverhead: 8.5" Dix Hills: 8.0" Patchogue: 8.0" Islip: 7.6" Westbury: 7.2" La Guardia: 6.1" Dobbs Ferry: 5.3" White Plains: 5.0" Central Park: 4.7" Yorktown Heights: 4.5" JFK: 3.7" New Jersey: New Brunswick: 6.1" Atlantic City: 6.0" Newark: 5.7" Plainfield: 5.0" Oak Ridge Reservoir: 3.5" Charlotteburg Reservoir: 3.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 23 Years Ago Tomorrow...perhaps the greatest November snowstorm to hit the area in the 2nd half of the 20th century...November 23, 1989: Some Storm totals: Connecticut: Bridgeport: 6.6" Groton: 6.4" Stamford: 5.0" New York: Bridgehampton: 10.0" Riverhead: 8.5" Dix Hills: 8.0" Patchogue: 8.0" Islip: 7.6" Westbury: 7.2" La Guardia: 6.1" Dobbs Ferry: 5.3" White Plains: 5.0" Central Park: 4.7" Yorktown Heights: 4.5" JFK: 3.7" New Jersey: New Brunswick: 6.1" Atlantic City: 6.0" Newark: 5.7" Plainfield: 5.0" Oak Ridge Reservoir: 3.5" Charlotteburg Reservoir: 3.0" Had this storm beat a few weeks ago, 8.5 inches, booya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 23, 2012 Share Posted November 23, 2012 Happy thanksgiving, and to those of you who have that token annoying relative in your family, hope you got some enjoyment out of the day. Ahh - it's the holiday season once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Anyone have any ideas as to why the models lately, have been so contrary? Medium to long range forecasts will mean next to nothing, and now casting will be ever so more important . Would not like to see what happened in Dec 2010 especially in the shadow of Sandy. I think the public will pay more attention this winter here on LI this year, than they ever have. A massive Blizzard, without adequate warnings would be unacceptable to the public. Hope it is a temporary glitch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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