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Potential Major Storm 9/18


NEG NAO

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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

934 PM EDT TUE SEP 18 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 1000 PM EDT...

* AT 932 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 14 MILES

SOUTHWEST OF GILGO STATE PARK...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LONG

BEACH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

AMITYVILLE...LINDENHURST...BABYLON...ROBERT MOSES STATE PARK...

CAPTREE STATE PARK...BAY SHORE...ISLIP...SAYVILLE...RONKONKOMA...

PATCHOGUE...HOLBROOK...DAVIS PARK AND BRENTWOOD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A

WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS

AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN

INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO

COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A

SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE

NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 4066 7342 4085 7314 4074 7301 4072 7304

4072 7312 4069 7315 4070 7324 4065 7338

4067 7324 4064 7321 4066 7321 4066 7311

4071 7297 4070 7294 4062 7323 4063 7336

4061 7342

TIME...MOT...LOC 0134Z 227DEG 47KT 4049 7352

$$

GOODMAN

Gilgo gusted to 55 around that time.

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KNYGILGO1&day=18&year=2012&month=9

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Overall i thought it was a nice fall system...around 3pm there was some pretty strong gust.....and around 7 the rain was unbelievable...

nah I only got .88 and yeah there was some wind gusts but nothing I have not seen before. I bought the hype and we didnt work even though it did not rain from 8 AM to 4 PM except for a few renegade drops.

assuming there will be some branches and limbs to clean up today but thankfully the crabgrass had all but dried up prior to this event

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Am I imagining things when a line of storms seems to get weaker as it crosses into NYC and then all of a sudden gets stronger as it goes to LI?

I'd say it got stronger right as it was crossing NYC. A nice bowing segment developed right over Astoria and the Bronx with well defined bookend vortices. It continued to intensify and may spawned a "spinup" shall we call it? along the coast of Westchester up into Greenwich or Stamford if any of the non-flaky JFK Terminal Doppler velocity radar data from 800-815 PM are to be believed.

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Am I imagining things when a line of storms seems to get weaker as it crosses into NYC and then all of a sudden gets stronger as it goes to LI?

there has to be something to it...When I lived in CNJ, i would watch severe storms dissipate all summer long as they moved out of Eastern PA and Northwest NJ then fire up again over Eastern LI. I think with the flow of summertime storms being from the NW or W, the mountains tend to squeeze them out while eastern LI has ocean enhancement. Kind of like clipper systems in the winter but im not sure it works the same way. Athough yesterdays storms had more forcing from the SW, it was part of a phased system to our north so the strength was maintained throughout.... It wasnt your typical summertime frontal passage to our NW. I dont have scientific reasoning on my end though. maybe someone better suited can chime in.

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