Mr Torchey Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Awesome outside. Sure is Scott~ 74/61 nice south wind today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 with 850's near 14c why don't we see temps near 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 with 850's near 14c why don't we see temps near 80 Slow start with the low clouds, weak onshore flow with minor mixing, equinoctial sun angle... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22, 2012 Author Share Posted September 22, 2012 Slow start with the low clouds, weak onshore flow with minor mixing, equinoctial sun angle... Yeah it has that feeling outside. That warm sun, but yet cool and moist air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 thanks....poor mixing is something i don't fully understand but is one thing that came to mind. wonder if the "rock pile" sees accumulating snow on monday afternoon with the cold pool overhead.....talking like 1/4 to 1/2 inch or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22, 2012 Author Share Posted September 22, 2012 Another good cool shot possible later next week too, although some uncertainty in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 What is that thread that I can't click on on the New England listing? Also Kev, do you live up near that cell tower that you can see from the Big Y, or elsewhere? That looks like the highest spot up that way Yes I'm near that tower. that's one hilltop over on Bald Hill which is a little under 1100 feet and has a great view to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Some signs near October 2...give or take, there could be a good storm on the east coast. We are far out in la la land obviously, but the pattern possibly shuffles to allow some energy coming out of Canada to interact with a low developing off the East Coast. Some models offer this in some shape or form. Thought it looked "interesting" anyways. Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 thanks....poor mixing is something i don't fully understand but is one thing that came to mind. wonder if the "rock pile" sees accumulating snow on monday afternoon with the cold pool overhead.....talking like 1/4 to 1/2 inch or so Generally speaking, higher sun angle = more insolation = more sfc heating. The rising thermals/parcels can climb to higher heights allowing for the low level fully-mixed height to rise. In the winter the insolation is lower and snow pack limits sfc heating so this mixing is shallow. So the higher your mixing height the warmer your 2m temps will be as you mix down air dry adiabtically with a warmer potential (theta) temp. Other things go into vertical mixing, but this is the rule for most fair weather days. In the spring and early summer we can often mix up to 800-850mb whereas in winter it can be closer to 900mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22, 2012 Author Share Posted September 22, 2012 Generally speaking, higher sun angle = more insolation = more sfc heating. The rising thermals/parcels can climb to higher heights allowing for the low level fully-mixed height to rise. In the winter the insolation is lower and snow pack limits sfc heating so this mixing is shallow. So the higher your mixing height the warmer your 2m temps will be as you mix down air dry adiabtically with a warmer potential (theta) temp. Other things go into vertical mixing, but this is the rule for most fair weather days. In the spring and early summer we can often mix up to 800-850mb whereas in winter it can be closer to 900mb. Except where you are, you mix to 985mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Except where you are, you mix to 985mb. lol...then you have SLK which can't even mix out sometimes. Sidenote...I always figured Waterville Valley would get some ridic radiational cooling given their surrounding topography...Bartlett too. I've never been able to find any wx station data near the base though. Someone needs to setup a Davis in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22, 2012 Author Share Posted September 22, 2012 lol...then you have SLK which can't even mix out sometimes. Sidenote...I always figured Waterville Valley would get some ridic radiational cooling given their surrounding topography...Bartlett too. I've never been able to find any wx station data near the base though. Someone needs to setup a Davis in town. I stayed in Bartlett one night back in Jan '94. It was -30F. Couldn't start the car until it warmed up to 0F...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22, 2012 Author Share Posted September 22, 2012 Sneaky fog at Logan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Hit 71 this afternoon with the sun. Didnt come out until noon or we would have been mid 70's. Back down to 68 imby. Beautiful day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Hit 71 this afternoon with the sun. Didnt come out until noon or we would have been mid 70's. Back down to 68 imby. Beautiful day! Indeed it was. Got to 66 at the pit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Sneaky fog at Logan. KBOS 221954Z 11010KT 10SM FEW012 17/14 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP116 VIS E-SE 1 1/2 T01720139 Hope you had that in your TAF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster17 Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 I was surprised we didnt get warmer today. I thought the coast would hit upper 70s at least. Aside from the chance of rain, I think the more interesting story is the very Cool nights coming up... This is from latest NAM. Has 30s getting into areas of CT Sunday night. Location ....... Monday Lows... Tuesday Lows WINDSOR LOCKS ..... 42° ........... 43° BRIDGEPORT ........... 51° ........... 53° DANBURY ............... 39° ............. 41° GROTON ................ 44° ............. 47° HARTFORD ............. 45° ............ 47° NEW HAVEN ........... 45° ............. 49° WILLIMANTIC ......... 39° ............. 41° MERIDEN ............... 41° ............. 44° OXFORD ................ 40° ........... 45° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster17 Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Here's a look at some select locations using the 12z NAM and GFS MOS Guidance. I will compare them to the actual lows next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22, 2012 Author Share Posted September 22, 2012 KBOS 221954Z 11010KT 10SM FEW012 17/14 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP116 VIS E-SE 1 1/2 T01720139 Hope you had that in your TAF Nope. Logan's location FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Dews sneaking up into the low and mid 60's on the first day of fall FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22, 2012 Author Share Posted September 22, 2012 Dews still just below 60 for now. Feels good out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Dews still just below 60 for now. Feels good out. Over 60 here..and most will rise into the 64-65 range tonight ahead of fropa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Over 60 here..and most will rise into the 64-65 range tonight ahead of fropa 65/60 here (60 is the high for the day thusfar). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22, 2012 Author Share Posted September 22, 2012 Over 60 here..and most will rise into the 64-65 range tonight ahead of fropa Meh, this isn't pulling that much juice up. LL has the best over to Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Meh, this isn't pulling that much juice up. LL has the best over to Phil. Hmmmmm.... Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan Hard to believe but it's actually going to get a bit humid this evening with dew points creeping into the mid 60s lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22, 2012 Author Share Posted September 22, 2012 Hmmmmm.... Ryan Hanrahan @ryanhanrahan Hard to believe but it's actually going to get a bit humid this evening with dew points creeping into the mid 60s lol Yeah over ct. It will take longer here but temps in The 60s with low 60s dews in September is pretty common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Yeah over ct. It will take longer here but temps in The 60s with low 60s dews in September is pretty common. Yeah BDR is up to a 64F dew. Certainly a far cry from what it felt like this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Yeah BDR is up to a 64F dew. Certainly a far cry from what it felt like this morning. Make it the best night ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 22, 2012 Share Posted September 22, 2012 Make it the best night ever. Kevin you should come to the weather conference in Danbury on Saturday 10/13. Maybe you can learn something!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 22, 2012 Author Share Posted September 22, 2012 Make it the best night ever. Firepit lit, oysters on ice, jugs and mugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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