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September banter/boredom thread


CoastalWx

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TORCH!!!

Joe Furey@StormFurey

Since the first full day of summer 6/21...At Bradley there have been 53 days with the daytime high 85 degrees or higher

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How many of those days were above 85F there in the wooded hills where most people in CT apparently live?

You just said argued like a week ago how BDL is not representative of what most folks in CT experience.

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Oh what a night...........late December back in 63'............

Man what a great night for sleeping and after running saws and chippers non stop I needed it. Looks like a beauty out there, lawns are calling my name, they are kelly green once again! Outside chance at 80 tomorrow? 3 Shawl day, all packed in the truck and ready to go.

Pattern looks cold as far as they eye can see, loving it!

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Looks more zonal with the cold locked up in Canada.

The west may be a bit cooler during this time, though central and east Canada are torching (in a relative sense) if the ensembles are correct...though there are signs that the +PNA may reload toward mid October. Still quite a ways out though.

in the meantime though at the very end ofthis month and probably the first week of Oct...we may have more of a neutral to positive NAO configuration and a broken down PNA perhaps to the point of becoming negative for a time....though its uncertain how much it actually breaks down. Ensembles aren't very clustered in the long range...even compared to usual.

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Yeah they were reloading the pattern at the very end with a nice broad low height area setting up SW of the Aleutians....so probably if they had gone out a little further, it would translate to another round of troughiness over the east.

Before that, we get a transient GOA low that seems to break down the western ridge a bit.

Certainly nice to see the GOA low becoming a more transient feature of late versus a permanent one...

As far as that GOA ridge signal on the day 11-15 ensembles goes, it may be a little too far west, and I'd think that would probably extrapolate to a rockies/Plains/Midwest trough signal this time of year.. probably be left out on the warm side along the east coast?

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I think BOS and PVD are going to be negative for September on the departures...ORH and BDL probably won't make it, though this cold shotnext week could make it close.

Monthlies are at going into today:

BOS: +0.4

PVD: -0.2

ORH: +1.3

BDL: +1.3

Today looks like about a -5 or -6...though that should be offset by tomorrow, but then next week should have a few good negatives in there.

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I think BOS and PVD are going to be negative for September on the departures...ORH and BDL probably won't make it, though this cold shotnext week could make it close.

Monthlies are at going into today:

BOS: +0.4

PVD: -0.2

ORH: +1.3

BDL: +1.3

Today looks like about a -5 or -6...though that should be offset by tomorrow, but then next week should have a few good negatives in there.

I agree. A week ago it looked tough to do, but the last warm spell wasn't hard on the dailies...and tomorrow is more or less a one day deal. A nice change.

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I agree. A week ago it looked tough to do, but the last warm spell wasn't hard on the dailies...and tomorrow is more or less a one day deal. A nice change.

Yeah I figured once the Euro was showing that huge cold shot into the plains, that we would probably get a piece of that from time to time and that we would end up much closer to 0.0 departure than first thought (for here) and for BOS/PVD, it looks like they will finish negative.

If we get stuck in the clouds in BOS, it could end up being like a -8 today. 040 wind at 6 knots with overcast skies isn't very ideal for warming much.

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June of this summer. That is the last time all 4 major NWS BOX sites were below normal (BOS/ORH/PVD/BDL)

ahh ok, I thought I remembered a recent month going below in new england..the rest of the northeast sw of NYC was not included in the belows in june though if memory serves, and dc/phl have been running quite the streak of above months still I believe.

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ahh ok, I thought I remembered a recent month going below in new england..the rest of the northeast sw of NYC was not included in the belows in june though if memory serves, and dc/phl have been running quite the streak of above months still I believe.

October 2011 appears to be the last below normal month at Reagan. Didn't realize that March was double digits above normal. Wow. (+10.0F)

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I think BOS and PVD are going to be negative for September on the departures...ORH and BDL probably won't make it, though this cold shotnext week could make it close.

Monthlies are at going into today:

BOS: +0.4

PVD: -0.2

ORH: +1.3

BDL: +1.3

Today looks like about a -5 or -6...though that should be offset by tomorrow, but then next week should have a few good negatives in there.

For Maine/NH, looks like CAR finishes above, the other 3 close to avg. Thru Sept 20:

CAR...+2.4

BGR...-0.8

PWM....0.0

CON...+0.5

I'd guess they all decline .5 to 1.0 by end of the month.

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