Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Tough to say. I wouldn't mind a nice cold shot. Great great song Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Nice cool push this weekend...then we get chilly in a week....pattern changing goodbye torch... Goodmorning Tim, I am replying to this post only because it dawned on me this morning, for the better part of two years I have seen this same post from hundreds of members............and this multi year torch simply does not go away. Anyhow, have a great day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 We do? 2.2" so far on the month here--did you miss out on the earlier rains? We got the 2" last weekend but we have been missed by everything else the past month. The Green River is ridiculously low. I was thinking in terms of the foliage but it's probably too late for that. I think we are in for a quick and muted foliage season in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 How does the weekend of Sept 29th in Buffalo look? I'm making the annual trip there for the game. Guess who they're playing? Looks seasonable to perhaps a little cool. Playing the Pats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Yeah not sure I buy that, but I could buy a 1-2 day cool shot...something outside of our 558 thickness cool shots we've been getting. We will probably have fropas before all this happens..just more glancing shots I think for the next 10 days or so? I agree. There is a huge Atlantic ridge to contend with and until that breaks down these cool downs will be transitory. Natural progression of the seasons taking place. I think parts of the upper midwest may see there first shot at snow by the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 They really have a mild start to October? What happen to this cold shot end of month? I was looking forward to this damnit I only see a weekly average and they have higher heights. Weakly so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Looks seasonable to perhaps a little cool. Playing the Pats? Yup.. Can't wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Very quick jump in dewpoints this morning. From 50 to 64 in about an hour. Winds are calm. Just as quickly - low clouds have started to form overhead and just to the south over the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Still low clouds and fog here though there is some brightening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 Either way, it's not a big deal to get glancing cold shots. I'd rather look beyond that and notice the H5 configuration. To me, that looks good for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Do the euro ensembles show troughing over the east right through the end of September? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 Do the euro ensembles show troughing over the east right through the end of September? Somewhat, but they lift it out. Where you are in Toronto, you should feel these shots moreso than out this way given your longitude. I do think one or two of these shots will probably make headway here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 A couple of cold nights on tap here sat-sun night, Sunday looks to have a better shot at frost possibly for some up this way but i don't think here yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Looking forward to the nicer airmass this weekend...and later next week. Sultan potential in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Looking forward to the nicer airmass this weekend...and later next week. Sultan potential in between. Amen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Looking forward to the nicer airmass this weekend...and later next week. Sultan potential in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 12z GFS is ballz cold the end of the month. 850 0c line is S of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 12z GFS is ballz cold the end of the month. 850 0c line is S of LI. yea and congrats Dryslot, holy heck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Margusity is deep Notice the NAO is going negative next week; in fact, we have been in a negative NAO most of the summer. Some studies have shown that a negative NAO during the summer means heat in the Northeast, while a negative NAO in the winter means colder, stormy weather. So one can surmise that as the jet starts to migrate south in September that a negative NAO would mean stormy weather for the Northeast which looks to be the case next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 Eh, could be the GFS op being the GFS op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 12z GFS is ballz cold the end of the month. 850 0c line is S of LI. Yup, Mentioned it in the NNE thread............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Margusity is deep Notice the NAO is going negative next week; in fact, we have been in a negative NAO most of the summer. Some studies have shown that a negative NAO during the summer means heat in the Northeast, while a negative NAO in the winter means colder, stormy weather. So one can surmise that as the jet starts to migrate south in September that a negative NAO would mean stormy weather for the Northeast which looks to be the case next week. Did he really say that, oh my Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 One of these cold shots...probably the last one there, could bring the 1-2 day cold shot we mentioned earlier this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Margusity is deep Notice the NAO is going negative next week; in fact, we have been in a negative NAO most of the summer. Some studies have shown that a negative NAO during the summer means heat in the Northeast, while a negative NAO in the winter means colder, stormy weather. So one can surmise that as the jet starts to migrate south in September that a negative NAO would mean stormy weather for the Northeast which looks to be the case next week. Great stuff! Grass burning out here quickly with the lack of rain over the past month or so locally. Less than .50 for the month of September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Eh, could be the GFS op being the GFS op. I don't deny that. Just sayin' what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 I don't deny that. Just sayin' what it shows. I could buy one of those shots perhaps, but there will be fropas for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 I could buy one of those shots perhaps, but there will be fropas for sure. Fropa Fetish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Upper plains and lakes are really going to freeze relative normal during that period coming up. Climo is like +7 to +8 850s for Duluth, MN, lol. I think the last week fo the month will be below average here...but the extent to which it is will depend on how much of those cold shots we get...whether it just grazed by a couple or if one of them can get us pretty good for a couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 Fropa Fetish LOL, at least it shouldn't torch towards the end of the month. Most of that will be over by the end of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 We might get +15 to +16 850s in here next week during our Sultan setup. Definitely a good ingredient for heavy rains if we can focus some convergence over the area for 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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