Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Man..models overnight give most of us HWW on Tuesday next week out of the south..I am pumped. That would be wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Can we get 1-2 more days of 70+ dews? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Nice cool push this weekend...then we get chilly in a week....pattern changing goodbye torch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Maybe it will be cool enough for the first wood stove fire sunday night... We need rain badly up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 10:59 AM, Happy Valley said: Maybe it will be cool enough for the first wood stove fire sunday night... We need rain badly up here. We do? 2.2" so far on the month here--did you miss out on the earlier rains? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Phil what do you think about the damaging wind potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 11:25 AM, CT Blizz said: Phil what do you think about the damaging wind potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 I don't think we ever had damaging wind in September. Climo usually says no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 11:33 AM, CoastalWx said: I don't think we ever had damaging wind in September. Climo usually says no. Did we ever have 1-2 feet of Condo Collapsing snow in October before last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 11:33 AM, CoastalWx said: I don't think we ever had damaging wind in September. Climo usually says no. Labor day Derecho 1998? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 11:40 AM, CT Blizz said: Did we ever have 1-2 feet of Condo Collapsing snow in October before last year? We had a ripping LLJ last week with your derecho to remember and nothing happened. Maybe you get gusts to 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 11:42 AM, Sultan said: Labor day Derecho 1998? Apples and oranges. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/13/2012 at 11:24 PM, ETauntonMA said: I may come close to upper 40's tonight. Forecast is for 55F but I've been running cooler that guidance these past couple nights. Looks like I make a run at upper 30s this weekend. Sat/Sun forecasts are 42/43. Looks like I put up a 50-51F low overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 11:43 AM, CoastalWx said: We had a ripping LLJ last week with your derecho to remember and nothing happened. Maybe you get gusts to 35. How come you always downplay everything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 11:59 AM, CT Blizz said: How come you always downplay everything? Because there is no need to hype up something that may not happen. I haven't been wrong have I? The only way you get damaging wind is if a wicked squall line moved through. I don't see damaging gradient winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 11:49 AM, ETauntonMA said: Looks like I put up a 50-51F low overnight. 51° was my low too. I broke my 40s streak! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 12:11 PM, MetHerb said: 51° was my low too. I broke my 40s streak! 3 day streak broken here. Looks like it will be officially 50F for the low, (Z) (F) (F) (Deg&Knots) (inches) (F) (F) (F) (F) Snow DaTime Clouds Vsby Wx Temp DP Wind Gs Pw SLP 1Hr 6Hr 24Hr 6Mx 6Mn Mx Mn Dpth SWE 141152 CLR 10 65 62 0000 240 65 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 10:01 AM, moneypitmike said: Get excited. Meanwhile, no way this will verify at KPIT, but nice to see the first 30's in the forecast: Today: Sunny. Patchy fog this morning. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around 5 mph...becoming south this afternoon. Tonight: Partly cloudy in the evening...then mostly cloudy with scattered showers after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph...becoming west after midnight. Chance of rain 50 percent. Saturday: Sunny. Scattered showers in the morning. Patchy fog in the morning. Cooler with highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent. Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Cooler with lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Sunday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Sunday Night And Monday: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 70s. 80 at KPIT today ? I should think that it will be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 It will be interesting to see how the trough in the east resolves itself. There is definitely the chance we get more of a glancing blow after next week, while the nrn Plains and Great lakes may have first flakes. Maybe it's something like a quick cool shot for a day or two....that may be hidden in the smoothed out mean. At least it shows the changing seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 12:34 PM, CoastalWx said: It will be interesting to see how the trough in the east resolves itself. There is definitely the chance we get more of a glancing blow after next week, while the nrn Plains and Great lakes may have first flakes. Maybe it's something like a quick cool shot for a day or two....that may be hidden in the smoothed out mean. At least it shows the changing seasons. The GFS is balls to the wall with that trough at the end of the month. That would be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 12:01 PM, CoastalWx said: Because there is no need to hype up something that may not happen. I haven't been wrong have I? The only way you get damaging wind is if a wicked squall line moved through. I don't see damaging gradient winds. What is more likely with this event? 1) Damaging winds 2) TOR's 3) Dews over 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 12:11 PM, MetHerb said: 51° was my low too. I broke my 40s streak! Low of 59.1 here Only 1 day in the 40's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 12:44 PM, ETauntonMA said: The GFS is balls to the wall with that trough at the end of the month. That would be awesome. Yeah not sure I buy that, but I could buy a 1-2 day cool shot...something outside of our 558 thickness cool shots we've been getting. We will probably have fropas before all this happens..just more glancing shots I think for the next 10 days or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 12:45 PM, CT Blizz said: What is more likely with this event? 1) Damaging winds 2) TOR's 3) Dews over 70 Although models don't have it, I could see dews near 70 at least on the south coast. The low doesn't look ideal for NYC or CT tors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 12:34 PM, CoastalWx said: It will be interesting to see how the trough in the east resolves itself. There is definitely the chance we get more of a glancing blow after next week, while the nrn Plains and Great lakes may have first flakes. Maybe it's something like a quick cool shot for a day or two....that may be hidden in the smoothed out mean. At least it shows the changing seasons. Great post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 12:50 PM, litchfieldlibations said: Great post. Tough to say. I wouldn't mind a nice cold shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 14, 2012 Author Share Posted September 14, 2012 FWIW the weeklies look like a mild start to October and then maybe cooler 2nd week. I think the big thing I see is that lower heights stay near the Aleutians which is a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Trough has and was always progged to deliver the real chill to the plains and western lakes. We all know how these things get delayed this time of year, or further west. This week will end up normal, perhaps slightly above, that is a ripping southerly flow early next week, nighttime mins will be WELL above normal. Next week will once again be above normal, I think the last week of the month has a real chance of being below normal here. Chilly start to October! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 12:56 PM, CoastalWx said: FWIW the weeklies look like a mild start to October and then maybe cooler 2nd week. I think the big thing I see is that lower heights stay near the Aleutians which is a good thing. They really have a mild start to October? What happen to this cold shot end of month? I was looking forward to this damnit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 On 9/14/2012 at 12:56 PM, CoastalWx said: FWIW the weeklies look like a mild start to October and then maybe cooler 2nd week. I think the big thing I see is that lower heights stay near the Aleutians which is a good thing. How does the weekend of Sept 29th in Buffalo look? I'm making the annual trip there for the game. Guess who they're playing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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