Damage In Tolland Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Man Wiz is in full fledged weenie mode for this event. I've seen him bad before..but this takes the cake. Hopefully it doesn't disappoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Is there really anything that would trigger organized convection out ahead of the main line other than the pre-existing outflow boundary? The thing is, though, there might be - there is much more lift this time around than during the 7/26 event since there is a lot more synoptic lift with the huge trough, as HM said. So as long as we can find breaks of sun, perhaps the large-scale ascent can extend eastward enough so that we can actually have much more in the way of organized, discrete convection than we did during the 7/26 event. The instability also greatly lagged the forcing in the 7/26 event as well, so anything discrete either quickly died or got absorbed by the main line. Plus the low-level shear profiles are much more impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 7, 2012 Author Share Posted September 7, 2012 i wonder if people at the us open are going to freak out tomorrow when the line arrives Probably...hopefully the ladies playing in it bring long pants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 7, 2012 Author Share Posted September 7, 2012 Man Wiz is in full fledged weenie mode for this event. I've seen him bad before..but this takes the cake. Hopefully it doesn't disappoint. ??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Probably...hopefully the ladies playing in it bring long pants. the women's final starts at 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Just saw that blog. Nice work Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 the women's final starts at 7 Does anyone really watch tennis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Man Wiz is in full fledged weenie mode for this event. I've seen him bad before..but this takes the cake. Hopefully it doesn't disappoint. Not really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Does anyone really watch tennis? the us open brings more revenue to nyc than the entire yankee's season (at least as of a few years ago when i read about it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 the us open brings more revenue to nyc than the entire yankee's season (at least as of a few years ago when i read about it) No way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 7, 2012 Author Share Posted September 7, 2012 the women's final starts at 7 probably be delayed Does anyone really watch tennis? I've actually started watching it...I like it. Started watching it b/c I've been picking it in the ESPN Streak for the Cash game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 No way. 750 million. i'll find the yankees stats later http://www.villagevoice.com/2012-09-05/news/us-open-security/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Hey guys; it's been a while. I have been dealing with family issues lately but definitely wanted to give the board my two thumbs up for this event. Unlike the last several set ups which were thermodynamically-driven (or dependent), this will be the first true synoptic/kinematic-driven, autumn-like, event. Notice the mid level dewpoint's (particularly 700mb) standard deviations with the dry punch and the strong moisture advection that takes place tomorrow morning in the low levels. As this cyclone matures, anticipate all advective processes to be a bit stronger than modeled today. The very wrapped up / slower solutions are preferred by NCEP but we must wait to see how the 00z runs do after the convection is established this afternoon and wave amplifies. I agree 100% with the moderate risk issuance. The only bad news for the forum is that we will get another round of morons from NYC who will complain when they get missed. Hope all is well man, thanks for chiming in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Glad to hear the family is doing better this week, HM. I think there might be enough separation from the main line to the crapvection so that some clearing can still be expected in most areas, especially given the dry air in the mid-levels. I'm thinking the crapvection might be relegated to eastern areas that are closer to the ocean. This is why I'm also a bit wary of how far east the mod risk is. But I'm definitely on board otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 WRF fail today? Nothing around at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 WRF fail today? Nothing around at all. 12z WRF I'm looking at didn't have much of anything until 5-7pm, then a few cells over MA. One small shower just popped up over south-central MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 750 million. i'll find the yankees stats later http://www.villagevo...-open-security/ 2011 Yankees Revenue Sport $177 mil Market $867 mil Stadium $316 mil Brand Management $340 mil Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 2011 Yankees Revenue Sport $177 mil Market $867 mil Stadium $316 mil Brand Management $340 mil i meant revenue for the city, not team revenue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 I cannot believe your actually comparing women's tennis to the New York Yankees.. lol smh. Are you serious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 18z NAM looks weaker with the line as it approaches NY/CT border, FWIW. I think the 00z runs tonight are big, plus then we can start getting into nowcast mode and use RAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Upton not nearly as gung ho as SPC with tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Upton not nearly as gung ho as SPC with tomorrow. I got this Deja Vu feeling all over again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Upton not nearly as gung ho as SPC with tomorrow. Definitely not their best discussion and/or reasoning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 September line storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 I cannot believe your actually comparing women's tennis to the New York Yankees.. lol smh. Are you serious? Why are we even talking about this in here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 18z NAM really chokes the line when it gets to our area. One thing I noticed on the BUFKIT soundings from 12z was a lack of elevated instability. Neither 850 to 700 nor 700 to 500 mb lapse rates were anything to write home about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 BTV has a wind map up for synoptic winds ahead of the front... these are southwesterly wind gusts: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Can we please stop using model qpf or simulated reflectivity to determine how a model run looks. Just a meteorological disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 Can we please stop using model qpf or simulated reflectivity to determine how a model run looks. Just a meteorological disaster. Lol. I thought the NAM actually looked pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 7, 2012 Share Posted September 7, 2012 LOL, model sim radar is just that. If there were reds on the 12z run over Albany and now they are oranges..it means nothing...nothing. You have to look much deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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