ChrisM Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Antecedent breeze picking way up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 that small storm in western hartford county has a little rotation with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 carpet bomb warnings FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Here it comes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 MCD now all the way to the coast, watch incoming. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1936 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0255 PM CDT SAT SEP 08 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/SRN NEW ENGLAND CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 635...637... VALID 081955Z - 082100Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 635...637...CONTINUES. SUMMARY...A NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR AREAS DOWNSTREAM OF WW 635/637 IN SRN NEW ENGLAND BY 21Z. DISCUSSION...QLCS HAS ACCELERATED IN FORWARD SPEED TO AROUND 40 KT WHICH WOULD EXTRAPOLATE THE LEADING EDGE TOWARDS THE NH BORDER NEAR 2130Z. ALTHOUGH SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE SLIGHTLY COOLER TO THE EAST THAN THE HUDSON/CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...DEW POINTS HAVE LARGELY REMAINED IN THE MIDDLE 60S TO LOWER 70S AND IS LIKELY YIELDING WEAK BUOYANCY PER MODIFIED 18Z OKX/ALB RAOBS. LOW/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR PROFILES WILL REMAIN RATHER FAVORABLE FOR SUSTENANCE OF THE QLCS AND PRE-FRONTAL WEAK/TRANSIENT SUPERCELLS. THIS SETUP SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS ALONG WITH A SECONDARY THREAT FOR A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO. ..GRAMS.. 09/08/2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Tornado watch up for here possibly in the next hour or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Line looks great, surprised how quickly its moving east....should be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 kevin should be posting soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 OT but I was walking home from work and was very near 2 ltng strikes. Fun but scary. Looks like a crazy few hours for many incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Their facebook pic (BHO = Blue Hills Obser.?) Dwope...it was Mount Washington, nbot Blue hills So dumb on my part I was on Mount Clay (northern neighbor of MWN) and had gusts over 60. Lots o' fun with a full pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 Reagan gusted to 58 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 After the frontal pass. Nice COOL weather for days and days. Impressive squalls, radar signature more like late October. The rogue cell threat seems to be waining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Fun day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 not too bad in lake george, just heavy rain....winds were stronger during the day today before the storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 So with this massive squall line about to rip across all of SNE..when do they extend the watches..or maybe they'll just go straight warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 Oh God... Just take alook at the environment this line is working into....just an absolutely incredible favorable environment...SBcapes as high as 1500-2000 J/KG, MLcape of 1000 J/KG along with MUcape, LI of -3C, KI in the upper 30's, Dcape near 1000 J/KG, incredible 0-6km shear, incredible helicity, and right on the nose of 60-70 knot MLJ and 90-105kt ULJ max. Remember 7/26 that line was working into a less favorable thermodynamic environment...even though Cape was pretty high here it was much higher to the west...this time it's working into a more favorable environment. Rock and Roll time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Oh God... Just take alook at the environment this line is working into....just an absolutely incredible favorable environment...SBcapes as high as 1500-2000 J/KG, MLcape of 1000 J/KG along with MUcape, LI of -3C, KI in the upper 30's, Dcape near 1000 J/KG, incredible 0-6km shear, incredible helicity, and right on the nose of 60-70 knot MLJ and 90-105kt ULJ max. Remember 7/26 that line was working into a less favorable thermodynamic environment...even though Cape was pretty high here it was much higher to the west...this time it's working into a more favorable environment. Rock and Roll time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 I wouldn't be surprised if we gusted to 50 just ahead of the line. Then some torrential rain for about 15 minutes and now tapering down a lot. I guess that's it.... now bring on Fall. So with this massive squall line about to rip across all of SNE..when do they extend the watches..or maybe they'll just go straight warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Effective SRH increasing to 200-400 m2/s2 across much of NE, any more robust updrafts that go up ahead of the line should have potential for tornadoes given the LLJ strengthening from here on in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 So with this massive squall line about to rip across all of SNE..when do they extend the watches..or maybe they'll just go straight warning I wonder if they go TOR for the rest of SNE..or just SVR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Down in GON at a Jimmy Fund charity tourney. Strong onshore winds, clouds screaming in off the sound, doesn't feel like a severe day down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 I heard very little thunder with this for some reason.... Down in GON at a Jimmy Fund charity tourney. Strong onshore winds, clouds screaming in off the sound, doesn't feel like a severe day down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Obs from the west are less than impressive, a few isolated severe criteria gusts, but I guess as Wiz points out its moving into a favorable environment, forcing is not that great down this way, as the s/w lifts up into Canada. NW ct and western Mass should rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 BTV about to get rocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 I think the forcing here is just fine...RFQ of the 90-105 kt ULJ, nose of the 60-70kt MLJ max...UL divergence present Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 BTV about to get rocked. Nice bow crossing route 7..Prob 60-70mph gusts with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Even Scooter is going to have wind damage..on the water in ENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Models, and I mean all of them, were way too slow with the line. In this case, I'm glad because we have some daytime instability to work with... if it's a sign for winter, maybe not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 Models, and I mean all of them, were way too slow with the line. In this case, I'm glad because we have some daytime instability to work with... if it's a sign for winter, maybe not so much. Yeah this line couldn't be moving through at a better time...instability is maximized right now along with shear. GAME ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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