weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 The helicity right now is just as high as it was 6/1/11...obviously the thermodynamic environment is nowhere near as similar but instability values across CT are very good for the dynamics we have. I suspect things get much more active over the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 storm south of south kent looking pretty healthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 This line is bowing far faster than expected. Does that bode well or ill for SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 I was in New Hartford a little South of 202 as the tail end passed right over and there was really not a whole lot going on. There was some scud moving in various directions but nothing that had me excited. No real wind just some big downpours and a couple of weenie tickling cg's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Calm before the storms here. Partly sunny and a fairly brisk south or southwest wind. The leading edge is 40 miles west of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Have to watch the stuff now forming over Willimantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Wiz, how does the rest of the afternoon play out for us in eastern ct? Does the severe stuff in the western areas move east, meaning do we have to wait or the line in NYS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiWxWatcher Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Does that bode well or ill for SNE? For severe weather enthusiasts, I would say it's doing well. The threat just keeps increasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 Wiz, how does the rest of the afternoon play out for us in eastern ct? Does the severe stuff in the western areas move east? Until the axis causing the supercells to form out ahead of the main line shifts east all the action is going to be across eastern NY/CT and into western MA...the axis has been slowly shifting eastward though as we've been seeing more supercells now into extreme western Hartford county. Also, as the cold front/forcing shift east along with the main line that will shift the axis east as well. I would think within the next 60-90 minutes we start seeing more develop across central CT but eastern CT may have to wait really until that main line rips through....actually I could see stuff developing there as well b/c we're seeing numerous showers there as well now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Until the axis causing the supercells to form out ahead of the main line shifts east all the action is going to be across eastern NY/CT and into western MA...the axis has been slowly shifting eastward though as we've been seeing more supercells now into extreme western Hartford county. Also, as the cold front/forcing shift east along with the main line that will shift the axis east as well. I would think within the next 60-90 minutes we start seeing more develop across central CT but eastern CT may have to wait really until that main line rips through....actually I could see stuff developing there as well b/c we're seeing numerous showers there as well now. Thanks for the explanation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 Thanks for the explanation you're Welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Cell near Sherman warned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 What i like about these passing showers is as soon as they are done the sun comes right back out and the showers don't last long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Dr Forbes was just on TWC and he had the greatest risk for tornadoes on Western New England/Western Connecticut. There's not much in the way of severe weather in Eastern Connecticut just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Here's that special ALB sounding at 18z. Very low instability and a weak inversion just above the 700 level. On the whole I'm not seeing the kind of shear on radar that I expected so far. Not nearly as much as August 10th even. But we have a ways to go yet and it's still pretty warm out there. Best dynamics were never pegged for this area until later on anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 Here's that special ALB sounding at 18z. Very low instability and a weak inversion just above the 700 level. On the whole I'm not seeing the kind of shear on radar that I expected so far. Not nearly as much as August 10th even. But we have a ways to go yet and it's still pretty warm out there. Strongest instability right across SE NY into CT...interesting though about that inversion there...could be what is preventing much from going on...haven't had a great deal in the way of reports. Wish OKX did one or they would do launches at BDL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Interesting funneling in the lower hudson valley, some cloud echoes racing N to NNW ahead of the main line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 That inversion sucks, but th environment above that isn't bad. Not sure how that inversion behaves this aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 This line is going to absolutely explode over our area...going to move into a pretty favorable thermodynamic environment...Dcape values are near 1000 J/KG and helicity is nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 This line is going to absolutely explode over our area...going to move into a pretty favorable thermodynamic environment...Dcape values are near 1000 J/KG and helicity is nuts. Do you have a tent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 This line is going to absolutely explode over our area...going to move into a pretty favorable thermodynamic environment...Dcape values are near 1000 J/KG and helicity is nuts. ALL of our area, or Hartford west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 might be able to make it to the coast This line is going to absolutely explode over our area...going to move into a pretty favorable thermodynamic environment...Dcape values are near 1000 J/KG and helicity is nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Wiz'z keyboard will be worn down to stumps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 BHO gusted to 81mph Sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 Do you have a tent yes ALL of our area, or Hartford west? All might be able to make it to the coast It def will make it to the coast, although it will probably be in the weakening stage by then but still packing a punch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 BHO gusted to 81mph Sweet Where do you see that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Wish OKX did one or they would do launches at BDL. I would imagine NWS can use AMDAR data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiWxWatcher Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 The sun is sporadically back here in Western Mass, and it's like the weather can't decide what it's going to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted September 8, 2012 Author Share Posted September 8, 2012 I would imagine NWS can use AMDAR data. They should do that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 8, 2012 Share Posted September 8, 2012 Where do you see that? Their facebook pic (BHO = Blue Hills Obser.?) Dwope...it was Mount Washington, nbot Blue hills So dumb on my part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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