Hoosier Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Probably too early to write it off but this one seemingly has more questions than answers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WolfSpider Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Would be a bust for the SPC if nothing forms. I'm still waiting for something to form in far eastern Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Would be a bust for the SPC if nothing forms. I'm still waiting for something to form in far eastern Iowa. nah...something will go...naso sure about widespread severe or the discrete cell action but we'll see a broken segment push through around 8 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 nah...something will go...naso sure about widespread severe or the discrete cell action but we'll see a broken segment push through around 8 or so. Just not much out there right now to break the cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 22z LOT is more or less calling it. Lid just couldnt break... yep....initial call to punt was probably a good one despite the SPC's relative bullishness....probably still a modest thread far south/east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 yep....initial call to punt was probably a good one despite the SPC's relative bullishness....probably still a modest thread far south/east. Sadly I have come to expect this. This season has suuuucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Sadly I have come to expect this. This season has suuuucked. kind of yes and kind of no...we've managed a good amount of wind events here but it still feels like widespread convective activity has been rather sparse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 kind of yes and kind of no...we've managed a good amount of wind events here but it still feels like widespread convective activity has been rather sparse. This severe season has trolled this region pretty hard more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 This severe season has trolled this region pretty hard more often than not. It has been a very frustrating season. Seems to be timing and debris came to play many times over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WolfSpider Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 This forecast has ended any of my hope for this system. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Elburn&state=IL&site=LOT&lat=41.8902&lon=-88.4717 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 No pops yesterday until an hour before a linear MCS rakes the entire area....likely pops all day and nada...this isn't an easy job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 The derecho back in July was essentially the highlight of this Spring/Summer in terms of severe weather (then locally, there was July 4th/5th). By and large, the past 9-12 months have been utterly disappointing in terms of active weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 The derecho back in July was essentially the highlight of this Spring/Summer in terms of severe weather (then locally, there was July 4th/5th). By and large, the past 9-12 months have been utterly disappointing in terms of active weather. March 2nd? March 15th? (especially the 15th for Michigan) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 March 2nd? March 15th? (especially the 15th for Michigan) Yeah haha April 27th, 2011 and March 2nd have been some of the worst tornado outbreaks ever, but outside of that not much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 March 2nd? March 15th? (especially the 15th for Michigan) March 15th wasn't widespread event at all... I know you are referencing the tornadoes but that was very localized, confined to 3 counties and 2 storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Don't think this severe season has really been that lacking compared to average...however it does seem like there has been more events gone by the wayside this year than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Events in the last year or so have seemed pretty isolated. The drought has certainly kept events to a minimum this year. No doubt have we seen some impressive events, it's just it's been quite awhile since the entire metro area was rocked by an MCS with widespread damage and power outages. It's a blessing and a curse I suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Don't think this severe season has really been that lacking compared to average...however it does seem like there has been more events gone by the wayside this year than usual. Yes we have had SO MANY complete and total busts. No watching someone else's backyard get slammed, just total nothingness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Alek FTW...good call I think the ship has sailed for northern Illinois SPC, et al. FTL. I'm not singling you out Stebo. Heck, even SPC was optimistic. Atmosphere just got waxed. SPC certainly doesn't agree with y'all.... 5/30/30 hatched for N. IL on the new Outlook I am not sure why there is all this negativity in this thread this morning, I still see a really good opportunity this afternoon for most of us. I mean hell it is only 1PM/2PM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Alek FTW...good call SPC, et al. FTL. I'm not singling you out Stebo. Heck, even SPC was optimistic. Atmosphere just got waxed. No harm taken, on paper the potential looked really good. But considering I was touting it up, it probably would have been a good idea to take the inverse. I am 0-3 on this calls as of late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 SPC left a token 5% for MI but ya now you can call it a bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 Always a fine line with morning MCSs and how they affect potential later in the day. Not like it came through the IL/WI zone particularly late in the day. There was considerable time to recover, just couldn't get things to come together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted September 6, 2012 Share Posted September 6, 2012 March 2nd? March 15th? (especially the 15th for Michigan) What part of "by and large" didn't you understand? I can also think of a few non-corrupt politicians. That doesn't mean politicians by and large aren't corrupt. This past winter wasn't much better. There were a few nickel and dimes events, but even then much of anything in terms of significance anywhere in the Midwest and Northeast was lacking for much of the winter (that changed "slightly" by the 2nd half of February, but not nearly enough to salvage a pretty bad winter by most standards on here). Even the lake effect snow events weren't all that impressive. But the fact of the matter is getting the atmosphere to recover behind not one, but two MCSs was going to be a mighty difficult task anyway, regardless of the time of day. It's just that no one was expecting the 2nd MCS to evolve as it did (the 2nd MCS did weaken around sunrise, then upticked quickly as daytime heating commenced), but that's the nature of convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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