Thundersnow12 Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 Def some interesting storms in northeast IA and up by the La Crosse area with a few throwing off some screaming northbound left splits. They are going to want to pull southeast to the better instability but will be fighting the westerly mean wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 Def some interesting storms in northeast IA and up by the La Crosse area with a few throwing off some screaming northbound left splits. They are going to want to pull southeast to the better instability but will be fighting the westerly mean wind. starting to think we have a decent shot tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 Actually went grocery shopping... just got back... Stayed south of here...south end of La Crosse always seems to get it better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 very evident southward component to the convective cluster right now...Chicago is definitely in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 westward pushing lake breeze evident on MKX radar, lets see what happens when the cluster hits that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 westward pushing lake breeze evident on MKX radar, lets see what happens when the cluster hits that. you'd think the lake breeze would start pulling back soon. Either way...not even 10% pops in Chicago, potential linear MCS organizing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 you'd think the lake breeze would start pulling back soon. Either way...not even 10% pops in Chicago, potential linear MCS organizing. Yeah I think Chicago is going to need to add pops... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 you'd think the lake breeze would start pulling back soon. Either way...not even 10% pops in Chicago, potential linear MCS organizing. The east winds have shut off for the most part around here. Light and variable now. I noticed the NAM was picking up on something like this on the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Per mesoanalysis. 35-40kts of 0-6km shear and 2000-3000 MUCAPE to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Yeah I think Chicago is going to need to add pops... lol thing is dropping south so fast it might pass me to the southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 thing is dropping south so fast it might pass me to the southwest. The west section of the cluster is moving south, but the east part is moving east. Interesting to see what will happen, been at work today, nice to finally be able to watch a radar loop of this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 lake breeze now kicking off new cells on the eastern side in srn WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Someone is going to get some good rains with the way these storms look like they're lining up from W-E roughly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 impressive bow like signature heading down i94 into MKE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Some crazy wind just went through Madison, blowing trash warning. Gust to 58 mph at MSN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 1400-1500 dCAPE for that thing to work with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 It was nice to see the discrete cells with meso's up near LSE earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Still no rain chances introduced into my forecast tonight! lol 30% for Kenosha. Severe thunderstorm watch just extended east. Winds pushing 60mph with this bow echo. 0814 PM TSTM WND GST MADISON TRUAX AIRPORT 43.14N 89.33W 09/04/2012 M58 MPH DANE WI ASOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 It was nice to see the discrete cells with meso's up near LSE earlier. produced, no? radar looking hot for winsconsinwx...he's probably due Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Watch extended into IL. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 616 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 850 PM CDT TUE SEP 4 2012 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 616 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ILC007-015-031-037-043-085-089-093-097-103-111-141-177-195-201- 050700- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0616.120905T0150Z-120905T0700Z/ IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOONE CARROLL COOK DE KALB DUPAGE JO DAVIESS KANE KENDALL LAKE LEE MCHENRY OGLE STEPHENSON WHITESIDE WINNEBAGO $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 produced, no? radar looking hot for winsconsinwx...he's probably due Well I did get lucky with a cell last night, but I don't think I've actually seen a thunderstorm with 60 mph winds this year. There have been a few warnings up for Milwaukee County this year, but they have generally been in a weakening phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 produced, no? One in SW. WI did... 0740 PM TORNADO PATCH GROVE 42.94N 90.97W 09/04/2012 GRANT WI EMERGENCY MNGR MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TORNADO ON THE GROUND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Looks like things should maintain for another hour or two. Don't want to cherry pick too much but MCS maintenance figures seem to show this thing getting into IL at least somewhat intact. Some lightning out to the northwest vieled by low cumulus in the foreground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Outflow has really outrun the western portion of the line as it has oriented itself parallel with the mean flow. The eastern portion of the line heading into northeast Illinois has the best chance at maintaining strength IMO. Not expecting much here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Alek I think you're golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Last run of the RAP sure didn't pick up on this complex. Skilling mentioned tennis ball sized hail somewhere in this complex. This is a storm to batten down the hatches for! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Alek I think you're golden. def should see some action although it looks to be well into a weakening phase by then...tomorrow looks better outlfow rushing well ahead now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 def should see some action although it looks to be well into a weakening phase by then...tomorrow looks better outlfow rushing well ahead now I think you'll do better than me. I've already given up on any severe criteria conditions here. Looks to be another good rain, though, as these storms take their inevitable SE/S dive away from MKE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 Glad I live in Decaying County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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