bluewave Posted September 25, 2012 Share Posted September 25, 2012 KNYC, KJFK and especially KISP all have a decent chance of finishing negative for September. With 6 days left, they are all around +16 to +18 total monthly departures. My guess is that with the mild onshore flow dominating through the weekend, that JFK and NYC will finish above normal for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 25, 2012 Share Posted September 25, 2012 Yeah even with cooler day time temps from Thursday on we won't see the cool nights that we've been having...well that everyone outside the city has been having. Tomorrow should go back above. My guess is that with the mild onshore flow dominating through the weekend, that JFK and NYC will finish above normal for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 25, 2012 Share Posted September 25, 2012 I got down to 49F last night in Southern Westchester, definitely impressive that we're back near normal given how warm the month started. We were like +6 after the first week of September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted September 25, 2012 Share Posted September 25, 2012 41 this morning here. Quite chilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 25, 2012 Share Posted September 25, 2012 48 low and high of 75 at newark....-3 on the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 First time in 3 years that EWR dropped below 50 in September 48 low and high of 75 at newark....-3 on the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 The NAM develops a small surface low pressure area off the coast of New Jersey and South of Long Island on Friday which brings some enhanced precipitation and stronger east winds to Long Island and the CT Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 GFS and Euro both show heavy rain for the area now early Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 The NAM develops a small surface low pressure area off the coast of New Jersey and South of Long Island on Friday which brings some enhanced precipitation and stronger east winds to Long Island and the CT Coast. Wheres the 0C 850 line?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 The 12z Euro, GGEM and UKMET, also show small low developing over the Mid-Atlantic coast, Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 Wheres the 0C 850 line?? Just a half mile north of NorEaster27's house. The rest of us are looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 Just a half mile north of NorEaster27's house. The rest of us are looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 Picked up a quick 0.32 in a shower 30 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 26, 2012 Share Posted September 26, 2012 Just a half mile north of NorEaster27's house. The rest of us are looking good. Lock it up this winter....nyc-north special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 That blob of rain to our sw, needs to be out of here by 8. Warlock would agree with me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 looks like its going to be longer than that....its amazing how bad the mets have been with weather in these rain events. I mean yesterday there was supposed to be late showers and at night...well that did not happen and then all of sudden showers for Thursday morning...was that being forecasted 24 hours ago? Dont think so. Then you have some of the underperforming big time rain events of the past 6 weeks. Hey some may think its slamming but arent we supposed to have better weather tools to forecast a couple days in advance, if they are having problem with that than how much confidence can you have in 5-7 day forecasts which usually turn out wrong...5 days ago Friday was partly sunny now its all out rain. Luckily its been dry so it will not be a big problem and we are getting through the lawns quicker, we actually skipped a couple lawns this week and since we figure to get about 6 hours in today we will get all the important lawns in. Looks like we might have to do about 3-4 hours on Saturday morning which sucks to fit everything in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 looks like its going to be longer than that....its amazing how bad the mets have been with weather in these rain events. I mean yesterday there was supposed to be late showers and at night...well that did not happen and then all of sudden showers for Thursday morning...was that being forecasted 24 hours ago? Dont think so. Then you have some of the underperforming big time rain events of the past 6 weeks. Hey some may think its slamming but arent we supposed to have better weather tools to forecast a couple days in advance, if they are having problem with that than how much confidence can you have in 5-7 day forecasts which usually turn out wrong...5 days ago Friday was partly sunny now its all out rain. Luckily its been dry so it will not be a big problem and we are getting through the lawns quicker, we actually skipped a couple lawns this week and since we figure to get about 6 hours in today we will get all the important lawns in. Looks like we might have to do about 3-4 hours on Saturday morning which sucks to fit everything in Yeah friday looks to be a washout....but i have a feeling that rain will go north of our area........try to cut some yesterday, but spent some more time on a job im trying to get done.....i hate late starts....like it better when it rains later in the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 Luckily no delays at the airports coming in this morning. EWR down to +1.2 on the month TTN +0.5 NYC +0.8 JFK +0.8 LGA +1.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 EWR's actually up to 1.2, they were .8 but yesterdays +7 pushed them back up and today will continue the trend with another +5 or better Luckily no delays at the airports coming in this morning. EWR down to +1.2 on the month TTN +0.5 NYC +0.8 JFK +0.8 LGA +1.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 Yeah friday looks to be a washout....but i have a feeling that rain will go north of our area........try to cut some yesterday, but spent some more time on a job im trying to get done.....i hate late starts....like it better when it rains later in the day wait so tomorrow may not rain in central jersey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 Looks like we're going to make friends with the first big cutoff low of the year if the medium range guidance is correct. The models separate this ULL from the northern stream and drop it south into the Great Lakes and New England. This could meander in the Northeast for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 27, 2012 Share Posted September 27, 2012 saw in the Philly forum...a big ridge with possible torch next weekend..any thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 saw in the Philly forum...a big ridge with possible torch next weekend..any thoughts? Looks like work is a go for u. Rain is north of us, i should forcast for u Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 saw in the Philly forum...a big ridge with possible torch next weekend..any thoughts? Wed/thu look warmest to me, but it should remain above normal thru about sat (10/6) or sun (10/7) before the next push of stronger cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 Wed/thu look warmest to me, but it should remain above normal thru about sat (10/6) or sun (10/7) before the next push of stronger cool. Looks like a pattern flip to cooler after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 Looks like work is a go for u. Rain is north of us, i should forcast for u yeah how predictable...not raining and probably will not rain besides some sprinkles today IMBY yesterday we got a lot in after the delay and today shouldnt be too bad finishing up. Good luck. big RU-UConn game next Saturday, anyone know the conditions, would like to have some sunny mid 70s weather to enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 lol..what a bust IMBY...a summery fall afternoon muggy with partly sunny skies and no rain after 8 AM. reached a high of 77...2nd day in a row the mets busted a forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 Looks like a pattern flip to cooler after that Just like 2002 if it maintains itself through the rest of October almost to the day lol: October 2002 temperature grid: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 Here are the current Sep 2012 temperature ranks (as of 9/1-9/27): KNYC: 1.0°F KJFK: 1.1°F KLGA: 1.8°F KISP: 0.7°F KEWR: 1.3°F KISP may be the closest to average, but the past two days and even including today have had a higher departure from average than the rest, after today's data is pulled in, KISP should be more on par with the others. On-shore flow should dominate the overnight lows from dropping anywhere near the average low for KISP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted September 28, 2012 Share Posted September 28, 2012 Pouring buckets in southern queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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