NEG NAO Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 remants of Issac moving east through the midwest how much precip it produces here is still in question http://www.intellica...ault®ion=SHD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 the minimum temperature in Central Park this morning was 77...If it stands by midnight it would be a new record high minimum for the date... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 Happy meteorological fall...still feels like summer though! HPN is at 86/63 now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 Much more unpleasant out there today than yesterday. Even with low 90s the dewpoints were at comfortable levels so it was really quite nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 the minimum temperature in Central Park this morning was 77...If it stands by midnight it would be a new record high minimum for the date... Probably won't stand. We have a cold front crossing the region right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 Wet week coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 Probably won't stand. We have a cold front crossing the region right now. Good call...it was 76 a hour ago...So much for the record... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted September 2, 2012 Author Share Posted September 2, 2012 Wet week coming up. that red area has some bust potential - doubt if we will see widespread 4 inch totals - probably just scattered locations in that red where training of storms occurs............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 that red area has some bust potential - doubt if we will see widespread 4 inch totals - probably just scattered locations in that red where training of storms occurs............. Euro has the heaviest/most widespread rain coming through wed morning into the afternoon this week. It does appear after a mainly dry period the last 2 1/2 weeks we are going into a wetter pattern the next 10 days. Still looks overall warm - aided by some warmer night time lows this week. We'll see if we can add some more 90s on thu with enough sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 3 hour maximum temperatures on the 4 km NAM valid 21z Tuesday...cool air, especially compared to what we experienced the first half of the holiday weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 3 hour maximum temperatures on the 4 km NAM valid 21z Tuesday...cool air, especially compared to what we experienced the first half of the holiday weekend. How about those 80s to Hudson Bay! Is that normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 The CFS is going with above normal temperatures and precipitation for our region during September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 The high latitude warmth is insane. I mean I know people have posted that correlation between low sea ice and September temps is low but this is a hell of a coincidence. That is definitely one ugly map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 Weekend went to junk after east wind kick in...looks like alot of rain this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 Weekend went to junk after east wind kick in...looks like alot of rain this week A couple of showers on radar over extreme eastern NJ heading towards parts of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 2, 2012 Share Posted September 2, 2012 Nice little shower here with 0.31 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted September 3, 2012 Share Posted September 3, 2012 The CFS is going with above normal temperatures and precipitation for our region during September. If temps are based on 1981-2010 data then it's the only way to go. I still say we should use last 10 years or so for a more accurate picture of the present climate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted September 3, 2012 Author Share Posted September 3, 2012 latest HPC 5 day Precip Total has NJ lower hudson valley and eastern PA with the greatest totals http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i12.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 3, 2012 Share Posted September 3, 2012 0.52" since yesterday...cloudy now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted September 4, 2012 Author Share Posted September 4, 2012 18z GFS along with the 12Z is not showing any heavy precip at newark the next 5 days under 1 inch http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KEWR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 0.52" since yesterday...cloudy now... 0.74 here... 0.60 yesterday and 0.14 early this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 18z GFS along with the 12Z is not showing any heavy precip at newark the next 5 days under 1 inch http://wxweb.meteost...shtml?text=KEWR I hope you're not really using a GFS QPF output literally during a tropical rainfall episode? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 4, 2012 Share Posted September 4, 2012 .01 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted September 4, 2012 Author Share Posted September 4, 2012 I hope you're not really using a GFS QPF output literally during a tropical rainfall episode? well lets look at the 6Z NAM close to 1 - 1.25 inch NYC Metro http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/06znamp72072.gif VS 6Z GFS 72 hr precip http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/06zgfsp72072.gif 1 - 1.50 actually not much different and not really too heavy BUT as I mentioned a couple of days ago when commenting on the HPC 5 day 4 inch prediction some areas that get caught under training cells which have been slow moving will get much more precip then the areas that are spared and radars this morning show that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 It's pretty impressive for Central Park to stay at or above 70 degrees for the first 5 days of September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster17 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 If I wanted to live on an island I would move there, I didnt know if I opened the door this morning I would be on one. Geesus its Tropical out there. Didnt expect this for 6am! Current OBS from the region. Wake me up when summer ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 some of the usual suspects have a shot at 90 on Thursday. Friday should see mid 80s at least and humid through the weekend. Summer will not go out without a fight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 some of the usual suspects have a shot at 90 on Thursday. Friday should see mid 80s at least and humid through the weekend. Summer will not go out without a fight. IIRC, most years in the past decade generally featured a pretty warm/humid first week of September. Labor Day's usually the last pool weekend, then we begin to turn the corner with much cooler nights (maybe a stray torch day again in late sept or early oct). But by and large, I consider summer to be over after the first 7-10 days of Sept. Just as in winter, I consider it to be over by about March 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 We'll see. Lately it seems we get a cool shot/taste of fall and then return to summer like conditions for much of September. Maybe not 90s but wouldn't surprise me if we're still seeing upper 70 to mid 80s for at least 3 more weeks. IIRC, most years in the past decade generally featured a pretty warm/humid first week of September. Labor Day's usually the last pool weekend, then we begin to turn the corner with much cooler nights (maybe a stray torch day again in late sept or early oct). But by and large, I consider summer to be over after the first 7-10 days of Sept. Just as in winter, I consider it to be over by about March 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted September 5, 2012 Share Posted September 5, 2012 We'll see. Lately it seems we get a cool shot/taste of fall and then return to summer like conditions for much of September. Maybe not 90s but wouldn't surprise me if we're still seeing upper 70 to mid 80s for at least 3 more weeks. Some say the cool shot may stay, but it looks like it will go back in forth and no more real summer weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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