Dunkman Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Wow, guys, seriously, this storm has been a real prick - check out this Tweet: @HurricaneIsaac: Hey @AmericanWx, am I rapidly intensifying now? How about now? AHAHAAHAAHA you bunch of virgin dick losers! 4:13 PM - 28 Aug 12 · Details Hide conversation Reply Retweet Favorite Ian must be having a slow afternoon at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Wow, guys, seriously, this storm has been a real prick - check out this Tweet: @HurricaneIsaac: Hey @AmericanWx, am I rapidly intensifying now? How about now? AHAHAAHAAHA you bunch of virgin dick losers! 4:13 PM - 28 Aug 12 · Details Hide conversation Reply Retweet Favorite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Ian must be having a slow afternoon at work. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 http://www.ndbc.noaa...hp?station=kmis Buoy just reported 79knot gust and 59knot sustained. Sorry for the troll, but that's actually an Apache oil platform. I don't think that's technically a buoy. Check this out: http://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base.cgi?time=GMT&stn=KMIS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 I am worried about all of the water in NO, remember Katrina's winds were not that bad in NO, it was the flooding that ensued that was the real story. This is going to be a much longer duration event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 I am worried about all of the water in NO, remember Katrina's winds were not that bad in NO, it was the flooding that ensued that was the real story. This is going to be a much longer duration event. It sure sounds like they are much better prepared. Fresh water flooding might be an issue of course as to be expected if you get 20 inches of rain. The surge thus far looks decent but not catastrophic. There's gotta be a fairly sizeable difference despite it being a large system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 85.1 kt gust just now (98 mph) http://www.ndbc.noaa...hp?station=KMIS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 One thing to know is that I saw somebody post something about an oil platform 300 feet high. If that ob is from 300 feet AGL then you have to take that into consideration. EDIT: Oops, nevermind. If you click that link I gave earlier you'll see it says 32 feet (10m). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Shell beach is over 8 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 The storm is looking really nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Sooo...overall a win for the GFDL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Watching this guys ustream he just got stoped by the police asked him what he's doing, said storm chasing & they left him alone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 85.1 kt gust just now (98 mph) http://www.ndbc.noaa...hp?station=KMIS more gusts up to 105MPH (92 knots) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Just for the heck of it - things that we (i.e. reasonable people) have gotten wrong about Isaac. Feel free to add more: 1. GFS is better this year for tropical cyclones (when Euro was showing LA and GFS was showing FL panhandle) 2. Euro has this in hand (when Euro was showing NO-focused northern track and GFS was showing drift to the west) 3. TS's can't have pressure below ~985mb or they become hurricanes 4. TS's/Hurricanes can't strengthen in coastal shelf waters due to "upwelling" There may be a couple of others related to land effects from Haiti or slowness to increase in strength in GOM - again, feel free to add more (or, knowing you lot, disagree vocally). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Hurricane Katrina struck New Orleans the same day Hurricane Isaac will. (tomorrow) same place , same day...un-friggin believable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Just for the heck of it - things that we (i.e. reasonable people) have gotten wrong about Isaac. Feel free to add more: 1. GFS is better this year for tropical cyclones (when Euro was showing LA and GFS was showing FL panhandle) 2. Euro has this in hand (when Euro was showing NO-focused northern track and GFS was showing drift to the west) 3. TS's can't have pressure below ~985mb or they become hurricanes 4. TS's/Hurricanes can't strengthen in coastal shelf waters due to "upwelling" There may be a couple of others related to land effects from Haiti or slowness to increase in strength in GOM - again, feel free to add more (or, knowing you lot, disagree vocally). Very few people here were absolute about any of these things...this post is largely nonsense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfman23601 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Just for the heck of it - things that we (i.e. reasonable people) have gotten wrong about Isaac. Feel free to add more: 1. GFS is better this year for tropical cyclones (when Euro was showing LA and GFS was showing FL panhandle) 2. Euro has this in hand (when Euro was showing NO-focused northern track and GFS was showing drift to the west) 3. TS's can't have pressure below ~985mb or they become hurricanes 4. TS's/Hurricanes can't strengthen in coastal shelf waters due to "upwelling" There may be a couple of others related to land effects from Haiti or slowness to increase in strength in GOM - again, feel free to add more (or, knowing you lot, disagree vocally). GFS performed better than the Euro. True, the Euro hit it on a random run 5 days back when they were all doing windshield wipers, but GFS was consistently showing Louisana several days ago and Euro/NHC settled on the Panhandle. We did learn that the 7 day track is useless and the NHC isn't near ready for it yet, but I say GFS has overtaken the Euro on the mid range (ie 3-5 days) as the more reliable model this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 LOL FOX 8 New Orleans anchor just said, "They call it the cone of uncertainty, we;re calling it the cone of error." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 eurojosh, on 28 August 2012 - 07:12 PM, said: (or, knowing you lot, disagree vocally). Very few people here were absolute about any of these things...this post is largely nonsense. QED.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Any idea how to screw with the dealias settings on GRLevel2 to work out for this storm. The base velocity stuff on GR2 I'm looking at for KLIX is all screwed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 some comic relief... off the Bourbon Street live webcam, 2 guys in capes fighting the wind: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 eurojosh, on 28 August 2012 - 07:12 PM, said: (or, knowing you lot, disagree vocally). QED.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 The analysis thread is hilarious. A couple of hours ago (when the little 'inner' eyewall was present), the optimists filled the thread. Now the pessimists are filling the thread talking about the decrease in echoes on the western side. I think only the people who have been keeping a longer term pespective have been worth reading... in other words, those observing the overall track instead of obsessing over every core feature, and observing the gradual but very steady drop in pressure accompanied by a gradual rise in winds. Isaac is not rapidly strengthening nor all of a sudden falling apart.. it's just doing what's it's been doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 It appears to me Isaac has moved wsw last couple hours based on radar. Hard to really say, but some people were mentioning some models said that may happen earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 The analysis thread is hilarious. A couple of hours ago (when the little 'inner' eyewall was present), the optimists filled the thread. Now the pessimists are filling the thread talking about the decrease in echoes on the western side. I think only the people who have been keeping a longer term pespective have been worth reading... in other words, those observing the overall track instead of obsessing over every core feature, and observing the gradual but very steady drop in pressure accompanied by a gradual rise in winds. Isaac is not rapidly strengthening nor all of a sudden falling apart.. it's just doing what's it's been doing. People are so vilgilant against weenieism that there's now the "anti-weenie" - people who have just as little knowledge, but try to prove they are the coolest guy in the room by predicting a storm will fall apart, etc. Of course that's overlaid on fairly knowledgeable people who are just wrong. Also to be fair to the inner eyewall people, recon just reported concentric eyewalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Any idea how to screw with the dealias settings on GRLevel2 to work out for this storm. The base velocity stuff on GR2 I'm looking at for KLIX is all screwed up. Try searching here: http://www.grlevelx.com/owners/index.php?sid=9013edca444b0c42b6fc6dac55bfafb3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 So is it really a landfall when the sandbar is now submerged by storm surge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Any idea how to screw with the dealias settings on GRLevel2 to work out for this storm. The base velocity stuff on GR2 I'm looking at for KLIX is all screwed up. Select the View menu from the top and click the Dealias Velocity option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Shiz looks like it's cranking pretty good in the big easy...we could be dealing with one of the more high impact Cat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 We have way too many threads for one storm, separating damage reports from the forecasting is complete overkill, the 2 are intertwined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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