hm8 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 00z 4m NAM popping some 20s in C. MI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 You mean Wisconsin? No. That tealish color in central MI is upper 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Nvrmind, that just occurred to me. Although, there are 20's in eastern WI as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Heh, if it has the same warm bias it had in the summer, we could be looking at a widespread killing frost in all seriousness though, I wouldn't be surprised to see a few 32* readings in C.MI. WI even more so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Heh, if it has the same warm bias it had in the summer, we could be looking at a widespread killing frost in all seriousness though, I wouldn't be surprised to see a few 32* readings in C.MI. WI even more so. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think it primarily sported a warm bias with the high temps, but not necessarily the low temps. I sure would love a killing frost, but I'm not convinced we'll see a frost in many areas in S Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think it primarily sported a warm bias with the high temps, but not necessarily the low temps. I sure would love a killing frost, but I'm not convinced we'll see a frost in many areas in S Wisconsin. Was said in jest, you may be correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Tomorrow night looks like really good for radiational cooling. Winds under 5mph, mostly clear all night. Roof top frost a good bet. MKX's take on it: TUESDAY NIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SLIDES OVERHEAD WITH CLEARING OCCURRING QUICKLY IN THE EARLY EVENING. GUIDANCE STILL SUGGESTS LOTS OF MID TO UPPER 30S FOR LOWS...WARMER BY LAKE MICHIGAN. SOME FAVORED LOW SPOTS COULD HIT THE LOW 30S...BUT THIS SHOULD BE RATHER ISOLATED. HAVE CONTINUED THE MENTION OF PATCHY FROST. IT/S STILL PRETTY EARLY IN THE SEASON AND SOIL TEMPS ARE QUITE WARM WHICH WILL HELP TO LIMIT FROST POTENTIAL AT GROUND LEVEL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 In the 7-10 day. Models have backed off a bit on the "death ridge"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 This might be the worst thread in this sub-forum's short history. I would say close, but there have been worse.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Nippy this morning and damp too. 46° currently, with widespread mid 40s in the area. Low of 25° at Cook, MN this morning, 28° in Hayward, WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Sparta, WI dipped to 30F... La Crosse had 39F... I still have the windows open in the house...ground temps are still so warm that the heat from the basement still keeps the house too warm at nite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 20 at International Falls, solidly beating the prior daily record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 35 here. Lucky duck didn't cover his plants and missed it by a whisker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Perfectly crisp air and clear skies, some of my favorite weather for sure. Missed out on 30s last night but tonight should be it, 42 °F for the low at MSN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Friday and Saturday morning could be the coldest, too bad I think there will be too much cloud cover around here, but someone is going to freeze really hard in the area. http://www.twisterda...e&archive=false http://www.twisterda...e&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 lows this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 That's pretty impressive for this time of year, Daddy. I forgot to mention Sunday norning. This might be the next best chance for some real killers before Indian summer comes back: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2012&model_mm=09&model_dd=18&model_init_hh=00&fhour=126¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Upper 30s for me, frost on the house rooftops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Not even 60* here yet....could have gone with a sweatshirt today, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Nice day...lots of clouds popping now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 With the cloud cover and isolated showers, looks likely we'll just fall short of 60F finally. Rhinelander 41/35F with light rain atm, almost winter like I'm sure to see that in the middle of the day. Cloud cover is possible tomorrow as well, which could keep temps in the low to mid 60s, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Had a freak wind-blown thunderstorm last night around 11pm (still the total rainfall was just 0.26")...temp dropped into the 50s under overcast skies this morning...I LOVE the Fall chill in the air! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Long range modeling not quite as torchy today... waiting with bated breath for our trusty CPC update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 With the cloud cover and isolated showers, looks likely we'll just fall short of 60F finally. Rhinelander 41/35F with light rain atm, almost winter like I'm sure to see that in the middle of the day. Cloud cover is possible tomorrow as well, which could keep temps in the low to mid 60s, we'll see. Saw a report in the last hour of light rain and 37* at Manitowash Waters! Barely cracking 60 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Looks like poor Tropical stays below or normal for a while: http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/sweaver/cfs_fcst/images1/wk1.wk2_20120917.NAsfcT.gif And then the poor guy just stays at normal. http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/sweaver/cfs_fcst/images1/wk3.wk4_20120917.NAsfcT.gif Western US to Minnesota looks like a pretty good October torch. I'm moving to the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Brief thundershower moving through. Right when I'm in biking between classes too. 52 degrees, heavy rain and wind gusting 20-30....blahg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 12z GFS had a disturbance that was borderline rain/snow Friday night into Saturday morning over the arrowhead of Minnesota. Now the 18z does the same thing mainly in NW Wisconsin. Could be something to watch for the first snow system in the Upper Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 High 60° today on the dot. Getting a few passing light showers in the area now. Dewpoints in the mid 30s currently. +1.4° for the month still, but quickly falling off. 70/52 for the averages on this date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 19, 2012 Share Posted September 19, 2012 Frost warning in N MI with some freeze warnings in the UP tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted September 19, 2012 Share Posted September 19, 2012 Already down to 46 in Madison and 45 in Middleton, first 30s seem a good bet, but dewpoints in the low to mid 30s suggest we won't freeze. Hence the lack of freeze warnings, but a frost advisory is in effect for the MKX region. Remember not to spend several hours outside totally nude tonight. URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 808 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2012 ...FROST EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT... .A COLD AIR MASS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S OVER MANY AREAS. HOWEVER CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING DURING THE EARLY MORNING AREAS WEST OF MADISON...LIMITING THE FROST POTENTIAL THERE. ALSO TEMPERATURES WILL STAY A LITTLE WARMER IN THE URBAN AREAS IN MILWAUKEE COUNTY...ALONG WITH THE URBAN AREAS OF RACINE AND KENOSHA. HOWEVER THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF RACINE AND KENOSHA WILL LIKELY GET FROST. WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-063>065-068>072-190915- /O.NEW.KMKX.FR.Y.0001.120919T0500Z-120919T1100Z/ MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE- WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH- RACINE-KENOSHA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC... SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM... WEST BEND...PORT WASHINGTON...MADISON...JEFFERSON...LAKE MILLS... WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MONROE...JANESVILLE...BELOIT...ELKHORN... LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...KENOSHA 808 PM CDT TUE SEP 18 2012 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM CDT WEDNESDAY. * TIMING...FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT. CLOUDS WILL PUSH INTO AREAS WEST OF WISCONSIN DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS LIMITING THE FROST THREAT. * TEMPERATURE...LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE MID 30S WITH SOME LOWER 30S POSSIBLE IN LOW AREAS. * IMPACTS...SENSITIVE VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED IF LEFT UNCOVERED TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIDESPREAD FROST IS EXPECTED. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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