SchaumburgStormer Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 For being a rather wimpy looking line on radar, got some impressive darkness to my west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Very dark here too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Nice downpour with some rumbles. A couple gusts well below severe limits. Enjoyable little storm nonetheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Screw this. October is f-ed and I'm starting to believe we're going two in a row torches. Every CFS2 update torches each month a little more, and here comes the red middle finger of death, just in time for the first week of October. The eternal optimists can continue to hope for a decent winter but I'm done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Now that I have a big hummingbird garden full of non-hardy plants I hate having to deal with frosts and freezes this time of year. Hummingbirds are here until mid October so I need to keep the flowers protected. There are few things I hate doing more than covering the garden with sheets as it's getting dark, but still breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Screw this. October is f-ed and I'm starting to believe we're going two in a row torches. Every CFS2 update torches each month a little more, and here comes the red middle finger of death, just in time for the first week of October. The eternal optimists can continue to hope for a decent winter but I'm done. meh...mega ridge, mega trough...welcome to continental climate 2012. I'm sure we'll torch for a period but i wouldn't be shocked to enter another cold/wet period mid winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted September 17, 2012 Author Share Posted September 17, 2012 Looks like this will be all the rain we will get, picked up 0.15" FWIW 18z NAM has MKE down to 30 Wednesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 meh...mega ridge, mega trough...welcome to continental climate 2012. I'm sure we'll torch for a period but i wouldn't be shocked to enter another cold/wet period mid winter. I've decided I hate boob patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 This might be the worst thread in this sub-forum's short history. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 This might be the worst thread in this sub-forum's short history. I bow out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 I bow out. You need to relax. Punting on winter in September is sorta silly, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 <sigh> Yes. Everyone needs to understand that I'm new at this, and I'm a pretty bright guy, but what I/we suffered thru last year I really never want to go through again. And to see it represented on every freaking map/prediction except for the worthless CFS1 really got me down. Then my local met goes over to the dark side as well, and all the while I can see and actually hear Tropical laughing inside my head. I think I need to go see a shrink. In the meantime, we didn't even crack 60 today. Felt wonderful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Huh, I am a prophet, according to at least one local pro met: ALTHOUGH THIS COLD PATTERN DEVELOPING IS THE FIRST IN A LONG TIME FOR THE UPPER MIDWEST...LOOKING AT SIMILAR SCENARIOS IN THE PAST WHICH HAD THE SAME TYPE OF PATTERN /1952/1988/2003/...THE COLD AIR QUICKLY ABATED BY THE FIRST WEEK OF OCTOBER...WITH EVEN ONE DAY NEAR A RECORD HIGH. LOOKING AT THE CFC /SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECAST FROM CPC/ DOES ILLUSTRATE THE COMMON THEME THE UPPER MIDWEST HAS BEEN EXPERIENCING...WARM AND DRY WEATHER FOR THE UPCOMING FALL/EARLY WINTER. BASED ON THE EL NINO PATTERN FOR THE UPPER MIDWEST WINTERS...AND HOW SIMILAR YEARS HAD THIS TYPE OF PATTERN...WILL LIKELY SEE MORE OF A WARMER WINTER THAN COLD. BUT AGAIN...THIS IS BASED ON CLIMATE MODELS WHICH ARE ALWAYS MODIFYING THE MEAN PATTERN. ..JLT.. Screw this. October is f-ed and I'm starting to believe we're going two in a row torches. Every CFS2 update torches each month a little more, and here comes the red middle finger of death, just in time for the first week of October. The eternal optimists can continue to hope for a decent winter but I'm done. well if i'm seeing things right.. 1952/1988/2003 were all below normal octobers for most all. winters sucked.. all my dam weather links are on my dead pc.. grrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Not all those years were El Nino either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 well if i'm seeing things right.. 1952/1988/2003 were all below normal octobers for most all. all my dam weather links are on my dead pc.. grrr Statewide temps for Minnesota. October 1952: 41.5º (13th coldest since 1895) October 1988: 41.1º (9th coldest) October 2003: 46.7º (+1.0 versus 1901-2000 average) Not all those years were El Nino either. Correct. 1988-89 was a mod-strong Nina, and 2003-04 was preceded by a Nino winter. 1952-53 may be the closest, being it was a weak Nino winter, but again it followed a Nino winter in 1951-52. Regardless, I have failed to find any correlation of rolling summer temp trends through the following winter, which is what it looks like in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 This might be the worst thread in this sub-forum's short history. Hi buddy, things are looking up in Illini land...I think we'll have an anomalous winter if nothing else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Hi buddy, things are looking up in Illini land...I think we'll have an anomalous winter if nothing else Yes they are. Pretty excited by the recent developments. As for winter, who knows right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Statewide temps for Minnesota. October 1952: 41.5º (13th coldest since 1895) October 1988: 41.1º (9th coldest) October 2003: 46.7º (+1.0 versus 1901-2000 average) Thanks! this is all i had for 2003 lol.. big arse ridge out west i have crap for useful weather links ATM. was 1988 a strong nina? link I'm looking at has me all confused and my memory is useless when it comes to remembering nina/nino yrs.. oop's... just seen you already answered it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Thanks! this is all i had for 2003 lol.. big arse ridge out west i have crap for useful weather links ATM. was 1988 a strong nina? link I'm looking at has me all confused and my memory is useless when it comes to remembering nina/nino yrs 1988-89 was a mod-strong Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 1988-89 was a mod-strong Nina. Thanks.. So basically those 3 yrs have about as much going for them as tropical plants in WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 All right all right. Just sick of seeing all the red every single freaking month on the cfs2. Let's move on with real September discussion... sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 DTW sitting at a +2.6 for the month. This should fall some, then level off by late next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 All right all right. Just sick of seeing all the red every single freaking month on the cfs2. Let's move on with real September discussion... sorry. Don't worry about it man.. I'm sure deep down we're all worried some about the above normal crap train continuing to chug.. Even if so it doesn't mean winter is a total loss. This winter I'd rather play with fire than have cold with another nickle and dime snowfall winter. Screw worrying about long and dirty snow cover.. it just doesn't happen much for most of us anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Bowme, you are a good man and a calming influence. Down to 51 here already and a frost advisory one county to my north... not going to cover the plants and I hope I don't regret it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 17, 2012 Share Posted September 17, 2012 Had a brief, but somewhat strong storm here. Blinding rain, which resulted in some ponding on the roads in Waukegan, and gusts to about 35mph on the way home tonight. Only 0.09" of rain at home though. The temperatures drop is under way! Down to 60° at 6:45pm. Trapperman - it's only September! ... If you remember last year the CPC was predicting normal to below normal temperatures for a period for the northern 1/3rd of the country. And we all know how that really turned out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Gusty north wind kicking up the surf on Lake Mendota, looks like a sea instead of a lake. Loving the temperatures in the mid 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Some reports of graupel at the Canadian border this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 This might be the worst thread in this sub-forum's short history. Yes by a landslide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 With the Fall discussion thread not far behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 18, 2012 Share Posted September 18, 2012 Who here wants to claim this? https://twitter.com/cubsweather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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