wisconsinwx Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Tell me about it. I was excited about a light rain event overnight LOL. Light rain events excite me too at this point. Some actual active weather would change that mindset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Light rain events excite me too at this point. Some actual active weather would change that mindset. The latter half of September is pretty boring climatologically in this part of the country. Instability is down, but it's too warm still for anything fun to happen like the first snowflakes of the year. E.g., Last SVR for DTX each year: 2012: 9/5 (none in August) 2011: 9/4 2010: 9/22 (last time there was more of a synoptic severe in late September) 2009: 8/20 2008: 8/9, if you exclude a tiny isolated cell on 10/26 2007: 10/19 (last synoptic severe in October, very little in September) 2006: 10/4 2005: 9/22 2004: 8/27 2003: 11/2 (last November SVR) Even most of the above SVRs at or beyond this date are one-off cells, not outbreaks. About all to do is begin to watch the trees, visit farmers markets, and wait for the first big cold fronts with some real CAA to blast through (hence where we are now). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 The latter half of September is pretty boring climatologically in this part of the country. Instability is down, but it's too warm still for anything fun to happen like the first snowflakes of the year. E.g., Last SVR for DTX each year: 2012: 9/5 (none in August) 2011: 9/4 2010: 9/22 (last time there was more of a synoptic severe in late September) 2009: 8/20 2008: 8/9, if you exclude a tiny isolated cell on 10/26 2007: 10/19 (last synoptic severe in October, very little in September) 2006: 10/4 2005: 9/22 2004: 8/27 2003: 11/2 (last November SVR) Even most of the above SVRs at or beyond this date are one-off cells, not outbreaks. About all to do is begin to watch the trees, visit farmers markets, and wait for the first big cold fronts with some real CAA to blast through (hence where we are now). And get out and enjoy the pleasant weather when it comes, which is what I'll do tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Lol Once again we are graced with our daily fantasy map of 240hrs. This is getting insane. TRapper it's no doubt you have mad weather passion, which is cool! but please chillax on those D7+ 200hr plots. It's like an untold rule. First of all, when every day 7 plot for the last week shows impressive cold shots and never wavers, I don't think it's too much of a stretch to say that if you were a betting man you could put some money on it happening. Second, it's September, going into autumn, my favorite time of year. I used to be a storm chaser, loved summer and storms, and then 2011 came. I can't ever look at a storm the same way again or truly enjoy the beauty of a storm after seeing all the human carnage and destruction last year. It's a personal thing that I have decided I just can't deal with anymore. If I were still excited about severe, you'd see me posting more on here in the summer. Now I am not bashing the severe weather weenies at all... to each their own. All I am saying is that, for me, after last year, I just can't do it anymore without thinking about the possible carnage each event is going to cause and the fact that I used to be out there rooting the storms on. So many lives were lost last year and so many lives ruined and I just can't deal with it any more even if another superoutbreak doesn't happen for 50 years. it will always be imprinted on my mind beause I got to see most of those tornadoes almost live and in color, and knowing that each one was killing dozens and seeing the aftermath was just too much. So yes, in the fall, I get excited when I see the first cold shots on the models, even if they are 240+ hours out, knowing that for most of the US severe season is winding down, That is why last winter and spring was such a downer. When the 80s came in March I thought for sure we were all goners. So try to forgive my enthusiasm and understand where I am coming from. You severe weather weenies, continue to enjoy your passion, I am not faulting you for it, It just has died in me. So I hope this explains a little why I like the first cold shots of Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 The latter half of September is pretty boring climatologically in this part of the country. Instability is down, but it's too warm still for anything fun to happen like the first snowflakes of the year. E.g., Last SVR for DTX each year: 2012: 9/5 (none in August) 2011: 9/4 2010: 9/22 (last time there was more of a synoptic severe in late September) 2009: 8/20 2008: 8/9, if you exclude a tiny isolated cell on 10/26 2007: 10/19 (last synoptic severe in October, very little in September) 2006: 10/4 2005: 9/22 2004: 8/27 2003: 11/2 (last November SVR) Even most of the above SVRs at or beyond this date are one-off cells, not outbreaks. About all to do is begin to watch the trees, visit farmers markets, and wait for the first big cold fronts with some real CAA to blast through (hence where we are now). Still hard to believe the octobomb only produced two severe reports in SEMI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Cold this, cold that -- blah blah blah. I don't understand how you can like uncomfortable -- which is what cold is. Here's what I want you to do -- keep your house thermostat at 25 degrees all winter. I bet you keep it between 65 - 75 like most people in this world. Therefore, 65+ temps are king and no one really likes 25 degrees! Here's what we all wish you would do....move.. or STFU.. Folks from MM/WI/MI with their near 700,000 registered snowmobiles would violently disagree with your pansy ass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Still hard to believe the octobomb only produced two severe reports in SEMI We got a high wind warning out of the octobomb and not much else. The frontal dynamics were too far to the south to matter here (all we had was an occluded front slide through - I don't even remember it raining much?) and the low itself was way to the north. ETA: DTW only got 0.18" - so no, it didn't rain much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Really nice day today - high 74°. Upper 40s again tonight forecast. I say go ahead and show a few long range maps - especially since there is consistent model agreement. The model agreement has been shocking to say the least. Who knows maybe the long range maps will be right! Haha, who's ever seen a snowfall map for this region in September! - I haven't. Every rain event makes a dent in the drought - that's something to be excited about! Low sun over a prairie in Kenosha County tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Here's what we all wish you would do....move.. or STFU.. Folks from MM/WI/MI with their near 700,000 registered snowmobiles would violently disagree with your pansy ass. Thank you. I actually work outside all year too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Sparta already down to 43F...should be plenty of 30Fs tonite across Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 I'm down to 51° now. Clear and calm winds. Thinking mid 40s will be in reach tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 80 on Thursday and 60 on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Widespread min temps in the 40's this morning in Indiana, other than the far southern parts and the heat island of IND. -0.2º through yesterday for September at LAF. Decent chance we see the first back-to-back below normal months at LAF since December 2010-January 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Low of 41 °F this morning, still in the upper 40s as of 8 am. Looks like today and tomorrow are going to be relatively warm compared to the rest of the 7 day forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Torch it up baby! FAIL! F- Totally inaccurate. Not even close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted September 15, 2012 Author Share Posted September 15, 2012 Sneaked in an intra-hour 49 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 47F here in La Crosse...36F in Sparta... Land O Lakes was 30F, along with Superior and Tomahawk... Still not seeing much color change on the bluffs... That Euro map above was pretty bad...just another reason to take those monthlies with a grain of salt...even the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 That Euro map above was pretty bad...just another reason to take those monthlies with a grain of salt...even the Euro. Except for the arctic, which proves that arctic temps don't necessarily greatly affect our weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 As Sparty would say. Top shelf day in the making. Upper 60's not a cloud in the sky. Cant ask for a better "fall" day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 It's the NAM, but at least I am not posting 240 hour maps any more. http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2012&model_mm=09&model_dd=15&model_init_hh=12&fhour=72¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Dipped to 46° here this morning. Already up to 71°. Trees in this area are showing yellow and hints of orange now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 I think Superior, WI took the award this morning, hit 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Now here is something I have NEVER seen in this area. I suppose it's because we got such an early start to the growing season, but my neighbors/farmers just started picking their corn. It's in great shape and is already completely dried down, needs no extra drying in the bin. Unbelievable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 :-) kind of day! Low swamp points and no juice in the air!! Just planted some trees in the yard. A couple eastern white pines and a beech. Going to pull out the MSU hoodie swag for tonights big game. Go Green! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Enough with the long range GFS/Euro maps. Last time I'm gonna say it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Enough bitching about the long range GFS/Euro maps. Last time I'm gonna say it. I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 Enough with the long range GFS/Euro maps. Last time I'm gonna say it. Sorry Hoosier, haven't been here long enough to realize it was that frowned upon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 FAIL! F- Totally inaccurate. Not even close! lol.. nailed week 1 here.. week 2 probably a C grade.. To early to grade week 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 ~168 hours (7 full days) is out far enough in my opinion. If I would want to share something beyond that, I'd just provide a link to it or describe it in words. - I know some of the maps take up a decent amount of storage space. Temperature leveling off here around 71-72°. Not one cloud in the sky! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 15, 2012 Share Posted September 15, 2012 nothing else to talk about right now. If one warminista troll is able to post any and all fantasy land warm maps the other half during a down period should be allowed its token ice ***** to post maps/models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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