daddylonglegs Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 West Bend frost next week...bank it. Frost Advisory for Hayward/Brainerd north to the Canada border: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dlh/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Good luck getting me below 40 with the warm lake next door. Luckily for you you are just far enough from the lake and the urban heat island of Milwaukee to have a chance for frost sometime in the next few weeks. I certainly think you'll see one night below 40 in the cool spurt we're looking at in the next two to three weeks. 43 is already the predicted low here for Tuesday night, and for you it will probably be a couple degrees cooler than here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 The 12z GFS is just a wet dream for Minnesota from one end of the run to the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 The 12z GFS is just a wet dream for Minnesota from one end of the run to the other. Is it frozen lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Many nights are. Even has a mild severe event for Iowa thru southern wisco thrown in there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Unbelievably, the Euro is the same out to 240. Just shot after shot of 0 or below 850s... It's like all the features are identical, even the closed low that forms of the Washington coast at the end of the run. Crazy agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 The 0C line briefly gets down toward Chicago in the extended. Now all we need is Sparty to post how it will verify 5 degrees warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Or Tropical posting some unreliable/spam torch map to counter it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Or Tropical posting some unreliable/spam torch map to counter it... HAHA that's great. Even has a Nebraska/Iowa Dryline/warm front setup tossed in there for you severe weenies. Looks capped (it's fall after all) and the dews are probably suspect, but something for you severe weenies to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 just for giggles, and not to take seriously, mid 20s for central to northern MN at the end of the run. I don't mind these long range maps once in a while but it seems like it's becoming a daily occurrence. The skill isn't very good at that range and odds are it will look a good bit different (maybe way different) by verification time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 I don't mind these long range maps once in a while but it seems like it's becoming a daily occurrence. The skill isn't very good at that range and odds are it will look a good bit different (maybe way different) by verification time. Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 I must be nuts for posting this. Dare we say possible snowfall in the western upper Great Lakes next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 I must be nuts for posting this. Dare we say possible snowfall in the western upper Great Lakes next week? Well, it wouldn't be too anomalous for the northern portions of the Upper Midwest, but you are kinda crazy for posting a map like this a week out in advance in September. Then again, this one or a similar one has been posted by someone in every forum I frequent for the same reasons, since it it's so strange to see snowfall potential on the horizon for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 What had been a light rain/mist has now turned to a steady moderate rain, with the temperature hovering around 57. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 And we have our first snowfall map of the season posted. September 13th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 The rain has made it here! Only 55 degrees right now. Edit: Make that 53. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 The rain has made it here! Only 55 degrees right now. Edit: Make that 53. Mt. UGN FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Trapper= Love it..keep bringing those shots all fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 And we have our first snowfall map of the season posted. September 13th. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Looks like our friend the CFS2 wants to copy and paste September to October. Just be sure NOT to look at it after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 This region needs some sort of event or weather story. Way to much long range speculation going on IMO. A severe weather outbreak or fall bomb would be perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 This region needs some sort of event or weather story. Way to much long range speculation going on IMO. A severe weather outbreak or fall bomb would be perfect. Meh, I've been perusing these boards for more years than I care to admit and it happens whenever the weather gets slow, especially in the winter. Any 384 hr GFS that shows a storm gets posted. I don't check out the East Coast subforums, but it was bad back when there were no subforums and the board was dominated by East Coasters. After a crappy winter, a sub-par severe season, and a long, hot summer, Midwest weenies are jonesing for some action (including myself). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Rain is really persistent tonight. Radar filled in nicely. Temperature near steady at 53. Looks like upper 40s for sure, if it clears out tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Gorgeous sunset to the west (duh) combined with a rainbow to the east.. cell phone ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Awful. The last pic of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Hmm.. name sounds familier, is he a major warmer? I'm sitting at +2.8 today and this is coming: http://raleighwx.ame...yNAGFSLoop.html I'm thinking most of the midwest/lakes finished around -3 to -5. That's my call for today. As someone else stated, not much else to really talk about beyond departures. Brett Anderson is a major warmingista, on the same level as Joe Bastardi is a cold/snow hound. I have joked several times that I can just see this winters outlook from those two....JB will have an inundation of arctic cold and heavy snows while BA has airbrushed red covering almost the whole nation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 October torches are seemingly becoming more common around the eastern lakes in recent years. I still have doubts about the effects of the coming trough for the eastern lakes. Esspecially if we end up with a cut off that's positioned over MN. Lots of what ifs, but eventually a normal chill will prevail at some point. Fall is here. FWIW... Great discos about the lack of sea ice creating torchy Falls in the forecasting thread. Actually Ive noticed the opposite to be true. Octobers in recent years have overall been cooler than the longterm average, actually noticeably cooler than Octobers of the 1910s-1960s. Keep in mind, Indian summer is seen pretty much every year, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 BowMe - nice pictures, all of them! Picked up 0.20" of rain today. Starting to clear out already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 Actually Ive noticed the opposite to be true. Octobers in recent years have overall been cooler than the longterm average, actually noticeably cooler than Octobers of the 1910s-1960s. Keep in mind, Indian summer is seen pretty much every year, This. Really late season high school football games have been very cold, usually it doesn't happen till around state title time. Also for those talking about the long range forecasting, I haven't had a Tornado Warning since 2010 and did not even have a Winter Storm Warning last year. It's been a rough patch since the Octobomb and the Groundhog Day Blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted September 14, 2012 Share Posted September 14, 2012 This. Really late season high school football games have been very cold, usually it doesn't happen till around state title time. Also for those talking about the long range forecasting, I haven't had a Tornado Warning since 2010 and did not even have a Winter Storm Warning last year. It's been a rough patch since the Octobomb and the Groundhog Day Blizzard Sucks about your weather luck. But I still don't see the need to clog up the thread with fantasy maps and vague crappy long range models. There is a thread allready for this in weather forecasting section/sub forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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