WestMichigan Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 We are alllllll bored from 2 seasons of lackluster weather. That being said one model run doesn't get me tingly, if this continues to show up on subsequent runs then I might be interested. Nonetheless, there will at least be a seasonally strong trough to come through the region in the 144-180hr range. Whether or not it phases with any Southern stream energy and closes off remains to be seen. Way to pour cold water on everyone's enthusiasm. I know the chances of it happening like the GFS said are low, but let the weenies have their moment. We all have them at one time or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Big upstream ridging is no surprise in a Nino. Falls are littered with that type of setup in Nino's. The only question is where the trough will end up. 1991 had some of the strongest ever. 1991 analogs have indeed showed up several times on the CPC's 6-10, 8-14 forecast analog composites recently, as well as 1993, 1986, and 2003. My vague recollections were those were all fairly cool falls for the midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Way to pour cold water on everyone's enthusiasm. I know the chances of it happening like the GFS said are low, but let the weenies have their moment. We all have them at one time or another. It wasn't meant to be a downer post, plus I did make mention that at the very least a seasonally strong trough would roll through the area. It will be an active period either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 lol. The fact that people are getting excited about a potentially strong system in September is a testament to how boring it's been for the past 9-12 months., The drought areas can certainly use the widespread stratiform rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Not that it matters at all but last sept 11th and 12th were almost identical torch days to this yr and went on to be a cool and wet 2nd half of the month. mke got down to 40 on the 15th...don't see that hapening anytime soon..wasn't MN down in the teens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Not that it matters at all but last sept 11th and 12th were almost identical torch days to this yr and went on to be a cool and wet 2nd half of the month. mke got down to 40 on the 15th...don't see that hapening anytime soon..wasn't MN down in the teens? yeah babbitt, mn did have 19 on September 15 and 16 last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Still in the mid 70s here, but the front looms close by. Showing up nicely on the MKX radar pushing through Brewers neck of the woods. http://radar.weather...dar.php?rid=mkx High 86° today. Latest graphic off Skilling's blog: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Huh? I hit 87.9 at the house today. Upper 80s it is. Huh? Who the F was talking about or saying MKE temps underperformed? Can you make any post on this forum worth anybodys time to read? Considering you're a Met..it shouldn't be this difficult for you. OT - Its hard to believe the Brewers lead the NL in Runs scored without Prince and considering the team never got to hit against our bullpen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Huh? Who the F was talking about or saying MKE temps underperformed? Can you make any post on this forum worth anybodys time to read? Considering you're a Met..it shouldn't be this difficult for you. OT - Its hard to believe the Brewers lead the NL in Runs scored without Prince and considering the team never got to hit against our bullpen. You might as well just asked to see a real life unicorn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Huh? Who the F was talking about or saying MKE temps underperformed? Can you make any post on this forum worth anybodys time to read? Considering you're a Met..it shouldn't be this difficult for you. OT - Its hard to believe the Brewers lead the NL in Runs scored without Prince and considering the team never got to hit against our bullpen. Feedest not yon trolls. Looks like our last 80° day in this area for quite awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Only one 90º+ day since August 9 at LAF. 20 of the past 35 days have had a negative departure. A nice turnaround for this heat hater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 IND getting Dual-Pol update installed starting October 15. http://www.crh.noaa....dex.php?wfo=ind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 A nice cool 58° currently. It's trying to cloud up, but there's some sun still getting through the deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted September 13, 2012 Author Share Posted September 13, 2012 Precip amount keeps trending downward cant imagine anyone around here picking up more than a 0.25". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxhstn74 Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Gonna get colder next week...say good bye to summer; early. http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2012/09/big-change-in-weather-next-week-to.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Picked up a half inch here, which was more then i expected...some very heavy at times last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 brrrr... Feels like fall this morning. 57F right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Gonna get colder next week...say good bye to summer; early. http://weatherhistor...xt-week-to.html Yeah but what about that ridge out west and all that ugly red 850 temps? Doesn't that have to come east sooner or later? October torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Yeah but what about that ridge out west and all that ugly red 850 temps? Doesn't that have to come east sooner or later? October torch? October torches are seemingly becoming more common around the eastern lakes in recent years. I still have doubts about the effects of the coming trough for the eastern lakes. Esspecially if we end up with a cut off that's positioned over MN. Lots of what ifs, but eventually a normal chill will prevail at some point. Fall is here. FWIW... Great discos about the lack of sea ice creating torchy Falls in the forecasting thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Euro nailed this lousy rain event for this area. The GFS and NAM sucked until the last day or so, as did the HPC. I only got about 0.15". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Yeah but what about that ridge out west and all that ugly red 850 temps? Doesn't that have to come east sooner or later? October torch? That ridge could get squashed south and never make it into this region. Cool air today is strong. Temperature is going nowhere! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 That ridge could get squashed south and never make it into this region. Cool air today is strong. Temperature is going nowhere! I guess I'll continue to ride this until it changes... http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usT2mMonInd1.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 I guess I'll continue to ride this until it changes... Showing normal temps for you. It's our friend to the south that get a few departures http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/usT2mMonInd1.gif Showing normal temps for you. It's our friends to the south that get a few departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 I'll take a normal October in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 I'll take a normal October in a heartbeat. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 "Normal" October has to be the most spectacular month of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Well folks, the end times are here. Local met Chad Evans is calling for low to mid 30s by the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Good luck getting me below 40 with the warm lake next door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fickle Heights Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Well folks, the end times are here. Local met Chad Evans is calling for low to mid 30s by the end of the month. lol Chad's forecast for September 2011 was worse than climo even though he made it in the middle of that September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted September 13, 2012 Share Posted September 13, 2012 Well folks, the end times are here. Local met Chad Evans is calling for low to mid 30s by the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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