Mallow Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 You know the dril... September S/C/M Season S/C/M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 I'll have to go with 5/3/2 for September, 17/8/3 overall. NOTE: Edited overall numbers on 8/29 for Kirk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Slightly higher than expected August tropical storm action means revising from 10.5 named storms to 12.5. New seasonal 12.5/6/2 September 3.5/2/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Staying the same with my seasonal, simply because I've forgotten what I put and do not feel like searching for it. For Sep, I am saying... 4/2/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 16/7/2 monthly: 4/2/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 16/7/2 monthly: 4/2/1 17/7/2 4/2/1 updated to acknowledge Kirk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 September: 4/2.5/1.2 Season: 16.5/7.5/2 (changed) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 September = 4/3/2 Seasonal = 16/5/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 17/7/2 4/2/1 updated to acknowledge Kirk 18/8/3 4/2/1 updated to acknowledge kirk and td12 potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 September = 4/3/2 Seasonal = 16/5/3 Updating Seasonal: 19/9/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 September: 3/1/0 Seasonal: 17/7/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 After my obvious failure of August September 3/2/1 Season 16/8/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Slightly higher than expected August tropical storm action means revising from 10.5 named storms to 12.5. New seasonal 12.5/6/2 September 3.5/2/1 You might want to consider revising your seasonal forecast given your september forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 September 6/4/1 season 22/12/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted August 30, 2012 Share Posted August 30, 2012 Season: 17/8/3 September: 5/3/1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Monthly: 5/3/2 Seasonal: 17/8/4 (Unchanged) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
U_Thant Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 SEP 2.5/1.5/1 SEA 15/8/2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 You might want to consider revising your seasonal forecast given your september forecast I feel misled by the ENSO thread, and now the upward motion entering a downturn may be delayed. Iblame SUNY Albany and the ENSO thread. All lost and hopeless. No chance to win now. Time to unload some salary cap for minor league prosepcts and look forward to a better 2013. Just bumming. Katrina landfalled all the way in Mississippi and still rained at my house, dust from Isaac. Maybe ENSO will get going in time for another one of the 3 snow miracles in the last 8 years, including 2009 when we had measurable snow before Washington, DC ETA Eye becoming less distinct on Kirk. August may end with "ZERO" majors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 I feel misled by the ENSO thread, and now the upward motion entering a downturn may be delayed. Iblame SUNY Albany and the ENSO thread. All lost and hopeless. No chance to win now. Time to unload some salary cap for minor league prosepcts and look forward to a better 2013. Just bumming. Katrina landfalled all the way in Mississippi and still rained at my house, dust from Isaac. Maybe ENSO will get going in time for another one of the 3 snow miracles in the last 8 years, including 2009 when we had measurable snow before Washington, DC ETA Eye becoming less distinct on Kirk. August may end with "ZERO" majors. The ENSO thread didn't talk about a rampant El Niño...most of the most recent posts are about how it will probably won't peak above weak (Larry) and recent strong easterly pushes (myself). I have been one of the most insistent about a peak at weak since the thread was created, and with no much affectation in the Atlantic tropics, since I expected a stronger Niño push until fall, after which it wouldn't matter much wrt tropics. Not sure if it was in that thread or in one of the first Atlantic tropics threads that I even posted at the possibility of hyperactivity if it stayed neutral warm (not that I'm fully on board yet on hyperactivity). As for zero majors...according to the rules, we'll have to wait for Leslie not to peak in the major range, even if it does in September (date of cyclogenesis). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 The ENSO thread didn't talk about a rampant El Niño...most of the most recent posts are about how it will probably won't peak above weak (Larry) and recent strong easterly pushes (myself). I have been one of the most insistent about a peak at weak since the thread was created, and with no much affectation in the Atlantic tropics, since I expected a stronger Niño push until fall, after which it wouldn't matter much wrt tropics. Not sure if it was in that thread or in one of the first Atlantic tropics threads that I even posted at the possibility of hyperactivity if it stayed neutral warm (not that I'm fully on board yet on hyperactivity). As for zero majors...according to the rules, we'll have to wait for Leslie not to peak in the major range, even if it does in September (date of cyclogenesis). A week or two ago the SOI dailies looked like it was finally locking in for a real warm ENSO. At any rate, second year in a row of quantity w/o much quality. Couple of good, quality Cat 1 chases for i-Cyclone, but still Cat 1s. NHC does still seem to hold out some hope Kirk briefly makes Cat 3... I, however, glass full optimist, and because I have different standards for storms North of 35º undergoing post-tropical transition, still hoping for at least a Leslie scare for the SNE/NYC forums, and maybe a "Carla Cradle" October surprise for Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 A week or two ago the SOI dailies looked like it was finally locking in for a real warm ENSO. At any rate, second year in a row of quantity w/o much quality. Couple of good, quality Cat 1 chases for i-Cyclone, but still Cat 1s. NHC does still seem to hold out some hope Kirk briefly makes Cat 3... I, however, glass full optimist, and because I have different standards for storms North of 35º undergoing post-tropical transition, still hoping for at least a Leslie scare for the SNE/NYC forums, and maybe a "Carla Cradle" October surprise for Florida. Sept 20-Oct 10 should be good...especially in the Caribbean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 Sept 20-Oct 10 should be good...especially in the Caribbean. I don't like it when we disagree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 31, 2012 Share Posted August 31, 2012 I don't like it when we disagree That's good... at least it's highly probable one of us will be right ... or with our luck, it won't be good nor plbbbbbbbt, and somehow get an opposite of those outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 Sept: 3.4/ 2.1/1.1 Season: Unchanged Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 Sept: 4/3/1 Season: 19/9/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 5/4/1 season 19/10/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 Sep.: 2/1/1 Season: 16/7/2 (Was 11/7/3 if I recall correctly) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted September 1, 2012 Share Posted September 1, 2012 September 4/2/1 Season 19/9/2.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 2, 2012 Author Share Posted September 2, 2012 September 4.5/2.8/1.4 Season 15/7/2.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 24, 2012 Share Posted September 24, 2012 Mallow, Would you mind giving us an update on how we stand through September (the things that can already be scored...monthlies I guess), assuming nothing else forms by 9/30? It would make the contest more interesting as far as what to hope for in Oct. and Nov. As it is now, I haven't the foggiest idea of how I'm doing relative to others. If it would be too much a PITA or if it wouldn't make much sense to do it now being that the season picks have to wait, don't worry about it. Also, how much do the season guesses count in relation to the monthlies? Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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