Scott747 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Back.... Looks almost like another smaller inner core is developing within the larger one. Not sure if there will be any need to adjust to the E or W. Recon heading in for a fix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Okay thanks, that's good to hear. That was my advice to him before we lost contact so I'm crossing fingers--wanted to get some opinions and send them to him and hope they get through. Good job. Hey, I can only do this for so long. It gets to be grueling after 14-16 hours. Any chance you, or someone you know, could take over archiving for me at, say 2AM MDT if it actually becomes necessary? I can do it until then I'm sure. There would just be one thing to archive: the floater IR pics every 30 minutes. I'm doing GRL3 and vis, too, but no vis at that hour and there would be no way for someone else to keep the continuity going o GRL3, even if they have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 28, 2012 Author Share Posted August 28, 2012 Hey, guys-- I'm in Galliano, way SE of Houma, near the Gulf Coast, about 2 or 3 ft above sea level. Yeah, dumb-- I know. A vigoruous band passed through and produced heavy rain and frequent gusts over 30 kt (measured at around 3 m), so nothing crazy has happened. At first I thought it was the eyewall, but looking at how it's evolved on radar, I see it's a sort of inner band, not the core. I also see that little baby eyewall thing embedded in the larger eye or moat, and I'm going to try to punch that, if I have the mobility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Hey, guys-- I'm in Galliano, way SE of Houma, near the Gulf Coast, about 2 or 3 ft above sea level. Yeah, dumb-- I know. A vigoruous band passed through and produced heavy rain and frequent gusts over 30 kt (measured at around 3 m), so nothing crazy has happened. At first I thought it was the eyewall, but looking at how it's evolved on radar, I see it's a sort of inner band, not the core. I also see that little baby eyewall thing embedded in the larger eye or moat, and I'm going to try to punch that, if I have the mobility. That band was for sure the eyewall at one time when the eye was 85nm wide. Lately that has expanded even further, and you know what's happening inside of that. ERC? Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Tighter core might miss you to the E. Haven't had enough time to get a gauge on movement right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Hey, guys-- I'm in Galliano, way SE of Houma, near the Gulf Coast, about 2 or 3 ft above sea level. Yeah, dumb-- I know. A vigoruous band passed through and produced heavy rain and frequent gusts over 30 kt (measured at around 3 m), so nothing crazy has happened. At first I thought it was the eyewall, but looking at how it's evolved on radar, I see it's a sort of inner band, not the core. I also see that little baby eyewall thing embedded in the larger eye or moat, and I'm going to try to punch that, if I have the mobility. Reconnaissance indicates the smaller "core" has weak winds compared to the larger scale eyewall, so there's no point chasing it as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 28, 2012 Author Share Posted August 28, 2012 I wanna punch that little baby-Ernie thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 I wanna punch that little baby-Ernie thing. Metairie la getting pounded right now, watching a ustream. Be safe josh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Reconnaissance indicates the smaller "core" has weak winds compared to the larger scale eyewall, so there's no point chasing it as of now. It's really a moot point assuming Josh can't get any further SE anyway. The center of the eye won't get to him for hours; possibly 6 or 7 hours. By then all the individual features we currently see will have long disappeared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 28, 2012 Author Share Posted August 28, 2012 Reconnaissance indicates the smaller "core" has weak winds compared to the larger scale eyewall, so there's no point chasing it as of now. I didn't get very strong winds in the outer one. Adjusting for the low sampling height (3 m), I basically had low-end gale winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Only mobility you have is to get back on the 90. Right now if the inner core keeps moving along the current track it would be near Des Allemands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 2239Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 I didn't get very strong winds in the outer one. Adjusting for the low sampling height (3 m), I basically had low-end gale winds. The outer eyewall is still approaching, what you experienced was an outer band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 2239Z again, zoomed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cory Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Only mobility you have is to get back on the 90. Right now if the inner core keeps moving along the current track it would be near Des Allemands. Yeah at least that's under 40 miles away. I wonder if that part of 90 is open? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 You won't be able to reach the inner core unless you can get east of Port Sulphur or Yscloskey. Both options, I suspect are flooding heavily as we speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Yeah at least that's under 40 miles away. I wonder if that part of 90 is open? Open possible. Under water possible. At this point I think he could be ok. Just need that westward movement/tug some of the models have been showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cory Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Open possible. Under water possible. At this point I think he could be ok. Just need that westward movement/tug some of the models have been showing. I agree. I still think he's in a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 I agree. I still think he's in a good spot. I'm glad to know I'm not the only one. There IS a chaser in Point a la Hache, and her position updates are current. That is about halfway down 23 from NOLA. I don't know if she got there recently or long ago. I don't know if she is okay or in distress, but she is there. Her email addy is available, but no phone # Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 I just ran a loop back and forth, back and forth several times. I am convinced the synoptic motion is westward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Major league convective cell embedded in the eyewall headed your way, Josh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Latest HRD analysis - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 The latest image here; http://www.ssd.noaa....sh-wv-long.html looks like Josh is at Ground Zero. It appears that all the moisture convergence is atop Josh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennyForYourThoughts Posted August 28, 2012 Share Posted August 28, 2012 Pilot Town 970.8 mb with 30-50 kts winds Just a reference point for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Do we have coordinates for Josh's position, or just an approximation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 29°26′55″N 90°18′26″W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 OAA DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THAT HURRICANE ISAAC MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA IN PLAQUEMINES PARISH JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT 645 PM CDT... 2345 UTC...WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 80 MPH...130 KM/H. AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS ESTIMATED BY NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 45 MPH WITH A GUST TO 62 MPH WAS OBSERVED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AT LAKEFRONT AIRPORT IN NEW ORLEANS. A WIND GUST TO 56 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT GALLIANO LOUISIANA. A STORM SURGE OF 8.8 FEET WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT A NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGE AT SHELL BEACH LOUISIANA. A STORM SURGE OF 5.5 FEET WAS OBSERVED AT A NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE TIDE GAUGE IN WAVELAND MISSISSIPPI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Just talked to Josh. Thought maybe the report out of Galliano was from him but it wasn't. Possibly from the airport. Said that conditions had deteriorated markedly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uncle Bobby Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Galliano is where I have placed the red square on here, +/- a mile or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cory Posted August 29, 2012 Share Posted August 29, 2012 Just talked to Josh. Thought maybe the report out of Galliano was from him but it wasn't. Possibly from the airport. Said that conditions had deteriorated markedly. Is he recording winds or did he decide against it? It was iffy whether he'd deploy the new BASTARD for the whole storm since the backup Kestrel didn't make it to him in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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