Amped Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 The best fuel lies ahead for Isaac Epic lol, But I like Sacrus so I won't LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 If recon really doesn't investigate the radar center and goes home, after flying a bunch of pointless legs at the southern end of the storm, that'll be the most worthless use of a recon mission ever. Just a big wtf... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sugaree Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Do you have any vidoes you know off hand? Supposedly Katrina response was terribly slow etc. Taking that into context, I know is IF Issac hit NO (im def not sold on that at all) then people would need some help. from Waveland (where you seriously did not want to be): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_YP6WNRq5VY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 On earthcam iPhone app looking at various Florida cams you can see a ton of lightning flashes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
valkhorn Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 YouTube has plenty of videos and read back some news reports it was horrible. Also they most likely will not let anyone in. National Guard would be called in to prevent looting etc. Using IPad or IPhone or BB so my grammar may suck. Don't forget, the MS gulf coast had the worst impact and the worst damage. Had the levies not failed in NO from the surge, the city would have been fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 I wouldn't be so sure about that. That feature is quite deep and has been quite persistent. Additionally, there was no good center fix where the old center was located. If I had to guess, my bet would be that this feature is going to be dominant and that the winds will eventually respond (which perhaps they haven't quite done yet on the leg that recon has flown, though they haven't really gotten close to this feature yet). They turned back south too. Can they please go in to the northern section... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 If recon really doesn't investigate the radar center and goes home, after flying a bunch of pointless legs at the southern end of the storm, that'll be the most worthless use of a recon mission ever. Just a big wtf... Agree. Some of their flight paths have been dumb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Ed, I could very well be wrong, and often am in the weather biz, but I interpret the "apparent" repositioning as an apparition - the mid and low levels are still quite out of sync. This thing doesn't have the gusto to create its own atmosphere yet. The whole mess appears to be sliding WSW toward La La land Reading actual pro-met thread, with apparent center reforming North under MLC, Eastward solutions seem quite possible. I'd put Mobile at the mid point of my unofficial Ed-cone. Edit- radar suggesting North of 5 pm NHC track Alabama- Heart of Dixie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 and the IR image does not look "impressive" too. This post is worth so many lols... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Agree. Some of their flight paths have been dumb. Looks like they're flying back towards the remains of the old LLC, ugh. I just don't understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Particularly not that city. That city is extremely dangerous in the best of times. Sent from my Milestone X 2 If this does indeed become another disaster for them I hope these imbeciles who get displaced don't pull the same stunts they did in 2007. I had a buddy nearly killed over 600$ in cash he kept in his office in Atlanta at the time when some desperate displaced NO refugees who had relocated there decided to hold him up. They were caught about a week later when they tried the same thing again at a place where there were surveillance cameras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Ed, I could very well be wrong, and often am in the weather biz, but I interpret the "apparent" repositioning as an apparition - the mid and low levels are still quite out of sync. This thing doesn't have the gusto to create its own atmosphere yet. The whole mess appears to be sliding WSW toward La La land I don't know. The center might have jogged North to be under the center of the big blob of convection, but the big blob itself seems to be moving WNW to NW, so the Louisiana/Mississippi models may be right. That is why nobody pays for my forecasts. Strictly amateur status. Like the NCAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Euro looks like a Mobile AL. landfall. It is slightly slower than the GFS at this time, which allows the western ridge to build in a bit stronger keeping Isaac a bit east of NOLA. But the model looks a bit suspicious to me at h54 it's in a area of weakness, same at h60, at h66 it appears that he gets pick up by the trough, but goes back to being cut off at 72 and just sits and spins over AL. Having said that it seems as if it has some support of the UKMET but I only have that model out to h72. I think the forward speed of Isaac will be the determining factor in its outcome. The GFS has the support of the Gem. It looks like a GFS/Gem solution, vs Euro/UKMET. I am a real fan of the Euro, but right now based on how the GFS handled Debby I would there is about a 70% of the GFS/GEM having the right idea. I forgot to mention that IMO the GFS about 4 days ago was the only model showing this moving through the slot that is the FL straights. At this time I would say the GFS solution has about a 85% chance of verifying as to the area of landfall...intensity is another thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Yeah, I'm not going to get anywhere near a big city when it becomes a disaster zone. it's not even a hurricane yet and you are declaring areas "disaster zones"? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Most of the models never really exploded isaac until it was pretty deep into the gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
briesenbeck Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 He's not messing around tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Recon going to check the MLC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 This post is worth so many lols... tell me that when the "major" hurricane makes landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 It appears recon had been tracking the wrong area for several hours now, the LLC is indeed co-located inside the convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gulfcane Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 052230 2519N 08308W 8436 01451 //// +191 //// 129054 055 047 006 01 so far 55kt and 47 SFMR. Next set will tell the tale. Edit: Next set has 62kt FL winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Thanks for the posts guys. I had no idea what was behind the scenes with Katrina etc (looters, people shooting at cops, etc). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Planning on leaving at 8 am or earlier, about a 17 hour drive to coastal MS which will put me there just after midnight Wednesday, about 12 hours ahead of the storm which is just about perfect. Enough time for a power nap and plenty of time to figure things out if it takes longer than expected. I'm planning on stopping around I-10 since that's a good place to go back and forth across the coast, and it's mostly elevated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 tell me that when the "major" hurricane makes landfall. Someone needs to limit your posts. You aren't helping this thread out at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Totally weenie post here, but this smells a lot like Gustav to me. I have absolutely no reasoning for why I think this, other than track and difficulty organizing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Totally weenie post here, but this smells a lot like Gustav to me. I have absolutely no reasoning for why I think this, other than track and difficulty organizing. Gustav is not a horrible analog at this point, except for the forward motion at landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Drudge Report headline "isaac could rival Katrina" could be slightly wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneFrances04 Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Drudge Report headline "isaac could rival Katrina" could be slightly wrong. A certain JB wrote that article. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 A certain JB wrote that article. he who shall not be named didn't directly compare Isaac to any storm, but managed reference to both Hurricane Camille and the 1900 Great Galveston Hurricane (Cat 4) 9 minutes ago on Twitter. I didn't actually read the Drudge headline. I was looking for latest CA earthquake news and Drudge is a big earthquake junkie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 I'm replying to this in the banter thread since it's banter. It's going to be surprising for Florida residents who are under hurricane warnings and watches, especially since the news is hyping it as usual. Pulling the trigger for the hurricane warnings and watches this morning was a bad choice at this junction IMO, since they could've waited a little more to see what happened with Hispaniola. Now there's a big swath of Florida preparing for a hurricane they'll never get, and that'll make some people stop listening to forecasts, especially newcomers. I hope the NHC pulls down the hurricane advisories this afternoon at the very least to minimize the damage being done. I'm also starting to think this 36-48 hour system is a terrible idea. In the past hurricane advisories wouldn't have been issued in southern Florida for a storm like this. I couldn't disagree more with this post. nice call Turtle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Isaac is getting closer but still looks a solid 12 hours away from really being able to strengthen...until then I expect the same gradual organizing. My best guess is a low/med end cat-2 just east of new orleans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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