winterymix Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Isaac is getting a dense central overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayman Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 That storm is getting better ventilation for its N/NE/SE outflow. I'm waiting for the southern and southwestern side to begin to move away from having so much land influence. I wouldn't be surprise if some intensification doesn't begin to occur in the next 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Amazing that Isaac has been around for nearly 144 hours as a classifiable system, and it has yet to become a hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Isaac looks to be strengthening. Some impressive feeder bands now over Southern Florida. Seems to be trying to wrap up a bit. Time will tell, but I wouldn't be surprised to have a cat 1 by early morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Latest NWS forecast for Orleans parish/New Orleans area MONDAY NIGHT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS ALSO POSSIBLE. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. TUESDAY TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. TUESDAY NIGHT HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS 45 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 80 MPH INCREASING TO 45 TO 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 100 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 what is the current media lineup for all the major networks? I know TWC has Jim Cantore in MSY and Paul Goodloe in GPT and also, CNN has Rob Marciano in MSY. what other networks have which guys where in the northern gulf coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Amazing that Isaac has been around for nearly 144 hours as a classifiable system, and it has yet to become a hurricane. Which is bad news for the gulf coast. Because all of the inhibiting factors that isaac went through in the past 7 days will be gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/templates/loop_directory.asp?data_folder=dev%2Flindsey%2Floops%2Fgoes14&image_width=1020&image_height=720 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 I want to experience hurricane conditions one day. I thought I was going to last year with Irene but it never happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Interesting to read Henry Margusity's tweets. He is normally the hypster during any event in the winter. But today he is tweeting about how everyone needs to relax and not overhype. It's bizarro world! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 It must certainly be nerve wracking for emergency management officials to have this much uncertainty regarding storm track and particularly intensity per landfall. The hurricane warning covers a wide area to account for the two differing main model solutions at present. Hopefully this can be refined with the 00z model runs. But intensity is another question. If RI occurs close to the coast there will be limited time for evacuations. Not offering criticism of NHC by any means. Just concerned about the practicalities of moving many people who might not have the means to get out of NOLA, for example, if mandatory evacuation becomes necessary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Here's a better animation with the 8 PM position (24.1°N 82.6°W) superimposed on the image. I've missed calamity loops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom McNeal Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 It must certainly be nerve wracking for emergency management officials to have this much uncertainty regarding storm track and particularly intensity per landfall. The hurricane warning covers a wide area to account for the two differing main model solutions at present. Hopefully this can be refined with the 00z model runs. But intensity is another question. If RI occurs close to the coast there will be limited time for evacuations. Not offering criticism of NHC by any means. Just concerned about the practicalities of moving many people who might not have the means to get out of NOLA, for example, if mandatory evacuation becomes necessary. Nerve wracking is right. It is easy to say you plan to do all these things before a storm but they all cost money and if the storm doesn't hit you may have "wasted" a lot of already limited budgets. There are also the considerations for local business in some of these tourist areas of declaring an evacuation which sends off all of their customers and hurts their income for the month or even year. Emergency Managers rarely have the authority to order evacuations since that is generally reserved to the lead political official to do. The EM just gets with the local NWS Mets and they give their best opinion and hope the advice is followed. That is why too often you see officials wait until it is too late to take action. careers are often made or destroyed over these types of events. Time frames for evacuations have already been figured out and in some cases takes much longer than you would think especially along parts of the mid east coast like NC and the DELMARVA where storms traditionally pick up speed as they head North. We all know the science isn't exact but it doesn't stop us for placing unfair blame on the Mets for not giving us "accurate" information. Tough game we play at times. In the mean time EM's like me will continue to troll this forum and others watching the amateurs and experts debate and offer opinions. I am lucky and have a good relationship with the local NWS guys and trust their opinions but it is nice to get to see the constant discussion and I love to "borrow" a good graphic or map to create a briefing document. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Early 0z models are even bringing this West of N.O. now. When will this trend stop? Just dont send it to Galveston..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 I would say the figure-8 that recon just did is evidence that the center is currently going through some organizational changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Westward Ho! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Chad Myers on CNN just now, "I know this is getting stronger be ause the colors are getting darker. You can see purple now." Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Well you can't forget that Chad Myers is a hurricane specialist, nuclear physicist, seisemologist, and meterologist. Hes like the superman of science. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 I'm hugging the NAM; 0Z still takes it NW and NNW up to the border of AL/MS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 I'm hugging the NAM; 0Z still takes it NW and NNW up to the border of AL/MS. I'm hugging climatology and the model trend. We're going to Texas with Ike! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 I'm hugging climatology and the model trend. We're going to Texas with Ike! Reading actual pro-met thread, with apparent center reforming North under MLC, Eastward solutions seem quite possible. I'd put Mobile at the mid point of my unofficial Ed-cone. Edit- radar suggesting North of 5 pm NHC track Alabama- Heart of Dixie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Isaac is being hyped like no tomorrow. Honestly with dry air, shear, and lack of energy in the ocean it would be crazy to think a category 3 would develop IF it follows the current track. if the storm does deviate more west than expected then this could be a different issue. but im really disappointed how the hype has negatively effected people in those "hurricane warning" areas or near them in FL. but hey what ever gets higher ratings and $$ in works for them i guess. This is banter so please don't delete, ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Isaac is being hyped like no tomorrow. Honestly with dry air, shear, and lack of energy in the ocean it would be crazy to think a category 3 would develop IF it follows the current track. if the storm does deviate more west than expected then this could be a different issue. but im really disappointed how the hype has negatively effected people in those "hurricane warning" areas or near them in FL. but hey what ever gets higher ratings and $$ in works for them i guess. This is banter so please don't delete, ok? dry air is diminishing along with shear, and there is plenty of fuel in the gulf for strengthening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Isaac is being hyped like no tomorrow. Honestly with dry air, shear, and lack of energy in the ocean it would be crazy to think a category 3 would develop IF it follows the current track. if the storm does deviate more west than expected then this could be a different issue. but im really disappointed how the hype has negatively effected people in those "hurricane warning" areas or near them in FL.but hey what ever gets higher ratings and $$ in works for them i guess. This is banter so please don't delete, ok? shear? Dry air? Lack o f energy in ocean? Where did you hear that?Using IPad or IPhone or BB so my grammar may suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 dry air is diminishing along with shear, and there is plenty of fuel in the gulf for strengthening. and what do you base this off of? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 and what do you base this off of? yeah I would like to know the same from you.Using IPad or IPhone or BB so my grammar may suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Isaac is being hyped like no tomorrow. Honestly with dry air, shear, and lack of energy in the ocean it would be crazy to think a category 3 would develop IF it follows the current track. if the storm does deviate more west than expected then this could be a different issue. but im really disappointed how the hype has negatively effected people in those "hurricane warning" areas or near them in FL.but hey what ever gets higher ratings and $$ in works for them i guess. This is banter so please don't delete, ok? Huge lol at this post. What are they supposed to do, ignore the warnings? NHC now a hype machine? And NHC is calling for a Cat 2 tops, not a Cat 3. Lack of energy in the ocean? Massive lolz at that. And dry air is a problem right now, but won't be for too much longer. Shear will also be nonexsistent within the next 24 hours. The fact that you even have to mention don't delete my post, should tell yourself a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 and what do you base this off of? You're the one that came out with a wacky statement, enlighten us, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 shear? Dry air? Lack o f energy in ocean? Where did you hear that? Using IPad or IPhone or BB so my grammar may suck. and the IR image does not look "impressive" too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 and the IR image does not look "impressive" too. meh, all that is improving, I think the reason it may not reach cat 3 is not because of any of the things you mentioned, but due to its structure, at least IMHOUsing IPad or IPhone or BB so my grammar may suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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